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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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3 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

You act like I have no idea.  I lived 40+ plus years on that side of the mountains.  13+ of them were in Western WA.

Just seems like the Rex block/ridging patterns set up way too often these days in Dec/Jan....and I could be wrong.

Probably just my yearning for a good "middle of the winter" pattern to finally set up.  Screw Turkey Day action......too early, even over here.  

I was thinking you had forgotten.  😀 

There certainly hasn't been much blocking for the last couple months.   Seems like we are sort of due.  I thought you were saying it never ends.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

Totally unreal.  The models absolutely nailed it for that area getting slammed.  The one thing they were consistent on right up to the end.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I was thinking you had forgotten.  😀 

There certainly hasn't been much blocking for the last couple months.   Seems like we are sort of due.  I thought you were saying it never ends.

Like I said.  I could be wrong, it just seems that we get incessant ridging every winter.....at some point.  It probably has always happened throughout our recorded history, I am probably just overly sensitive these days.

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15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

My absolute favorite thing is when the precip looks like it's going to run out, but it starts to backfill out of nowhere.

I remember so vividly on 11/27/06 I was at work (large senior community as a full time landscaper/grounds person) my co worker and I were trying to keep up with the snow removal but it just kept coming and coming, the constant cracking and crashing of limbs and trees was becoming surreal. Anyway the sky kept brightening up that day and it was looking like the snow would stop, then BAM it would get dark again and the heavy snow would resume time and time again…It was epic! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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11 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

You act like I have no idea.  I lived 40+ plus years on that side of the mountains.  13+ of them were in Western WA.

Just seems like the Rex block/ridging patterns set up way too often these days in Dec/Jan....and I could be wrong.

Probably just my yearning for a good "middle of the winter" pattern to finally set up.  Screw Turkey Day action......too early, even over here.  

We're not even in Dec or Jan yet.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Here is a classic question for this group. When it is snowing, do you go outside and take a walk, soaking in the moment, or do you stare wistfully at the radar, knowing the back edge is only 45 minutes away?

It's easy for me since the radar coverage barely works here for snowfall, which commonly falls from clouds that aren't necessarily high enough up in the atmosphere for the radar to pick up. I do look at satellite loops a lot and infrared ones at night. It's also easy to do since it hasn't exactly been snowy here lately.

When the snow does fall, I always take walks around my neighborhood. I love how different everything looks under a coat of white and the unique quiet and sounds of the falling snow. I also love the return walk seeing my old footprints partially filled back up with snow. I also just love to stand outside in the privacy of my backyard and stare up at the snow looking like a dork, which I am. Finally, I love the squishy crunch sound fresh snow makes when you stomp it with your shoe. Man I miss snow.

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I just looked at the 1980s at SLE. Every December/January combo had at least one 7 day dry stretch except 1987-88... Which by the way, was a bit more decent of a winter than I had realized. Well Dec/January was decent, February was dry and mild. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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30 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

You act like I have no idea.  I lived 40+ plus years on that side of the mountains.  13+ of them were in Western WA.

Just seems like the Rex block/ridging patterns set up way too often these days in Dec/Jan....and I could be wrong.

Probably just my yearning for a good "middle of the winter" pattern to finally set up.  Screw Turkey Day action......too early, even over here.  

Feels like we’re mildly overdue for a big mid winter dry spell. Seems like it’s been since December 2017 since our last fairly prolific run of such.

Phil says no way no how this year though…

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Power crews have made good progress, though I do know a few people on Camano that are still in the dark. You can almost guarantee a loss of power up here during westerly surge events. 

BE933FF4-80BE-424C-8AAD-0A256C231897.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Power crews have made good progress, though I do know a few people on Camano that are still in the dark. You can almost guarantee a loss of power up here during westerly surge events. 

BE933FF4-80BE-424C-8AAD-0A256C231897.jpeg

All the more if they live on the south end. My wife and I joke that it loses power every time there is a single gust. We lived in Lost Lake which is part of the central grid. They lose power often but less than south Camano. The north grid by Terry's corner loses it only in really terrible weather and not frequently. Stanwood proper is also not super common regarding outages.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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3 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

All the more if they live on the south end. My wife and I joke that it loses power every time there is a single gust. We lived in Lost Lake which is part of the central grid. They lose power often but less than south Camano. The north grid by Terry's corner loses it only in really terrible weather and not frequently. Stanwood proper is also not super common regarding outages.

Yeah my sister lives in Stanwood proper and she loses power maybe once every other year and only for a few hours. However I can have a foot of snow on the ground and they can have rain haha! She is always in shock when she runs over to my house after snow events and sees all of my snow when they have nothing but mud! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 6

500h_anom.na.png

Ugly pattern. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

Good lord is that another AR aimed at NW Washington, Vancouver Island, Southwestern BC?

Yep... the pattern is ripe for another one.   And would probably be focused on VI and NW WA with that trough axis.   Fun times!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Every run is completely different on the GFS right now.  Really hard to know where week two is going to end up right now.

Currently 35 under clear skies.  32 by midnight looks very doable.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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53 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Good lord is that another AR aimed at NW Washington, Vancouver Island, Southwestern BC?

Some years are very susceptible to AR's for some reason.  I think we will see some of them south of us this winter.  That's when things get really fun.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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45 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Snoqualmie might open in January😬

E2FDB155-AF79-4D3D-AE54-55E5AF00ABA8.jpeg

Probably just a tad pessimistic.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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