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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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Let's get this month going! :D

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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🌧🦃 Welcome to November 💨🍗

00z ECMWF - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. A wet run, but not quite as rainy as the GFS or Canadian. Fairly active at times with windy conditions, perhaps quite gusty south winds. Mountain snow begins to accumulate with even a little for the Coast Range.

floop-ecmwf-2021110100.500h_anom.na(1).gif

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

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10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

🌧🦃 Welcome to November 💨🍗

00z ECMWF - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. A wet run, but not quite as rainy as the GFS or Canadian. Fairly active at times with windy conditions, perhaps quite gusty south winds. Mountain snow begins to accumulate with even a little for the Coast Range.

floop-ecmwf-2021110100.500h_anom.na(1).gif

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

¡Vamos el viento! ¡Andale! ¡Andale! Arriba, Arriba

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I think it will be an interesting month with some pretty wild swings.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1st true "winter month" of the 2021-22 season. Let's make it a good one! (Or at least let it catapult us into more exciting months!)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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Solar activities looks much better tonight than last night and as such, some visible northern lights. Still not far south enough. Or at least the tilt is not favorable. 

Current live shot at Banff just before 1AM. 

 

C6494CC3-C627-478B-B11E-E898A75FC7EF.jpeg

A1304495-F9D2-44F8-AC21-CF3147360EC8.jpeg

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According to this, things gets quite interesting around mid-Nov, when the frames ends with GOA block in place. At least for us here on the west side. Second half of Nov could be quite fun. 

Read the entire thread, there are 3. 
 

 

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Buz0Xn8CAAEzLUM.jpg.3144fb7a971d719149cdb3c9db5ea263.jpg

Looking through old tweets and finding images I thought I had lost to the sands of time... This one's a good memory from 08/11/14 where unmodeled high based storms rolled in from the SSE after a 96°F high. Good times.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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BuDKmIvCMAAZWJl.jpg.7cda8fba340c00b323fe65dacb516ce6.jpg

Here's another thunderstorm pic, this time from the morning of 08/02/2014. I actually woke up to these as they blossomed indiscriminately for a few hours in the late morning, one tiny popup storm after another. They blew up so fast you could see them form in real time from small buildup to tower. Plenty of lightning and I think Ballard and SeaTac got nailed by some large hail (maybe 0.5" diameter?). There may have been more storms that afternoon or not... my mind is fuzzy and I never put anything on twitter so it's difficult to say for sure.

Sorry for starting the November 2021 thread right off the bat with images from summer 2014, but I'm just really psyched that I was able to recover these images after I thought I had lost them. Plus the weather's pretty slow right now and the banter thread is mainly football/politics.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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I'm shittting myself right now... just discovered I was beat by FIVE YEARS on my dopeass name. 😡😭

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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CUjoGSRUkAA6DDW.jpg.d2ed7a1d242a824e3eda6639ad897a97.jpg

Last one I promise :) February 2014

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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2 AM
The wind has increased significantly at my place near west Gresham roaring outside. Looking at the 00z WRF 1.33km hi-res model the gradient currently is about 2mb stronger than forecast. That happens quite often.

[Gorge/Gap Gradients]
PDX-DLS: -7.0mb
TTD-DLS: N/A
[Cross Cascade Gradients]
PDX-YKM: -7.4mb
PDX-MWH: -8.1mb
PDX-GEG: -7.3mb
OTH-GEG: -10.8mb

 

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46F with some light rain.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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16 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Wow! Look at the cam now :o Is that normal to see a live stream show the auroras moving so much?

 

 

Aurorae typically dance around quite a bit. I remember seeing a video last winter of some Finnish folks looking outside during an event, it was wild looking

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Rainfall, Snowfall

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

8 inches of rain over the next 16 days? Yikes. That be a drought reliever at least. I will gladly accept cold November rain though if that is what it will take to bring the goods down here for the first season in 3 years.

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53 here this morning... and it looks like it will rain this afternoon.    ECMWF was much more consistent on that idea and better than the GFS

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Wet on the first day, I'd say a good start!

KMAX_loop.gif

Looks pretty darn moist for K Falls November standards. It rains much much harder in Kentucky when it feels like it. When are you moving?

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10 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

In less than a week we should be going. Thinking by the 5th or 6th.

It was great to see reports and perspective from the southern Oregon desert. An asset to the forum for sure. I'm sad you will be gone. I'm sure you'll still hang out here and post plenty of cool stuff from Kentucky though.

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12 minutes ago, dolt said:

It was great to see reports and perspective from the southern Oregon desert. An asset to the forum for sure. I'm sad you will be gone. I'm sure you'll still hang out here and post plenty of cool stuff from Kentucky though.

I do intend to stick around on the forum! 

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[Signature in link]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Wow that 06z was fantastic wasn’t it!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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38F and it feels very cold out. It looks frosty on the plants and the fog is slowly burning off. Did not want to get up since our room was super cold. Coming down to the main area at 64 felt balmy by comparison. Time to scrape the ice.

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Noticed Eugene actually ended October with exactly average temps. 
 

-0.3 at SLE

-0.8 at PDX

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Might be hard to hold a candle this month methinks judging by that 06Z run.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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44 with light rain. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Almost in the blue! 

You are gonna get hammered! Prepare the plow!!!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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