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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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06z was a flaming turd. 

  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Lots of low to mid 40s around this morning, but EUG and OLY have hit 32 with clearing. 

  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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-40 at Northway, AK. Nice to see it cold somewhere. 19 at K-Falls. I hope our friend Timmy Supercell is well. 

  • Snow 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

There are two AR events on this run... one on Thanksgiving day and another one next weekend with a one day break on Friday in between.

That ridgy CA / troughy GOA pattern is evil at this time of year... points the firehose right at western WA and BC.

Classic La Nina

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5 hours ago, Cloud said:

Woke up to the sound of raindrops. Thought it wasn’t supposed to rain yet but there is a PSCZ developing right over me. 

4C9E4BA8-AB5E-42C2-A376-640D522BE1A9.gif

Rain in western WA... it uh... finds a way.  😀

life.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Waking up to partly skies and 40 degrees here and should be a nice day and a dry weekend... still raining up to the north by Randy this morning but that is supposed to dissipate soon.   Even a few showers around Portland this morning.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just because it will be a dry weekend here does not mean nature is taking a break of AR events... there is a massive one in the Pacific right now but it will be focused on western BC and SE AK for a couple days.

sat 11-20.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-total_precip_inch-7582400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 hours ago, Kolk1604 said:

When it comes to sports, my mom is a believer in if she doesn't watch, they play better

If we ignore the models for a couple of days, will they deliver the goods? 😄

Nice to see things moving in the right direction. Would really love to see the 850s drop. Maybe soon? 

I feel that way too except for me it is that the teams I hate play worse when I don't watch.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Moderate rain now. Was hoping to do another round of blowing, hopefully this CZ will move away soon.
 

Edit: If this was snow I would not be saying that. 

  • Rain 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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40F about fifteen mins ago and sunny.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I think there is growing consensus that we might have a shot right after the 1st or so for a favorable pattern. 

5308BB9B-FE48-43CC-95A9-B68DD19E32C7.jpeg

Probably gonna be an active -Pna episode. With the trough centered offshore. More wet and possibly stormy than cold. 🌧 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I think there is growing consensus that we might have a shot right after the 1st or so for a favorable pattern. 

5308BB9B-FE48-43CC-95A9-B68DD19E32C7.jpeg

That period between November 29 and December 5 is a hot spot for snowy weather.  My Birthday is December 2 and my wife's was November 29. I remember many many snow days in that period. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Many of you aren't car people but I share my pics anyway.  Newest addition to the family.  2021 hellcat challenger super stock. Beautiful color.  807hp from tha factory lol. If you drive it east it'll get 20 mpg. Pretty impressive. 20211119_072558.thumb.jpg.3227de4c414dd5beb44e6efb373a1331.jpg

Very pretty!  So you get better mileage driving east than any other direction? 😁

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Pretty funny that last night's EPS was considerably better than earlier runs and now the last 2 GFS runs suck.  Some really good news is the GFS and ECMWF both show an octant 7 MJO wave emerging in early December.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Many of you aren't car people but I share my pics anyway.  Newest addition to the family.  2021 hellcat challenger super stock. Beautiful color.  807hp from tha factory lol. If you drive it east it'll get 20 mpg. Pretty impressive. 20211119_072558.thumb.jpg.3227de4c414dd5beb44e6efb373a1331.jpg

I need the number of your financial advisor!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Many of you aren't car people but I share my pics anyway.  Newest addition to the family.  2021 hellcat challenger super stock. Beautiful color.  807hp from tha factory lol. If you drive it east it'll get 20 mpg. Pretty impressive. 20211119_072558.thumb.jpg.3227de4c414dd5beb44e6efb373a1331.jpg

Gorgeous! 
I placed an order over 3 month ago for a 2021 4Runner Pro ( fits my lifestyle) and I got nothing.  Hasn’t even made it to the assembly line.   Pretty sure it will not happen and will need to rework a deal for a 2022 dealership  :( 


 

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Just now, Deweydog said:

I need the number of your financial advisor!

Believe it or not the used car market is so out of control I've been able to buy and sell new cars and sometimes come out even or ahead! I sold my gt500 for 10k more than I pd for it.  My son is my financial advisor.  He tought me about crypto currency haha.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

Gorgeous! 
I placed an order over 3 month ago for a 2021 4Runner Pro ( fits my lifestyle) and I got nothing.  Hasn’t even made it to the assembly line.   Pretty sure it will not happen and will need to rework a deal for a 2022 dealership  :( 


 

I waited 5 months for this car man. The chip shortage is taking a toll on car manufacturers.  

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Believe it or not the used car market is so out of control I've been able to buy and sell new cars and sometimes come out even or ahead! I sold my gt500 for 10k more than I pd for it.  My son is my financial advisor.  He tought me about crypto currency haha.

Crypto and Costco stock! 
Will throw in Home Depot stock as well 

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2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Believe it or not the used car market is so out of control I've been able to buy and sell new cars and sometimes come out even or ahead! I sold my gt500 for 10k more than I pd for it.  My son is my financial advisor.  He tought me about crypto currency haha.

Totally true story one of my cousins started out with a 10k bitcoin investment and turned it into 10 million. If you know what you’re doing you can do some amazing things. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Believe it or not the used car market is so out of control I've been able to buy and sell new cars and sometimes come out even or ahead! I sold my gt500 for 10k more than I pd for it.  My son is my financial advisor.  He tought me about crypto currency haha.

Are you the guy that turned an $8000 investment in Shiba Inu into 5.7 billion dollars in a little over a year?

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4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I waited 5 months for this car man. The chip shortage is taking a toll on car manufacturers.  

Back in the day there were perfectly fine cars made without a single chip.  We have become way too dependent on that type of technology.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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