SouthHillFrosty Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 41 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Our hands look like this in November so our hands can look blue in December Let’s torch baby!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Week-2 12z EPS is Tim-errific. Inversion season is in full swing by then. Extended longwave ridging= Fog for most of us. Dirty, flatter ridging= Warm front drizzle and fog. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 I did predict a warm/dryish November... Seems like that is a LOCK. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: I did predict a warm/dryish November... Seems like that is a LOCK. Isn’t a dry November a bad sign? Ik warm is usually good but idk about dry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 Just now, BLI snowman said: Inversion season is in full swing by then. Extended longwave ridging= Fog for most of us. Dirty, flatter ridging= Warm front drizzle and fog. Yeah... its tough to get sun with ridging by this point in the year. Deep troughing is usually more effective in that regard. Although an inversion for the lowlands would probably be sunny out here with offshore flow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I take it you will be spending the month in TWISP. Ideally....yes. Practically...no. Baby #2 is due second week of December so i'll be locked into Renton for a little bit. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: One of the best snow cars I ever had was the 1970 Dodge Polara station wagon I had in college. A big old “lead sled” of a rustbucket, but its 383 V8 hauled *ss. Great fun to get the stink eye from people in much newer, better looking cars as I zoomed past them up the mountain passes at full highway speed in it. It had a good set of snow tires on it, and its mass meant great momentum for breaking through drifts. It was almost unstoppable in that regard. My apologies if I’ve related the story before, but I schemed long and hard to get my parents to give it to me. While a sophomore in high school, I said to my self: “Self, the old green car looks like crap but it runs great. Ask your parents if they will let you have it when you go off to college. They will probably agree because they do not believe it will still be running then.” So I did. After the gales of laughter (“He actually thinks that old heap will still be running in three years!”), they reassured me that if they still had the green car, and it still ran, then of course they would let have it when I went off to college. When the day arrived, “We weren’t being serious when we said that.” But I pressed the issue, and got the car. My Best (actually not so best) snow car was a '77 datsun 280Z. We had a surprise snowfall and classes got cancelled, I made it about 1/2 mile before putting it in the ditch (bald tires of course). I got pulled out and crept home in 1st or 2nd gear. My best car in the snow (of my crappy high school/college cars) was actually a tie. I had an '86 Isuzu Trooper that was an absolute beast in the snow. I worked late one night in Atlanta when a decent snow came in, and had a 45 minute commute home. I drove about 10 miles before it started slipping. I pulled over, figured out how to put it in 4wd and took off again. The thing did great. I passed some poor State Trooper trying to do a blood run in a 5.0 Mustang, and the only car that passed me was a Saab. When I moved to Oregon I got a 1983 Volvo 240 Diesel. Even with very worn all season tires, I made it from Albany to Corvallis in a decent snowstorm with no issue. I was white knuckle the whole way because I new I had crappy tires and very little experience driving in the snow but the car was so bloody heavy it didn't matter. I think I dropped the pressure in my tires to give me as much of a footprint as possible, and motored on down the road. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Isn’t a dry November a bad sign? Ik warm is usually good but idk about dry The regionally dry ones tend to be pretty universally bad signs for the most part. 2019, 2000, 1993, 1976, 1969, 1952, 1943... a couple of big exceptions though like 1956 and 1936. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... its tough to get sun with ridging by this point in the year. Deep troughing is usually more effective in that regard. Although an inversion for the lowlands would probably be sunny out here with offshore flow. It feels like we're pretty due for a fogversion of some stature. It seems like our ridging episodes the past few cold seasons have been consistently warmer, sunnier, and better mixed than normal. Maybe I'm overlooking something but it seems like December 2017 was the last remotely impressive inversion during the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: It feels like we're pretty due for a fogversion of some stature. It seems like our ridging episodes the past few cold seasons have been consistently warmer, sunnier, and better mixed than normal. Maybe I'm overlooking something but it seems like December 2017 was the last remotely impressive inversion during the season. Haven’t had a whole lot of amplified patterns for the most part. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 Nice looking GFS run. Very active and cool this weekend and next week and then a nice looking GOA block by the end. The ECMWF shows one night getting a freeze early next week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 I thought today was supposed to be dry…It’s currently pouring here. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: I thought today was supposed to be dry…It’s currently pouring here. Yeah... not so good up there. ECMWF showed the dry wedge primarily for King and Pierce counties. Just a few sprinkles shown down here. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 EPS back to 40+ for tomorrow night/friday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 39 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: My Best (actually not so best) snow car was a '77 datsun 280Z. We had a surprise snowfall and classes got cancelled, I made it about 1/2 mile before putting it in the ditch (bald tires of course). I got pulled out and crept home in 1st or 2nd gear. My best car in the snow (of my crappy high school/college cars) was actually a tie. I had an '86 Isuzu Trooper that was an absolute beast in the snow. I worked late one night in Atlanta when a decent snow came in, and had a 45 minute commute home. I drove about 10 miles before it started slipping. I pulled over, figured out how to put it in 4wd and took off again. The thing did great. I passed some poor State Trooper trying to do a blood run in a 5.0 Mustang, and the only car that passed me was a Saab. When I moved to Oregon I got a 1983 Volvo 240 Diesel. Even with very worn all season tires, I made it from Albany to Corvallis in a decent snowstorm with no issue. I was white knuckle the whole way because I new I had crappy tires and very little experience driving in the snow but the car was so bloody heavy it didn't matter. I think I dropped the pressure in my tires to give me as much of a footprint as possible, and motored on down the road. I have no horror stories. I owned a 93' Subaru Impreza, and I used to own a 98' Outback. I have a Dodge Caliber currently. It is kind of mediocre in the snow, but it's better than most older cars. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 guys.....i'm beginning to think the GFS is not a great weather model 3 1 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... not so good up there. ECMWF showed the dry wedge primarily for King and Pierce counties. Just a few sprinkles shown down here. Huh....up to .30" here. Looks like KBLI is up to .20" 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Huh....up to .30" here. Looks like KBLI is up to .20" That is not for the entire day... just a snapshot of where the rain would be focused today. 0.00 here today. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 56/45 0.03” so far. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: guys.....i'm beginning to think the GFS is not a great weather model Well here's my model, last three times I bought a computer all of us had goods within weeks. 2008, 2013, 2019, 2021! And La Palma 1949! 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 58 minutes ago, MossMan said: I thought today was supposed to be dry…It’s currently pouring here. Sun is out here, I was hoping for at least overcast today. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Well here's my model, last three times I bought a computer all of us had goods within weeks. 2008, 2013, 2019, 2021! And La Palma 1949! FOH with that kentucky fried bullshiit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 We have rain showers moving back in now. It was dry for most of the day today but also quite gloomy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 55 minutes ago, snow drift said: I have no horror stories. I owned a 93' Subaru Impreza, and I used to own a 98' Outback. I have a Dodge Caliber currently. It is kind of mediocre in the snow, but it's better than most older cars. All of my vehicles after my ElCamino have been 4wd/Awd since minus my run around Jetta I had in the later 2000’s when gas prices were insane. However my 4wd truck and AWD Outback could not make it up our steep driveway in February 2019 after a few days of driving up and down it turning it into an amazingly slick compact snow/ice combo. That is when I invested in a plow attachment for my mower. The pictures do not do it Justice with just how steep the driveway is. I had to borrow the neighbors tractor that first big snow we had at our current location. 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: She's a beauty!! A Pacific storm in its true form. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post T-Town Posted November 3, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 The tree that lost it’s top in the windstorm has paid the ultimate price. 4 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 I really, really hope the current Northern Oregon Cascades forecast is accurate... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 Got to 63 today, a bit warmer than yesterday but not like how we started off Nov last year with 70's. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 3 hours ago, MossMan said: I know this is slightly off topic but does anyone know what type of plant this is with the red berries? Noticed it out in my woods. It is likely a false lily of the valley or Solomon's seal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, Fircrest said: It is likely a false lily of the valley or Solomon's seal. Thanks! Just wondering if the berries could be toxic to my dogs, I will look into those. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 26 minutes ago, T-Town said: The tree that lost it’s top in the windstorm has paid the ultimate price. Dang, i would have come and taken that log off your hands. Would be perfect for the sawmill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Dang, i would have come and taken that log off your hands. Would be perfect for the sawmill That would have been pretty cool. There was some rot at the top but it was mostly pretty solid. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 18z is Decemberific! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 3, 2021 Report Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Still some pretty decent colors here in Tacoma but lots of the trees are getting to the half bare point. Probably will be a lot more bare after the breezy conditions expected tomorrow. Nice day though 55 and cloudy. I may of past you! Walked from there to Owen Beach and back 56* and drippy out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Just now, Jginmartini said: I may of past you! Walked from there to Owen Beach and back 56* and drippy out Lol that’s funny I may have walked right by you and didn’t even know! 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol that’s funny I may have walked right by you and didn’t even know! https://seattle.craigslist.org/search/tac/mis? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: https://seattle.craigslist.org/search/tac/mis? lmao these are great 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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