SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 Once again, all is right with the world. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, kokaneekidz said: The one thing I vividly remember from Feb '89 was the steam coming off Possession Sound along the Mukilteo waterfront I have never seen that since. It had to be a 40-50 degree diff in water vs air temp. Also it was such a long cold sunny arctic airmass after the snow stopped. Would love to witness that just once more in this lifetime. I remember standing outside slack jawed with snow falling sideways and a temp of 14 degrees at 2pm. 3 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Cloud said: SEA is projected to be top 3 all-time wet Nov. by the time the month is over behind 2006 and 1998. The next week will see it climb the ladder even though as wet as it's been, currently sitting at #14. 1998....yet ANOTHER YEAR we had a blast. Pretty much every year that has been thrown out there lately has been one where we had a major blast. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: 1998....yet ANOTHER YEAR we had a blast. Pretty much every year that has been thrown out there lately has been one where we had a major blast. That was a great blast... But not the most exciting winter. Personal preference, but I would prefer like half a dozen minor events to one big blast. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: I think February 1989 was pretty much a direct connect. It was insane how much overwater trajectory there was with that behemoth. I still remember everything freezing up in the afternoon while we were still in the maritime polar part of that. I'll bet 850s probably dropped to -12 or so before the blast was even close. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That was a great blast... But not the most exciting winter. Personal preference, but I would prefer like half a dozen minor events to one big blast. I kind of agree when it comes to December 1998. December 1924 on the other hand... 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I kind of agree when it comes to December 1998. December 1924 on the other hand... Well... Yeah... If we had something like December 1924 I would be okay with a torch the rest of the way. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 This actually ended up being another reasonably chilly day. Only 47 / 34 here. This past week has been consistently cooler than model projections. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This actually ended up being another reasonably chilly day. Only 47 / 34 here. This past week has been consistently cooler than model projections. FWIW... the ECMWF actually showed a high of 45 at SEA today. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 18z GEFS gets more of that cold air out of AK and where we need it to be 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This actually ended up being another reasonably chilly day. Only 47 / 34 here. This past week has been consistently cooler than model projections. Looks like 43/34 at SLE so far today. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 I just got done with baking and saw the 18z. What a tease. Lol. Nice to see the ridge merger moving ahead before Day 8 though. I do see the GEFS through Day 11 cuts off the energy better it tried to pull off a ridge merger. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 The models still show the key moment in the pattern evolution being about a week out when the GOA trough split happens. The runs that split it evenly seem to work out the best. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 24, 2021 Report Share Posted November 24, 2021 27 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I remember standing outside slack jawed with snow falling sideways and a temp of 14 degrees at 2pm. Bundle up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1990 all over the place in the 18z analogs. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Bundle up Believe me....I was. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 This is why we love the DRUNCLE! 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is why we love the DRUNCLE! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Flash freeze! I believe that was the day a lot of people were walking home on I-5. And highs in the teens a few days later. Yum! 3 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Flash freeze! I believe that was the day a lot of people were walking home on I-5. And highs in the teens a few days later. Yum! Quite a solstice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 18z GEFS was not stellar by any means. It tried to pull off a ridge merger Day 10.5-11.5, but no luck. Onto 00z! 00z GFS in 3 hours 17 minutes 00z ECMWF in 5 hours 27 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, MossMan said: Flash freeze! I believe that was the day a lot of people were walking home on I-5. And highs in the teens a few days later. Yum! Now that is a great example of flash freeze! 2 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: FWIW... the ECMWF actually showed a high of 45 at SEA today. Mod preview. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Mod preview. Well this sucks. I am not saying a word about anything other than the current weather observations a little about shorter term flooding potential coming up again. And patiently waiting to post snow maps when the big stuff gets close! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: Yeah....Feb 1989 is forever burned into my mind....and probably yours too. Onshore flow at the coast with temps in the upper 20’s. That just doesn’t happen. Then followed by 51 hours of sub-20 degree weather at KAST. Not quite as bent as 116 degrees at PDX, but close. 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 For the record... I would bet money on something very memorable happening in December in terms of cold and snow. I think Matt is right there too. I just think it might be in the second half of December... which will make it even more memorable. 7 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: For the record... I would bet money on something very memorable happening in December in terms of cold and snow. I think Matt is right there too. I just think it might be in the second half of December... which will make it even more memorable. Could be! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Fun fact for the day: SEA's daytime high sum through yesterday is 1216F (~650C), if such temperature does exist we'd be living on partially molten rock. Take that snow lovers. Melt on contact. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I still remember everything freezing up in the afternoon while we were still in the maritime polar part of that. I'll bet 850s probably dropped to -12 or so before the blast was even close. I remember the wind howling and cackling. The snow pellets kept hitting me in the face. I remember how they stung. We were well below zero with winds gusting to 40+. Good stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 55 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is why we love the DRUNCLE! He always delivers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: For the record... I would bet money on something very memorable happening in December in terms of cold and snow. I think Matt is right there too. I just think it might be in the second half of December... which will make it even more memorable. It has to happen. I was told it has to happen and it will. December 10th 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Is this accurate?? 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Is this accurate?? Pumpkin for me... but apple pie is good too. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 California and pumpkin pie? NO chance. It has to be something fruity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Pecan pie is omitted. Yeah definitely bs. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 And growing up in MN and spending every Thanksgiving in Wisconsin... it was always pumpkin pie for us there too. Side note.. my wife is actually making pumpkin pies right now. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: I just got done with baking and saw the 18z. What a tease. Lol. Nice to see the ridge merger moving ahead before Day 8 though. I do see the GEFS through Day 11 cuts off the energy better it tried to pull off a ridge merger. Define "baking" 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 Marionberry. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said: Define "baking" 60 in December in the PNW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2021 Report Share Posted November 25, 2021 17 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said: Define "baking" 2 pots of Sweet Potatoes, Magic Cookie Bars 00z GFS in 1 hour 50 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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