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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

@TT-SEA You weren’t joking🤮 

98B8D60A-D316-4B2C-B1E4-FB2B45DB3A6E.jpeg

OMG yes. PLZ happen. We need this so bad. 

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  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, North_County said:

Since Hwy 9 is almost certainly closed now, that means the only way into whatcom county from the south would be Chukanut Drive, right? And I'm not sure I'd feel real comfortable taking that route right now, either.

No way in hell I would go anywhere near Chuckanut, so yeah, I would say we are effectively shut off.  Hopefully they can clear it, but the question remains about the stability of the hillside where it happened.

 

I was talking to a co-worker whose husband does track maintenance for Burlington Northern, and she said she probably won't see him for at least 3-4 days.

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In downtown Mount Vernon the water currently is about 7-8’ below the levees. The current forecast is for another 6’ of rise, but originally it was 10’ so it’s pretty lucky it’s been revised downwards.

742A6B5B-8BD5-413F-9414-E49717DBF1D2.thumb.jpeg.54d5b30020987e36e4ec62bb28dbc925.jpeg

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

OMG yes. PLZ happen. We need this so bad. 

We need it way more... hope it shifts north and tightens up over just western WA and SW BC.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Front will be here shortly. 62 here which will probably be the high temp today. Wind is getting more consistent now lots of leaves and debris scattered around. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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17 minutes ago, North_County said:

Since Hwy 9 is almost certainly closed now, that means the only way into whatcom county from the south would be Chukanut Drive, right? And I'm not sure I'd feel real comfortable taking that route right now, either.

I remember Chuckanut being closed several times due to rockfalls and landslides.  And you certainly wouldn't want big semi trucks driving that.

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8 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

8.59" of rain in the last 4 days, thankful that it wasn't much worse.

11/11: 2.51"
11/12: 2.72"
11/13: 1.14"
11/14: 2.22"

It was somewhat windy this morning at home, but it's been fairly calm in North Bend for the last couple hours. 

Just amazing that we got all that rain and avoided major flooding.   It was just spread out enough here.

  • Rain 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Lots of sad crazy footage being posted by randy small on Twitter from whatcom county. Just crazy flooding up there. Honestly glad we weren’t bullseyed by this one but I think it may get a shot of heavy rain down here too again before the months over. We need to dry out for like 7-10 days. A nice foggy inversion pattern would be nice right about now. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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SeaTac gust to 58? Dynamic!

  • Windy 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s pretty windy at times here…think it’ll be the biggest windstorm since 1/6/19. 

Winds haven't started up yet in the valley-- think it'll be pretty quick going from calm to windy.

  • Windy 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I had to look up pedantic... I think I have the same syndrome.   😀

Pedantic is an insulting word used to describe someone who annoys others by correcting small errors, caring too much about minor details, or emphasizing their own expertise especially in some narrow or boring subject matter.

Only in the summer. ;)

I think you’re the only one who actually enjoyed the June heatwave.

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some hope in the long range.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_59.png

For more warm, flooding rains?

Gotta wait until December, man. That’s when it gets fun.

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35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just amazing that we got all that rain and avoided major flooding.   It was just spread out enough here.

Imagine what would happen if a hurricane Harvey type situation happened in the PNW (IE: 60+” of rain in 4 days).

Would there be any surviving bridges/infrastructure? Would be some crazy topographic enhancements/etc as well so totals might even be higher w/ same PWATs.

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29 minutes ago, Requiem said:

SeaTac gust to 58? Dynamic!

Now that’s actual wind. Not bad.

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I don’t understand why motorists insist on driving through flood waters (or..next to steep terrain throwing boulders in the middle of a torrential rainstorm).

Turn around, don’t drown. Stay home, drink some coffee or cocoa, watch Netflix, or get busy. You don’t have to be out and about, save a real emergency.

The number of people killed in floods each year in the US is pathetically high. 

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Imagine what would happen if a hurricane Harvey type situation happened in the PNW (IE: 60+” of rain in 4 days).

Would there be any surviving bridges/infrastructure? Would be some crazy topographic enhancements/etc as well so totals might even be higher w/ same PWATs.

Similarly, can you imagine how crazy it would be if it hit -50F and started snowing sharks in Miami?

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Mark is predicting gusts rapidly ramping up at about 11-12 for Oregon folks. I'd imagine it should be a pretty fast run-up as a whole as that gradient tightens up and the front approaches.

  • Windy 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

I don’t understand why motorists insist on driving through flood waters (or..next to steep terrain throwing boulders in the middle of a torrential rainstorm).

Turn around, don’t drown. Stay home, drink some coffee or cocoa, watch Netflix, or get busy. You don’t have to be out and about, save a real emergency.

The number of people killed in floods each year in the US is pathetically high. 

Actually just had a call go out on the scanner for the swift water rescue team, car got swept away with the driver still in it.  Sounds like it is up in the Nooksack/Sumas area.  I've never understood it either.

 

Just now said the person is out of the car an on higher ground.  They dodged a bullet.

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5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Similarly, can you imagine how crazy it would be if it hit -50F and started snowing sharks in Miami?

Given some anomalous rossby wave packet w/ WPAC typhoon remnants involved, in tandem with steep orographic lifting, could it not actually happen?

Maybe not quite to that extent, but I think it could theoretically get much worse than this, under the right conditions? I’m still learning about the climate out there so maybe I’m full of it.

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4 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

995.9 here and still falling, another band of heavier rain just moved in.

 

 

Cold front is going to move through In the next hour and the pressure will begin rising again. That’ll be the strongest winds most likely. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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