Niko Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 To everyone on this forum....... 6 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 25, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Just now, Niko said: @TomYes....the vid was not working for me either, so I was not able to see that delicious Turkey you were cooking....no worries, I am sure it looked delicious.......Enjoy!! Ahh crap, it’s bc I recorded it using the iPhone camera instead of using a different app. I’ll share the final product later today! Have a splendid day! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Tom said: Ahh crap, it’s bc I recorded it using the iPhone camera instead of using a different app. I’ll share the final product later today! Have a splendid day! Thanks amigo...you as well! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving. Just 0.01" of rain fall here so far today. The overnight low was 44 and the current temperature with cloudy skies is 45. Last year Thanksgiving's H/L was 45/40. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 25, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 @Clinton, I’ll dive into some of my thoughts a bit later today. Gotta run out and take care of a few things. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Nice mood flakes this morning! 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Just got a 15 pounder on the roasting pan. Have a great and safe day! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy thanksgiving! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, westMJim said: Happy Thanksgiving. Just 0.01" of rain fall here so far today. The overnight low was 44 and the current temperature with cloudy skies is 45. Last year Thanksgiving's H/L was 45/40. 0.3" as of 10am and counting. November won't be remembered here as a wet month like Oct, but we've avoided the dryness others have been plagued with. Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours as well! 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Our temp has been lower a few times, but it's easily the coldest "feel" of the season so far this morning. We are in the mid 20s with a strong wind. We won't go above freezing today so I had to get my heated bird bath out on the patio. 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 12z GFS showing a big storm around the 7th of Dec that closely resembles Oct 10/11th. Certainly bears watching and plenty of time to watch it lol. LRC followers what ya think? 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 @Clinton Need 48h maps like that. Just sayin Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: @Clinton Need 48h maps like that. Just sayin No doubt but there is nothing here for the next 10 days so forgive me for looking ahead. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Latest Euro is sweet w providing cold air continuously. Some good troughing and some of us are golden on here. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Yup GFS goes crazy starting Dec 6th. Lets hope its on to something! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 49 minutes ago, Clinton said: No doubt but there is nothing here for the next 10 days so forgive me for looking ahead. @Clintonyour area gets clobbered w this one. Lets hope it stays its course! Rooting for ya bud! 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 hours ago, Clinton said: No doubt but there is nothing here for the next 10 days so forgive me for looking ahead. 3 hours ago, Niko said: @Clintonyour area gets clobbered w this one. Lets hope it stays its course! Rooting for ya bud! Dittos to what he said!! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Looks like we'll finish with 2 days of measurable precip this month (10th, 13th). Today will be the last below normal day of the month as well which means 23/30 days will have been at or above normal. Currently +3.7 for the month. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the evening. Friday Sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Friday Night A chance of sprinkles after midnight. Increasing clouds, with a low around 37. Light west southwest wind. Saturday A chance of sprinkles before 9am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 56. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 17 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. North northwest wind 5 to 13 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. Monday Sunny, with a high near 61. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 53. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 60. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Still no snow in Denver either with 60s to near 70 forecast for the next week. https://www.denverpost.com/2021/11/21/denver-weather-latest-first-snow/ https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=152&y=130&site=bou&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=152&map_y=130#.YaAFw9rMJPY 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 16 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Still no snow in Denver either with 60s to near 70 forecast for the next week. https://www.denverpost.com/2021/11/21/denver-weather-latest-first-snow/ https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=152&y=130&site=bou&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=152&map_y=130#.YaAFw9rMJPY You're invited to my post Thanksgiving feast this Saturday at my other home in Santa Cruz, CA. Masks are required for all residents and guests when there are visitors. The police will be knocking on the door periodically to check that everybody is wearing their masks. Violations could result in imprisonment. 10-day GFS models 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 5 hours ago, james1976 said: Yup GFS goes crazy starting Dec 6th. Lets hope its on to something! Meanwhile, 12z Euro flashed something that caught my eye for the 4th, so who knows. Storms, storms, and rumors of storms, lol 2 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You're invited to my post Thanksgiving feast this Saturday at my other home in Santa Cruz, CA. Masks are required for all residents and guests when there are visitors. The police will be knocking on the door periodically to check that everybody is wearing their masks. Violations could result in imprisonment. 10-day GFS models Get your political crap out of here!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Still no snow in Denver either with 60s to near 70 forecast for the next week. What about this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 55 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Meanwhile, 12z Euro flashed something that caught my eye for the 4th, so who knows. Storms, storms, and rumors of storms, lol Amigo..this has huge potential. My local forecaster earlier this evening called it out fast to the viewers and mentioned the potential for big snow next week and he even mentioned (5-8inches w this one is a possibility) Stay tuned for this. Very active week coming up. 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 18z GFS just got rid of everything lol. LR and its only one run. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 53 minutes ago, Niko said: Amigo..this has huge potential. My local forecaster earlier this evening called it out fast to the viewers and mentioned the potential for big snow next week and he even mentioned (5-8inches w this one is a possibility) Stay tuned for this. Very active week coming up. It's nice to be able to be "tuned in" after last winter. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, jaster220 said: It's nice to be able to be "tuned in" after last winter. Was last winter warm and dry? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 59 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Was last winter warm and dry? No, it was just "weird". For my town, almost everything missed by mere miles, mostly N, but W, and E, and even S. I've endured 2 or 3 like that in my lifetime. Winter dice do come up snake eyes now and again. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 Rainfall totaled a respectable 0.45" here today. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 Further north.. Man! they've also had some serious winds in NMI with these CF's. This was yesterday, but Frankfort gusted to 68 MPH with the prior system. 2 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 26, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 Hope everyone has enjoyed their Thanksgiving. I had quite the feast and delighted to be out in AZ enjoying the warmth. This was one of the best birds I made. IMG_1310.MP4 IMG_1311.MP4 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving! Bring on the snow!!!! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: No, it was just "weird". For my town, almost everything missed by mere miles, mostly N, but W, and E, and even S. I've endured 2 or 3 like that in my lifetime. Winter dice do come up snake eyes now and again. It was definitely a weird Winter for Marshall. I remember my area getting snow, while yours was spare. Kinda like a "Dry Slot" in between. I don't think I have ever seen that before bud. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 So December is going from cold and snowy to some cold air but with some warm ups and maybe some snow or cold rain depends on when the warm air hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 It's a chilly 25 this morning but the winds have switched to the south and the warm up is beginning. The GFS and Euro are showing a major change in the pattern starting on the 4th. The GFS has a parade of major snow storms and a strong artic outbreak including a 1060mb artic high. Winter could arrive with a vengeance so enjoy the warm up, finish up your outdoor chores things look to get fun soon! #58daycycle 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 Welcome to Black Friday. Growing up in Alpena and Bay City I do not remember calling it "Black Friday" it was in fact just the day after Thanksgiving. Yes it was the start of the Christmas shopping season and stores had the after Thanksgiving sales but they did not call it "Black Friday" and it was the day of the lighting of the city Christmas tree. Anyway yesterdays light rain changed to light snow here around 5 PM but there was not much snow here and just a trace in on the ground this AM. The overnight low here was 27 with a some wind overnight. At this time it is cloudy and 27. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 56 minutes ago, Clinton said: It's a chilly 25 this morning but the winds have switched to the south and the warm up is beginning. The GFS and Euro are showing a major change in the pattern starting on the 4th. The GFS has a parade of major snow storms and a strong artic outbreak including a 1060mb artic high. Winter could arrive with a vengeance so enjoy the warm up, finish up your outdoor chores things look to get fun soon! #58daycycle Buckle up bud! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 A light dusting of snow on rooftops here this am. Very noticeable with a dark brown building theme. Must've caught one stray SHSN off Lk Mich. Slow fall of temps all night with 7 hrs of winds gusting 25-30 mph. You know it's not the warm season when winds gust during the normally calm hours. WC's in the upper teens gonna feel nasty cold. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2021 Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 All eyes to next weekend. Snow could return w/a vengeance again in SMI and this time for many on this forum. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 26, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2021 @Clinton, I did some digging into the LR pattern and from what I'm seeing (I was waiting for the CPC maps to update) is the W NAMER/PAC NW unusual warmth to begin flipping big time as we turn towards Week 1 of DEC. Using the strat map below, it appears there will be a "brief" transient period to open DEC allowing for a surge of warmth from a storm system that has been on my radar using the BSR from earlier in Nov. I recall this storm that formed over the Aleutians back in mid Nov (the start of a wave train) had a lot of blocking to the north of it and I was expecting to see more HP to form across Canada. The GFS op runs are going ballistic with the cold and affirms the idea which the BSR is suggesting that massive COLD Canadian HP's will ultimately "seed the cold" into the pattern post 4th. I do see, however, a signal for a SER in this pattern along with the lack of a -NAO/-AO block. This will keep the pattern very active but with transient cold/warm periods through mid DEC. Our members up north won't have to worry about their snow pack melting in between systems but those of us farther south will. Nevertheless, the fun will begin for most of the Sub once we get into the opening days of DEC. Notice at the end of the animation below, the blues which will indicate a trough to begin sliding down in typical La Nina fashion through W NAMER into the central Plains/Upper MW. This will bring us out towards the beginning of Week 2 in DEC when I feel the colder pattern will start to "press" farther S/SE. On top of that, the Euro OP is showing a Strat Warming event across NW NAMER to open DEC...just another LR signal that NW/W NAMER will fill up with brutal cold and has "eyes" for the west/central CONUS. It does appear that we are finally going to see some #realwinter wx for our western Sub returning but not in the immediate future. Meantime, the active eastern Sub will continue in the near term & mid range, of which, our next storm we will likely be tracking for the following weekend to open up DEC. 0z EPS members are signaling a growing possibility of an OHV track...one of the LRC's "hot spot" storm tracks. I haven't focused on which part of the LRC cycle this is but I will try to dive more deeply into this over the weekend. I have family here and one of my good friends is also visiting so my time will be sparse. Plus, I'll be out and enjoying the sunshine and soaking up Vitamin D poolside! Talk about a "boring" pattern, ay?? Not gonna complain... 0x EPS showing some big hits the following weekend....Lower Lakes/OHV cutter in the works??? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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