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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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1 minute ago, North_County said:

Brief update. This is a copy paste from social media because my battery is almost dead. But yeah, the situation in Abbotsford affects me because my house sits right around the edge of former Sumas Lake during flood season (it expanded and contracted a lot throughout the seasons).

We have heard the rumors of the potential failure of the Yarrow Pumps and subsequent inundation of the Sumas Prairie. We have also heard that there are positive signs on the Fraser River that failure might not be imminent. We are choosing to remain positive that our house will not be affected. Nevertheless, we made the decision to be evacuated around 10 o'clock tonight primarily because, with all north-south streets in Sumas still under water to the west, the only escape route out of our neighborhood was to head east, toward the prairie. So we had to do it now, or we wouldn't have a chance later. It was quite surreal to look across the field at the Canadian side, and see a stream of headlights heading west, fleeing the prairie.

We are now safe with family on high ground far away from the flooding.

Wow. What a crazy situation and so unnerving, stressful. Glad y'all are safe!

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13 minutes ago, North_County said:

Brief update. This is a copy paste from social media because my battery is almost dead. But yeah, the situation in Abbotsford affects me because my house sits right around the edge of former Sumas Lake during flood season (it expanded and contracted a lot throughout the seasons).

We have heard the rumors of the potential failure of the Yarrow Pumps and subsequent inundation of the Sumas Prairie. We have also heard that there are positive signs on the Fraser River that failure might not be imminent. We are choosing to remain positive that our house will not be affected. Nevertheless, we made the decision to be evacuated around 10 o'clock tonight primarily because, with all north-south streets in Sumas still under water to the west, the only escape route out of our neighborhood was to head east, toward the prairie. So we had to do it now, or we wouldn't have a chance later. It was quite surreal to look across the field at the Canadian side, and see a stream of headlights heading west, fleeing the prairie.

We are now safe with family on high ground far away from the flooding.

Hang in there man. Glad u and your family are safe 

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21 minutes ago, North_County said:

Brief update. This is a copy paste from social media because my battery is almost dead. But yeah, the situation in Abbotsford affects me because my house sits right around the edge of former Sumas Lake during flood season (it expanded and contracted a lot throughout the seasons).

We have heard the rumors of the potential failure of the Yarrow Pumps and subsequent inundation of the Sumas Prairie. We have also heard that there are positive signs on the Fraser River that failure might not be imminent. We are choosing to remain positive that our house will not be affected. Nevertheless, we made the decision to be evacuated around 10 o'clock tonight primarily because, with all north-south streets in Sumas still under water to the west, the only escape route out of our neighborhood was to head east, toward the prairie. So we had to do it now, or we wouldn't have a chance later. It was quite surreal to look across the field at the Canadian side, and see a stream of headlights heading west, fleeing the prairie.

We are now safe with family on high ground far away from the flooding.

The City of Abbotsford, which runs the Barrowtown pumping station, expects it to flood and fail soon. It can't keep up with the inflow and is slowly losing the battle.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

The City of Abbotsford, which runs the Barrowtown pumping station, expects it to flood and fail soon. It can't keep up with the inflow and is slowly losing the battle.

That will be very bad. Wouldn't the Fraser river flood southwestward into the Sumas River and maybe eastern parts of Abbotsford? I dunno this area at all or if that would run downhill from Barrowtown to Abbotsford?

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Incredible night out there.  Crystal clear, bright moonlight, and cold.  Dropped to 32 before midnight here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Temps still hanging in the upper 30s here…usually it takes awhile to cool off and then the temps plummet a couple hours before sunrise. Still thinking 32-34 here tomorrow morning. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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27.5* down here this morning. Everything has that frost sparkle and the grass is crunchy! 

Also, someone asked about inflatable decorations and wind.....We had our spider get tossed around in the winds right before Halloween. I thought I had it tethered well.....I did not. I do not think it's broken or torn up, I didn't check, just said "Oh Well" and stuffed it back into the box. lol 

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Hard freeze and 30 this morning. Ended up with 43/31 yesterday. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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A frosty 32F right now.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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29°F and frosty as ever. Easily the hardest freeze of the season thus far.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Also SeaTac got down to 31°F last night, giving Seattle its first “official” freeze of the season!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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7 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z CFS was so good I have to post it. Ohhh it makes me think, "What IF?" This is model porn right here! Well, not towards the end. Ignore that. Cold, reloads, snow, more cold. MBG Money Back Guarantee! YEAH! C'MON!!!!

floop-cfs-2021111700.500h_anom_na.gif

floop-cfs-2021111700.850th.conus.gif

floop-cfs-2021111700_sfct.conus.gif

Wow that would be amaaaaaazing if that panned out. 🥶

How reliable is the CFS though? 😁

 

 

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Pretty breezy all night so temperature only dropped to 34F. Interestingly, in sheltered areas there were frozen puddles so it must have gotten cold enough for that.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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