Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Seems like things dry out slightly about this time next week on the euro and the gfs in western WA…but we will see if that actually happens or not. GFS yeah after 8 inches of rain lol. The Euro is more wet than the 12z EPS also has snow end of next week. Fun times ahead 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Already going to be above average halfway through the month here. November to date so far. The T SEA recorded was about 10 minutes before midnight. Came so close to be 0" day but it was the only dry day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 54 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Rain with rising temperatures overnight. That's strange. Happens all the time here in winter. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 48 minutes ago, Cloud said: Have you ever experienced an overrunning snow event where it's below freezing at 4PM with snow and by midnight it's in the mid-40s with pouring rain and a slushy mess? Same concept! It's called a warm front. IIRC, in 2018 we had a day where it went from 3°F and dry to 70°F with rain/thunder in under 36hrs. And that 70°F occurred at midnight. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Something tells me the GFS had a glitch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: In 2018 we had a day where it went from 2.8°F and dry to 70°F with rain/thunder in under 36hrs. And that 70°F occurred at midnight. There isn't a reaction emoji for this one! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: IIRC, in 2018 we had a day where it went from 2.8°F and dry to 70°F with rain/thunder in under 36hrs. And that 70°F occurred at midnight. I would love to experience that or vice versa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Something tells me the GFS had a glitch. Doubtful. 6.5" of snow here is quite common. I guess it's time to get the snow shovel ready. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Something tells me the GFS had a glitch. Drunk has always. Had almost a foot of snow for us on the 18z. Shifted it all south on the 00z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I would love to experience that or vice versa It was traumatizing actually. Didn’t get any frozen precip out of it. Not even sleet. Typical La Niña affair..cold/dry —-> warmup/rain —> cold dry. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 23 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Warm fronts don't come to California very much and if they do, they are probably diminished by the ocean. Sounds like you need to get out of CA to experience more dynamic weather Mr. Marine. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 28 minutes ago, Cloud said: That time of year again where I just look around for subscription services. I never tried Pivotal before so thought I'd give it a shot, just a 7-day trial to see if I like and whether or not I want to continue. 5 days totals. It's a bit wet. Don't even need to do the free trial with pivotal, I use it and have never signed up for anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Don't even need to do the free trial with pivotal, I use it and have never signed up for anything. You mean the local access? The regional view is okay, want to see what the local access and other sub features they have on there. So far, I think it's okay, it's not bad for the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Pretty quiet it tonight. 00z GEFS still quite wet. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Convection, heavy rain, and some lightning is on the way here. Hope to hear a few claps. I am dorky enough to have an app that alerts me any time there is lightning in the area and it just went off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: You mean the local access? The regional view is okay, want to see what the local access and other sub features they have on there. So far, I think it's okay, it's not bad for the price. The free version shows the same pretty colors when you zoom in, not gonna pay for something just to get minute details. Just my opinion, nothing else. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Phew…That was a close one! Almost thought I would go an entire 24hrs without measurable precip…Now raining with .02” in the gauge for the day. 3 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: The free version shows the same pretty colors when you zoom in, not gonna pay for something just to get minute details. Just my opinion, nothing else. Pretty much. The local access is just HD version of the Regional View. Like I said, I want to see what other features they have on there besides the HD local view. It's nice if you want to see more details, but that's about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 25 minutes ago, Phil said: It was traumatizing actually. Didn’t get any frozen precip out of it. Not even sleet. Typical La Niña affair..cold/dry —-> warmup/rain —> cold dry. That's normal for us. Getting Cold and precip together is so hard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Very W to E movement is pretty unusual. You don’t see that often with an atmospheric river. Which leads me to believe that we don’t know the bullseye until sometime tomorrow morning Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 The ECMWF gets decently chilly the second half of the run with lows in the low to mid 30s away from the big cities, and highs in the 40s. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The ECMWF gets decently chilly the second half of the run with lows in the low to mid 30s away from the big cities, and highs in the 40s. EPS still showing some snow before Thanksgiving 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Deweydog Posted November 11, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 11 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 66 years ago right now a fairly mild November was taking a modestly chillier turn. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: 66 years ago right now a fairly mild November was taking a modestly chillier turn. And Marty McFly's parents were about to fall in love at the Enchantment Under the Sea dance. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 6z gives us a first taste widespread cold air a week from today with lows at or near freezing and highs barely breaking 40. Just gotta get through this very wet stretch. And then "some" snow as well. All of this inside 10 days. Fun times with the models ahead. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 This location sucks. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Eugene with over an inch and a half of rain, seems like they actually overachieved for once. 4 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This location sucks. Come be my neighbor 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Woke up with just 0.03" of rain, now up to almost 1/2" in the last half hour. For a warm front, this rain is very heavy, with a peak rate of 1.42/hour. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 The 6z GFS spits out a high of 39 for SEA on one day. Might be the first warning shot coming up. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 6 hours ago, Deweydog said: Something we can all agree on....I hope. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 58 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Woke up with just 0.03" of rain, now up to almost 1/2" in the last half hour. For a warm front, this rain is very heavy, with a peak rate of 1.42/hour. Maybe the GFS will end up being right. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Portland was off to a slow start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Hope the Ducks have a soggy football game this weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 33 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Maybe the GFS will end up being right. ECMWF and GFS are now in perfect agreement for Seattle through the weekend. GFS shows 2.44 inches and the ECMWF shows 2.46 inches at SEA. GFS is running too dry now. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Seems like the first main push of rain set up a little further south than expected. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 9 hours ago, Kolk1604 said: @SouthHillFrosty You think the puyallup river will flood 167 again? No but it might get semi close Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2021 Report Share Posted November 11, 2021 Very light drizzle and 46 currently. .08” on the day, 5.21” for the month. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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