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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think we need to do forum merchandise. Tshirts and beer coozies. Who doesn’t want a 100% cotton T bearing “devastating trends” in massive block (thanks to a ridge merger) letters?

It could raise money for forum maintenance, and I would only need about 75% royalties on my trademarked phrases. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Hmmm... For what it's worth (Nothing) the CFS shows December near normal and a below normal January now. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think we need to do forum merchandise. Tshirts and beer koozies. Who doesn’t want a 100% cotton T bearing “devastating trends” in massive block (thanks to a ridge merger) letters?

Fred really missing out on an opportunity here. Who doesn't want to wear a boardwalk style "I SURVIVED 11 days of model riding for a rain/snow mix 2021" t-shirt made out of the cheapest possible materials.

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16 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think we need to do forum merchandise. Tshirts and beer koozies. Who doesn’t want a 100% cotton T bearing “devastating trends” in massive block (thanks to a ridge merger) letters?

Feel free to use my “wet deck” and “massive dumpage” trademark sayings as well. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, MossMan said:

Feel free to use my “wet deck” and “massive dumpage” trademark sayings as well. 

Muddy dogs?

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Feel free to use my “wet deck” and “massive dumpage” trademark sayings as well. 

Those might end up in the beaded curtain section like at the video store along with “backdoor action” and “anal logs gone wild.” Here we go!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Lol I couldn’t even explain the dynamics and inside jokes of this forum to someone who doesn’t post here. We’re all just a bunch of nut jobs, trolls and dorks. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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9 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Fred really missing out on an opportunity here. Who doesn't want to wear a boardwalk style "I SURVIVED 11 days of model riding for a rain/snow mix 2021" t-shirt made out of the cheapest possible materials.

Only 11 days?

Have you not seen the weeklies???

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF looks really bad for NW WA and SW BC over the next week.    Dumps excessive rain exactly where its not needed. 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-qpf_anom_7day-8446400.png

Looks really bad here too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Tiger Pissed.gif

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Would be amazing to have a winter as good as 06-07, 10-11 or even 05-06 or 07-08. Doesn't seem like much to ask, but we'll see. Might be a tall task this year. ;)

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Would be amazing to have a winter as good as 06-07, 10-11 or even 05-06 or 07-08. Doesn't seem like much to ask, but we'll see. Might be a tall task this year. ;)

That's our situation here for almost 3 years now. Only 4 sub-40F highs. Depressing.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

At least the Euro gets colder!

ecmwf-deterministic-KPLU-daily_tmin_tmax-7755200.png

Rain actually stops for a day late in the run... but unfortunately it looks like its just a short break.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_6hr_inch-8532800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Not even any appreciable mountain snow on the horizon now.  Shut the forum down!

12Z ECMWF shows zero snow for all of the Oregon Cascades over the next 10 days... pretty ridiculous going into December.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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How many of you have had a White Thanksgiving and if so I'm curious as to whom had the most? At a coffeehouse waiting for Les Schwab to do some work on my tires. Should be another two hours  Picked a bad day of course with the holiday tomorrow, but coffee and model watching are fun even so.

 

 

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

How many of you have had a White Thanksgiving and if so I'm curious as to whom had the most? At a coffeehouse waiting for Les Schwab to do some work on my tires. Should be another two hours  Picked a bad day of course with the holiday tomorrow, but coffee and model watching are fun even so.

 

 

Think the last time most of us had a white thanksgiving was 2010. We had about 4” of snow here in Tacoma. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

How many of you have had a White Thanksgiving and if so I'm curious as to whom had the most? At a coffeehouse waiting for Les Schwab to do some work on my tires. Should be another two hours  Picked a bad day of course with the holiday tomorrow, but coffee and model watching are fun even so.

 

 

Definitely had a white Thanksgiving in 2010.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

So is this what we are all complaining about this morning?

Because what I see is the same general pattern change in place - ridging moving into the Aleutians, troughing in Western Canada/PNW, and a ridge nearing the SE corner of the US. Pieces might not be in the exact spot we need them but for 11+ days out, this looks pretty good in my book. 

Oh wait - I'm sorry. Gotta stick to the script... Devastating trends!!!

1638705600-GUjjhRDfS2c.png

1638705600-aHB73wH3oQ0.png

Some people are using that term to describe the rain amounts being shown in NW WA and SW BC over the next 10 days on the GEM and ECMWF.      That could be a pretty serious situation.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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