PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Front Ranger]

52 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My Stihl has a lot of mileage on it! This is how I spent my lunch break! Been blowing twice a week so it’s not too bad and I can get the driveway and landscaped areas done in an hour. Could not imagine life without it!

First person blower!

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, dolt said:

It's a long trek on the reverse Oregon trail. Good luck on the river crossings. 

 

Well now we know who will disappear next. The search parties will be notified of your absence.

[Deweydog]

https://days.to/until/1-december

[SouthHillFrosty]

[MossMan]

35 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I can understand clearing walkways, but why the driveway?

If I don’t there is so much material that drops from the trees that it eventually turns to mud, the driveway doesn’t appear to be steep in the picture but it’s quite steep to the point where people start spinning non AWD tires trying to get up the driveway which would drive me nuts seeing the muddy skid marks. Someday I plan on paving it…In the far distant future. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

https://days.to/until/1-december

Meteorological winter 

[MossMan]

44 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Boredom

Definitely not bored…Life is insanely busy but I like nice clean landscaping hence why I chose to do that during lunch instead of eating! 

[TheNewCulverJosh]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Definitely not bored…Life is insanely busy but I like nice clean landscaping hence why I chose to do that during lunch instead of eating! 

I know, I just like to joke around.  Looks like some heavy stuff off the coast showing up.  We got a quick .03 here in Culver....doubt we triple that during this event.  The warm front is usually the big producer.

[Cloud]

White Turkey? And I don’t mean tofurkey either. 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

White Turkey? And I don’t mean tofurkey either. 

Are you having turkey for Hanukkah?  If yes, then YES!

[GHweatherChris]

29 minutes ago, MossMan said:

If I don’t there is so much material that drops from the trees that it eventually turns to mud, the driveway doesn’t appear to be steep in the picture but it’s quite steep to the point where people start spinning non AWD tires trying to get up the driveway which would drive me nuts seeing the muddy skid marks. Someday I plan on paving it…In the far distant future. 

You could pave it sooner if you quit allowing tofu and salmon topped with cheese to be purchased.

[TT-SEA]

5 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

And by the end of round 2...

00Z GFS starting to back down to reality... cut the total for Seattle in half from the 18Z run through the exact same time period.

 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

More variable seasons, I think Kentucky gets more blizzards than Klamath Falls but averages around a 1/3rd my former snowfall annually. 

Well, you’ll definitely get more snow than me on that side of the Appalachians. Also you won’t have to worry about the downslope wind.

Summer will still suck, though.

[Blizzard777]

10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

You could pave it sooner if you quit allowing tofu and salmon topped with cheese to be purchased.

Blowers, salmon topped with cheese and TacomaWX picture on a milk carton!  Love this forum! 
 

45* and .03 in the bucket 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This seems like a complete bust.

[Phil]

Oh, plus he’s in the heart of Derecho country now. You ain’t experienced severe weather until you experience one of those beasts.

[umadbro]

Models seem to be backing off. But the models have underperformed going back a couple months now. Which is odd. Time to just sit back and see.

[RentonHill]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS starting to back down to reality... cut the total for Seattle in half from the 18Z run through the exact same time period.

 

Honestly kind of feel sad for the GFS. But I guess the other non euro models were all out of the barn on this one too. 

[RentonHill]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This seems like a complete bust.

Is it a bust if the euro was never on board?

[Requiem]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This seems like a complete bust.

I wouldn't write it off quite yet considering heavy rain is starting to develop off the coast at the moment. WPC mesoscale discussion puts it pretty well, actually. 

WPC's Excessive Rainfall Discussion (noaa.gov)

Every model paints at least a couple inches for the higher elevations. Though the mesoscale models are somewhat backing down for spots, there's nothing indicating we won't see couple hours of heavy rain.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Requiem said:

I wouldn't write it off quite yet considering heavy rain is starting to develop off the coast at the moment. WPC mesoscale discussion puts it pretty well, actually. 

WPC's Excessive Rainfall Discussion (noaa.gov)

Every model paints at least a couple inches for the higher elevations. Though the mesoscale models are somewhat backing down for spots, there's nothing indicating we won't see couple hours of heavy rain.

Oh... its going to rain plenty.    Just not an epic AR event.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Oh... its going to rain plenty.    Just not an epic AR event.  

Yes true 

[SouthHillFrosty]

What the 

[SouthHillFrosty]

@TigerWoodsLibido lock it in?!!!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Trend it north!

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What the 

Those are snowfall totals (in inches).

[Thunder98]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What the 

I was hoping that those totals are in feet.

[TacomaWaWx]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Those are snowfall totals (in inches).

Thank you, people keep posting these maps and I’m very confused on what they mean! 

[TacomaWaWx]

Radars starting to fill in across the region. Was starting to get worried it wouldn’t rain again. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

This from the 18z just thought it was a cool freeze frame 

[GHweatherChris]

20 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Is it a bust if the euro was never on board?

The Euro was on board for widespread lowland snow this past weekend, need I say more....

[MossMan]

53 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

You could pave it sooner if you quit allowing tofu and salmon topped with cheese to be purchased.

I tried to find that BBQ picture but you must have hacked my ICloud account and deleted it…However I did find my “Cheesy” going away party at my old job from nearly 9yrs ago! 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Thank you, people keep posting these maps and I’m very confused on what they mean! 

They all clearly indicate December is coming.

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

The Euro was on board for widespread lowland snow this past weekend, need I say more....

Actually I think we’d all appreciate it if you said a little less

 

 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Actually I think we’d all appreciate it if you said a little less

 

 

Oh well

[GHweatherChris]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I tried to find that BBQ picture but you must have hacked my ICloud account and deleted it…However I did find my “Cheesy” going away party at my old job from nearly 9yrs ago! 

Weird, that picture is gone...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Anafront baby!!

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Anafront baby!!

It'll shift north.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

It'll shift north.

Actually it'll probly

on the next run.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

50F with heavy rain. Not sure how much cuz my rain gauge is broken but it's been wet AF.