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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Why is Oregon always so lucky?

image.thumb.png.fcbed27b4b0b3cea20d7d8460dbeb9f3.png

Why does our weather always suck?!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

I went in raw…now I got 3 kids. Maybe an analog??

You have 3 kids?! I think i have the most kids in this group, but I could be wrong. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You have 3 kids?! I think i have the most kids in this group, but I could be wrong. 

Naw I’m joking. I got zero atm. I’m holding off having kids for the next 5 years prob. How many kids do u have?

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You have 3 kids?! I think i have the most kids in this group, but I could be wrong. 

Only 2 here…And that number will not be going any higher. I don’t know how parents keep up when the kids out number you! Though I’m old and tired so that doesn’t help! 🤣 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Naw I’m joking. I got zero atm. I’m holding off having kids for the next 5 years prob. How many kids do u have?

4... #5 coming in February!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Why does our weather always suck?!

Yeah I’m pretty sure just in terms of winter weather western Washington has been winning bigtime the last few years. Some years western Oregon seems to fare better but even in those years we usually score too still. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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24 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Meet Fred, my shop spider. He has taken over Arnold Palmer’s vintage balls and is eating his lunch on them. 

5ED3E333-7AEC-41F4-8E45-CEA5C32ED00B.jpeg

FRED! We are thinking of naming our kid FRED if it's a boy. Or Ezekiel. But I have 4 girls, so it will probably be a girl. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Still are yet to get a freeze here this fall and don’t see any freezing weather on the horizon. Not a bad thing at all though 2008,2016 and 2018 our top 3 winters in the 21st century didn’t get us down to freezing until late November-mid December. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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39 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Looks quite raw for the next 10 days.

Several cold shots being shown in that time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Finally getting the chance to look over my full October stats...

Average temp was 50.6 (slightly below average) with a high of 71 on 10/2 and a low of 30 on 10/12. Precip was 6.07 (well above average) with 23 of 31 days having recorded rainfall. Highest wind gust was 33 mph but I take that with a grain of salt as my station is pretty protected from the wind unfortunately. Although that's actually a pretty high reading considering that.

Hope we can score some good storms this month! Windstorms, snowstorms, thunderstorms... Whatever wild weather mother nature has got up her sleeve I'm game.

It was a well balanced active month.  Like seeing both cold and wetter than normal in October.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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My first power outage at our current place happened 3yrs ago today! One of the shortest outages to date at only about 8hrs. 

292DC523-E428-4B22-9E86-53CC46F956D8.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Still are yet to get a freeze here this fall and don’t see any freezing weather on the horizon. Not a bad thing at all though 2008,2016 and 2018 our top 3 winters in the 21st century didn’t get us down to freezing until late November-mid December. 

How on Earth did you avoid a freeze in October 2008?  Some places did low to mid 20s at mid month in October that year.  This year I got my first one a while ago now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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There appears to be a pretty good signal emerging for a warm period after day 10.  That's after quite a bit of chilly weather though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

How on Earth did you avoid a freeze in October 2008?  Some places did low to mid 20s at mid month in October that year.  This year I got my first one a while ago now.

Yeah apparently it got chilly then! 


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
356 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
EVERETT AND VICINITY-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
356 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING. 

A COLD AIR MASS MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WILL
GIVE THE LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF THE EARLY FALL SEASON TO
THE LOWLANDS.

MORNING MINIMUM TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE 30S...WITH UPPER
20S IN OUTLYING RIVER VALLEYS AND IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR. FROST CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY LOCATIONS THIS MORNING.
ANOTHER COLD MORNING IS EXPECTED SUNDAY.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.
ALBRECHT
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

There appears to be a pretty good signal emerging for a warm period after day 10.  That's after quite a bit of chilly weather though.

Agree on the warm signal. No sign of Cold weather before that. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Agree on the warm signal. No sign of Cold weather before that. 

Other than the sustained subnormal 850s.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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36 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z GEM Day 7

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_29.png

I think the chances are probably better than even that somebody is going to get a windstorm in the next 10 days.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The GFS ensemble shows 850s below zero for a week straight starting in a few days.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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