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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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47 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Most of the time yes.  But sometimes it can come from Alaska and NW Canada, like 1989.  Ryan Maue says that this cold in Alaska will lead to a major arctic outbreak somewhere in the U.S. after that.  

Well even 1989 came from the Yukon/N-Canada, not directly out of Alaska. But I understand the gist of what you’re saying.

It can/has happened where a vortex up there gets dislodged in a high amplitude regime. But that’s not the way it usually happens, especially nowadays with the modern era general circulation.

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2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This is pathetic 

8146D1F8-FA4C-4203-8706-6A7414F2F145.jpeg

Looks OK for Whistler . . .

Little doubt the mountains will have very little snowpack through at least December 5th. Have a feeling they will probably catch up fairly quickly after that though.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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14 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Lotta meat left on that bone!

image.thumb.png.54dd16c80f1d281a80187a387baef54c.png

Something looks different..but I’m not sure what it is?

;) 

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I’m okay with it. Could be the 06z

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This run still ends up getting really cold. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, DJ Droppin said:

I don't think we're prepared for what models are going to look like in 3-4 days. MBG

Probably a rugpull. It's clown range.

As long as we can peel off those ugly 7000-8000' snow levels forecast in the Cascades and replace them with some much more visually appealing 2000-3000' levels, I'm satisfied for the moment.

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Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

And is keeping the cold parked over us to the north for reinforcing shots :)

Amplification could be a problem this winter though... ;)

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Ice storm!

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_64.png

  • Excited 2
  • Rain 2
  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Whoaaaa... No one commented on how wet the GEM was compared to the GFS... I know it overdoes precip, but holy cow. Major fire hose middle of next week. 

gem_apcpn_nwus_40.png

gfs_apcpn_nwus_40.png

  • Rain 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Whoaaaa... No one commented on how wet the GEM was compared to the GFS... I know it overdoes precip, but holy cow. Major fire hose middle of next week. 

gem_apcpn_nwus_40.png

gfs_apcpn_nwus_40.png

I definitely noticed it. Won’t happen though. BC will continue to get drenched. We’ll be high and dry. 

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