PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Meatyorologist]

Let's get this month going! 

[Gradient Keeper]

Welcome to November

00z ECMWF - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. A wet run, but not quite as rainy as the GFS or Canadian. Fairly active at times with windy conditions, perhaps quite gusty south winds. Mountain snow begins to accumulate with even a little for the Coast Range.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[snow drift]

10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Welcome to November

00z ECMWF - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. A wet run, but not quite as rainy as the GFS or Canadian. Fairly active at times with windy conditions, perhaps quite gusty south winds. Mountain snow begins to accumulate with even a little for the Coast Range.

¡Vamos el viento! ¡Andale! ¡Andale! Arriba, Arriba

[snow_wizard]

I think it will be an interesting month with some pretty wild swings.

[Meatyorologist]

1st true "winter month" of the 2021-22 season. Let's make it a good one! (Or at least let it catapult us into more exciting months!)

[Cloud]

November! The real fun starts!

[Cloud]

Historically, this month is absolutely wild... let's see if it holds true this year. 

[Cloud]

Solar activities looks much better tonight than last night and as such, some visible northern lights. Still not far south enough. Or at least the tilt is not favorable. 

Current live shot at Banff just before 1AM. 

 

[Cloud]

According to this, things gets quite interesting around mid-Nov, when the frames ends with GOA block in place. At least for us here on the west side. Second half of Nov could be quite fun. 

Read the entire thread, there are 3. 
 

 

[Meatyorologist]

Looking through old tweets and finding images I thought I had lost to the sands of time... This one's a good memory from 08/11/14 where unmodeled high based storms rolled in from the SSE after a 96°F high. Good times.

[Meatyorologist]

Here's another thunderstorm pic, this time from the morning of 08/02/2014. I actually woke up to these as they blossomed indiscriminately for a few hours in the late morning, one tiny popup storm after another. They blew up so fast you could see them form in real time from small buildup to tower. Plenty of lightning and I think Ballard and SeaTac got nailed by some large hail (maybe 0.5" diameter?). There may have been more storms that afternoon or not... my mind is fuzzy and I never put anything on twitter so it's difficult to say for sure.

Sorry for starting the November 2021 thread right off the bat with images from summer 2014, but I'm just really psyched that I was able to recover these images after I thought I had lost them. Plus the weather's pretty slow right now and the banter thread is mainly football/politics.

[Meatyorologist]

I'm shittting myself right now... just discovered I was beat by FIVE YEARS on my dopeass name. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Wow! Here we go!

[Meatyorologist]

Last one I promise  February 2014

[Gradient Keeper]

2 AM
The wind has increased significantly at my place near west Gresham roaring outside. Looking at the 00z WRF 1.33km hi-res model the gradient currently is about 2mb stronger than forecast. That happens quite often.

[Gorge/Gap Gradients]
PDX-DLS: -7.0mb
TTD-DLS: N/A
[Cross Cascade Gradients]
PDX-YKM: -7.4mb
PDX-MWH: -8.1mb
PDX-GEG: -7.3mb
OTH-GEG: -10.8mb

 

[Gradient Keeper]

How did we miss this?

00z GEM(Canadian) Day 8. Such a deep, compact low and absolutely no gradient for western OR/WA. Looks amazing on Simulated IR.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

46F with some light rain.

[Gradient Keeper]

Wow! Look at the cam now Is that normal to see a live stream show the auroras moving so much?

 

 

[Meatyorologist]

16 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Wow! Look at the cam now Is that normal to see a live stream show the auroras moving so much?

 

 

Aurorae typically dance around quite a bit. I remember seeing a video last winter of some Finnish folks looking outside during an event, it was wild looking

[BLI snowman]

Fun 06z run.

[Gradient Keeper]

6z GFS - Full run

[Gradient Keeper]

Rainfall, Snowfall

[dolt]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Rainfall, Snowfall

8 inches of rain over the next 16 days? Yikes. That be a drought reliever at least. I will gladly accept cold November rain though if that is what it will take to bring the goods down here for the first season in 3 years.

[Gradient Keeper]

[TT-SEA]

53 here this morning... and it looks like it will rain this afternoon.    ECMWF was much more consistent on that idea and better than the GFS

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Up to 33˚F after a low of 32 earlier. Obviously a little low-level advection going on.

Update: meanwhile, a relatively balmy 45˚F atop nearby Sumas Mountain (3,400').

[BLI snowman]

41 with light rain starting up here. First "cold" rain of the season.

Should be plenty more to come!

[Timmy Supercell]

Wet on the first day, I'd say a good start!

[dolt]

6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Wet on the first day, I'd say a good start!

Looks pretty darn moist for K Falls November standards. It rains much much harder in Kentucky when it feels like it. When are you moving?

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, dolt said:

Looks pretty darn moist for K Falls November standards. It rains much much harder in Kentucky when it feels like it. When are you moving?

In less than a week we should be going. Thinking by the 5th or 6th.

[dolt]

10 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

In less than a week we should be going. Thinking by the 5th or 6th.

It was great to see reports and perspective from the southern Oregon desert. An asset to the forum for sure. I'm sad you will be gone. I'm sure you'll still hang out here and post plenty of cool stuff from Kentucky though.

[Timmy Supercell]

12 minutes ago, dolt said:

It was great to see reports and perspective from the southern Oregon desert. An asset to the forum for sure. I'm sad you will be gone. I'm sure you'll still hang out here and post plenty of cool stuff from Kentucky though.

I do intend to stick around on the forum! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow that 06z was fantastic wasn’t it!

[LowerGarfield]

38F and it feels very cold out. It looks frosty on the plants and the fog is slowly burning off. Did not want to get up since our room was super cold. Coming down to the main area at 64 felt balmy by comparison. Time to scrape the ice.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Noticed Eugene actually ended October with exactly average temps. 
 

-0.3 at SLE

-0.8 at PDX

[The Blob]

So this is where everyone was at. I always forget to look for the new thread.

[The Blob]

The clouds look dark here

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Beautiful clear dry morning up this way. 32˚F and frosty.

[Blizzard777]

4 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

Wow! Look at the cam now Is that normal to see a live stream show the auroras moving so much?

 

 

I need a camera like that …..such a cool night time sky !