snow drift Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 The latest weekly SST departures are: Niño 4 -0.5ºC Niño 3.4 -1.1ºC Niño 3 -0.9ºC Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 So 12z gfs là là land shows another AR that seems to go on forever. Inside 200 hours we’ve been teetering at the edge of a windstorm and finally gets slap with one next weekend. Ahhh yes, november! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: So 12z gfs là là land shows another AR that seems to go on forever. Inside 200 hours we’ve been teetering at the edge of a windstorm and finally gets slap with one next weekend. Ahhh yes, november! It does, it's actually something I envisioned happening at some point in November so we will see, an AR the just kind of drifts north and eventually dies, warm southerly flow here. Followed by a few days of ridging and then a pattern reset. It's possible... 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: It’s far worse when a pregnant raccoon gives birth on the floor of your red Prius. A very raw 44.2, dewpoint 37.6, with light rain and a gusty east wind. It is nasty out there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Both the GFS and EURO show us getting some wet snow next week. We had snow on the 11th or 12th back in 2015, which is the earliest snow we have had in November. Something to watch. 1 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 50 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Liking the looks of that 15.6 over Vancouver BC. Something tells me it’s the result of “slop over” in the models from the nearby mountains, and that some shade of blue is probably a more realistic color than Pepto pink. Pretty hard to imagine that pattern producing snowfall to sea level this early in the season. I mean there is some pretty decent arctic air pouring out over the pacific but I imagine snow levels would probably end up 1000ft and up if that verified 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: A very raw 44.2, dewpoint 37.6, with light rain and a gusty east wind. It is nasty out there. Not windy here in Salem, but chilly and wet, I need to go pick up my coat from the dry cleaners! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 48 after a low of 33. Started out sunny today, the sun angle has finally hit a point where I had to throw up a piece of cardboard to block the glare. My old desk set up was out of the sun, but the new desk set up is not so much. Of course as soon as I did that the clouds started moving in LOL! Looks like I will need to take out the big window fan I have and install some blinds. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 12z vs 00z Snowfall thru hour 228/240 Washington Oregon 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: First snowstorm shows up between 210-222 hours on Euro here, but we'll probably be driving the uHaul through OKC or Memphis around that time period. I'll keep an eye on the cocorahs site we have here (OR-KL-5) for snow in this area. There was one or two winters our snowfall compared pretty closely. You leave and it snows? Coincidence? Analog? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 12z vs 00z Snowfall thru hour 228/240 Washington Oregon Tim is gonna have to start taking care of that garden. Pretty sure he planted something this past weekend. Bad idea! 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: You leave and it snows? Coincidence? Analog? Moved here right after the brunt of Nov 2010 snow/cold events which buried southern Oregon more so than north. Leaving could mean endless skiing through Spring! 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Tim is gonna have to start taking care of that garden. Pretty sure he planted something this past weekend. Bad idea! Might be the end of the roses blooming! But we cleaned out everything from the vegetable garden yesterday. Ready for winter. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Might be the end of the roses blooming! But we cleaned out everything from the vegetable garden yesterday. Ready for winter. Have you tried planting some guernsey lily? Or do you have any fall/winter plants? We planted some this past year thinking they’re spring/summer flowers but apparently they bloom during the fall/winter. Quite beautiful! And they’re actually not that of a hassle to care for this time of year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Have you tried planting some guernsey lily? Or do you have any fall/winter plants? We planted some this past year thinking they’re spring/summer flowers but apparently they bloom during the fall/winter. Quite beautiful! And they’re actually not that of a hassle to care for this time of year. Have not tried that. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 I just told everyone that it's going to snow next week and it's guaranteed. 1 3 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 44° currently, which is the high so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Got back to Tacoma about an hour ago…hit some light rain in silverdale but the roads weren’t really wet until I got south of Bremerton. Looks like we had a low temp of 40 and 0.02” so far here today. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 SEA jumped up to 57 last hour... still 59 in North Bend after a morning low of 53. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 12z EPS finally drops the Mongolian High D8-9, with a solid Scand High/Aleutian Low regime D10-15. Looks like a wavey breaky 2nd half of Nov. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 EPS wind gust a tiny bit higher for thursday/fri for my area. 12z on top 00z on bottom 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 12z Euro vs GFS Wind Gust Swath (max wind gust through hour 90) GFS Euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: I just told everyone that it's going to snow next week and it's guaranteed. Good! I want that snow and cold held off until the holiday season 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA jumped up to 57 last hour... still 59 in North Bend after a morning low of 53. 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Weeklies are out. These are 5 day averages not daily averages. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies are out. These are 5 day averages not daily averages. Not terrible. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 CFS now going warm and dry for December, cold in January, very cold in February. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 39 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Looks like October 2021 finished -1.0 here…and about an inch above average rainfall. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Rain is here. 49°F. Max so far: 50°F. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Looks like we also maxed out at 50 today…0.05” so far. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Now down to the low temp for the day of 51. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 High of 53 so far at 650 this morning. Currently 47, low for the day. Pretty raw, but at least the timing was good for Halloween. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 46 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies are out. These are 5 day averages not daily averages. Thanks for posting this. This looks quite encouraging to me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 18z GFS vs 12z GFS for Thursday low 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 18z GFS wind gust swath vs 12z. Lowered by ~5mph for puget sound, shifted that amount higher for PDX 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies are out. These are 5 day averages not daily averages. Look like last year’s around this time. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 How’s that SSW coming along guys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: How’s that SSW coming along guys? Super Shitty Winter starts Dec 21st 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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