MossMan Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 10 hours ago, Kolk1604 said: Wait snow in the believable range? More snow at my old place than my new place. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 13 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Drought situation is improved even more now. But I have been told that the gradient isn't real and the forecast maps show Oregon getting 27'' of rain in the next (insert timeframe beyond the believable range here). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 57 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think. Good luck and safe travels! 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: But I have been told that the gradient isn't real and the forecast maps show Oregon getting 27'' of rain in the next (insert timeframe beyond the believable range here). Literally no one said anything about that much rain. Models look good but as expected the posts are the same from you lol. 5 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Not at all... but it might be less blocky. For example... the 1998-2001 Nina period was during the ascent of solar cycle 23. Not sure if there is even a connection between solar activity and the jet stream... but the jet does seem to be more active during high solar periods. I prefer low solar. Blocking= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: But I have been told that the gradient isn't real and the forecast maps show Oregon getting 27'' of rain in the next (insert timeframe beyond the believable range here). Don't look to be many dry days coming up. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 The Euro shows that Everett snow falling tomorrow night. Definitely not a pattern that would support that. 3 1 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think. Good luck and have a safe trip. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think. At least I’ll have someone to talk to in my thread instead of myself. 4 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: At least I’ll have someone to talk to in my thread instead of myself. Yeah aren't there annual threads over there? 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Gusts 50-60 mph down Puget Sound. Those low res maps very rarely show winds that strong here. Usually they show way weaker winds than the high-res models. Course the 6z had the storm like 15mb weaker and 250 miles further South so fairly a moot point at this point still. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 21 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: But I have been told that the gradient isn't real and the forecast maps show Oregon getting 27'' of rain in the next (insert timeframe beyond the believable range here). You have been creating a boogey man that doesn’t exist on here. We all know about the southerly gradient for the drought. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 This is interesting. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Fairly stormy morning here with some rain and breezy conditions. Been loving this type of weather over the past two weeks. Hoping for more wind with the early next week system. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Yeah aren't there annual threads over there? Lol yup. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 So much drought... I get it, it won't really be this wet. But better to have the models showing this than bone dry conditions. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 43 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Drought situation is improved even more now. The NW drought will be a distant memory by March. I was never concerned. La niña always delivers. Matter of fact, it's raining right now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 All Portland can get is some light rain! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: So much drought... I get it, it won't really be this wet. But better to have the models showing this than bone dry conditions. I bet you between $0 and $100 that the 16 day total at KPDX will be between 1 and 1000% of that. Any takers? 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 53 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Drought situation is improved even more now. Still lots of catch up to do. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I bet you between $0 and $100 that the 16 day total at KPDX will be between 1 and 1000% of that. Any takers? I will put $0 on the 1,000,000th percentile! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 South wind has made it in. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Still lots of catch up to do. Definitely, I think Washington and Oregon are going to be in the clear by the time spring rolls around but I’m not sure about California. Pretty amazing how that AR in California just put a dent in it. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: South wind has made it in. It is getting breezy up here too just in the last 30 minutes. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: So much drought... I get it, it won't really be this wet. But better to have the models showing this than bone dry conditions. I predict a Tim jackpot. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Skagit Weather Posted November 4, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Woke up randomly at about 5:30 a.m. to clear skies and the aurora borealis visible to the north. Managed to get a few pictures before the clouds came back in and sunrise spoiled the show. 18 3 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Great video near Hansville (Skunk Bay Weather) of the short period of clearing. 5 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Woke up randomly at about 5:30 a.m. to clear skies and the aurora borealis visible to the north. Managed to get a few pictures before the clouds came back in and sunrise spoiled the show. Wow! 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 In more earth related news, I don't know how frequently this happens in the Coastal Ranges of BC and Alaska, but it looks like the Chugach got slammed by that atmospheric river up in AK. https://snowbrains.com/did-alaskas-chugach-range-just-get-over-28-feet-of-snow-in-3-days/ Saw the article and thought I would share. I wish they had more remote snow measuring stations in mountain ranges around the world to see actually what crazy snowfall records there would be. Look at this NWS point forecast! 1 5 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 0.32” so far today and 1.38” for the month. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Well we might finally see some gusts over 30mph here. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Here's the Tuesday low... That’s a great location for PDX wind. Lock it in! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Skagit Weather said: In more earth related news, I don't know how frequently this happens in the Coastal Ranges of BC and Alaska, but it looks like the Chugach got slammed by that atmospheric river up in AK. https://snowbrains.com/did-alaskas-chugach-range-just-get-over-28-feet-of-snow-in-3-days/ Saw the article and thought I would share. I wish they had more remote snow measuring stations in mountain ranges around the world to see actually what crazy snowfall records there would be. Look at this NWS point forecast! That's 16-17 feet in 24 hours. Holy sh*t. 3 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 "What's that doing there?!? Not them too!" 1 1 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Three other neighbors up here have already done the same, 2021 must have been a year to sell. 3 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 Models took a pretty significant change this morning for late next week...Ridge looks to breakdown a lot quicker. 3 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z Euro still showing some snow in the air for some lowland locations this weekend. Actually shows me being in the dark blue but thinking that is resolution issues. Wth, ya, no way I see 3 inches of snow, let alone a single snowflake. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Wth, ya, no way I see 3 inches of snow, let alone a single snowflake. The regular snow map from the ECMWF shows about a foot of snow here on Sunday with southerly flow and temps in the 40s... the kuchera map shows maybe an inch or 2. Very strange. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, Kayla said: Models took a pretty significant change this morning for late next week...Ridge looks to breakdown a lot quicker. 12Z ECMWF is almost identical to its 00Z run for late next week. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 4, 2021 Report Share Posted November 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The regular snow map from the ECMWF shows about a foot of snow here on Sunday with southerly flow and temps in the 40s... the kuchera map shows maybe an inch or 2. Very strange. I could see you possibly seeing some snow mixing in under a heavy shower late Saturday in to Sunday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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