FroYoBro Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 GFS likes windstorm potential for Next Monday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 hmmmmm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: GFS likes windstorm potential for Next Monday. Sped up the system from Tuesday by about 20 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Yeah. Day 6-7 near miss could have been a very damaging wind storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah. Day 6-7 near miss could be a very damaging wind storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Yeah still some potential for that to be a decent storm. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 0.10” so far today. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Is this trying to be a '14-15 but with more mountain snow? The models are spitting out more potential wind events. I know, more than a week away. Every 3-4 weeks was a 55-60mph event here and Feb 2015 delivered a nice 65-68 early one morning. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 The east wind torture is finally over. The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Is this trying to be a '14-15 but with more mountain snow? The models are spitting out more potential wind events. I know, more than a week away. Every 3-4 weeks was a 55-60mph event here and Feb 2015 delivered a nice 65-68 early one morning. That was a Nino and a total torch fest. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Totally awesome 18z run. Lowland snow and some crazy blocking. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 38 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah. Day 6-7 near miss could have been a very damaging wind storm. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That was a Nino and a total torch fest. Yes, I realize El Nino that time. Nothing beats the lack of snow more than that winter. 2.9" whole inches. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The east wind torture is finally over. The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night. Torture? Its just a short break... the east wind returns tomorrow and Wednesday. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Looks like 18z is giving Randy and Tim a nice shot at some accumulating snow over next 10 days. Looking pretty good over the passes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The east wind torture is finally over. The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night. That's crazy to thing about. I'm around 20 miles from you and I was down to 33 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Torture? Its just a short break... the east wind returns tomorrow and Wednesday. Sending Prayers for Jim. 1 1 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 49 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah. Day 6-7 near miss could have been a very damaging wind storm. No doubt a wind storm window is coming up again. Very active pattern being shown.. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Sending Prayers for Jim. I just hate it when it costs us a cold night. that won't be the case so much for the rest of the week. In reality the east wind only costs me about 5 freezes a year, but it sucks when it happens. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 The cottonwoods are stealing the show for native trees this year. Some of them are bright yellow and gold now. For some reason the usual brown shriveling didn't happen this year. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The cottonwoods are stealing the show for native trees this year. Some of them are bright yellow and gold now. For some reason the usual brown shriveling didn't happen this year. I have noticed the same thing here... cottonwoods look pretty colorful. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 The trees are pretty much bare here. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I just hate it when it costs us a cold night. that won't be the case so much for the rest of the week. In reality the east wind only costs me about 5 freezes a year, but it sucks when it happens. Seems like the east wind prevents freezing temps at night way more than 5 times per year here. Its pretty much a given when there is offshore flow unless its during a snowstorm. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: Look like last year’s around this time. Yeah it was pretty consistent on showing a snowy pattern for West of the Cascades. And it was pretty wrong too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies are out. These are 5 day averages not daily averages. Depending on where the trough sets up, there is big potential for a long duration cold pattern if that verifies. Looks like persistent GOA and high latitude blocking. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The trees are pretty much bare here. Took this pic this morning when the sun was rising and before the clouds and rain arrived... cottonwoods are brilliant yellow right now. 3 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 Some nice snow up at Snoqualmie...looks like snow level is around Alpental base level at the moment. https://summitatsnoqualmie.com/webcams 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 2, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Depending on where the trough sets up, there is big potential for a long duration cold pattern if that verifies. Looks like persistent GOA and high latitude blocking. We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010. Tough to get when your serious cold has pretty much only been happening in February. 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 KPDX rain did not amount to much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010. Wow. That’s just sad. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: KPDX rain did not amount to much. Rained a little more down here. 0.31” to start the month. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 LET'S GOOOOOOOOO Time to buy my season pass! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 2, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wow. That’s just sad. Yeah, the only stretch which compares is 1937-45. Even then it was sandwiched between generational winter spells. Though in the snow department we’ve been very lucky and both February 2019 and 2021 had subfreezing highs and snow on the ground. Seatac was ~2°F too warm throughout much of February 2019 compared to the north end of the city. I wouldn’t mind a winter event with most of the precipitation gunning for Oregon and arctic air intruding everywhere (25°F highs and such.) Three top-tier snowstorms in three years has been a wonderous stretch I never could have imagined before 2019, and the Wilamette Valley is due. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Yeah it was pretty consistent on showing a snowy pattern for West of the Cascades. And it was pretty wrong too. Pretty obvious this year is a much different animal than last year though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Yeah, the only stretch which compares is 1937-45. Even then it was sandwiched between generational winter spells. Though in the snow department we’ve been very lucky and both February 2019 and 2021 had subfreezing highs and snow on the ground. Seatac was ~2°F too warm throughout much of February 2019 compared to the north end of the city. I wouldn’t mind a winter event with most of the precipitation gunning for Oregon and arctic air intruding everywhere (25°F highs and such.) Three top-tier snowstorms in three years has been a wonderous stretch I never could have imagined before 2019, and the Wilamette Valley is due. 1937-38 through 1945-46 was horrendous. The only thing worth a D**n in there was January 1943. As for your second point....as long as we get a good snow going into the cold. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The trees are pretty much bare here. The cottonwoods are always the latest here. A lot of species are bare here too. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 Interesting analogs today. None from this century on most runs and 1970 continues to show up. I wonder if that's an analog? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Cloud said: Bad driving 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2021 Report Share Posted November 2, 2021 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I just hate it when it costs us a cold night. that won't be the case so much for the rest of the week. In reality the east wind only costs me about 5 freezes a year, but it sucks when it happens. East wind is a tricky friend to have….it is what it is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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