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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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The ECMWF meteograms show a 36/25 day for SEA.  Pretty chilly.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Very favorable changes on the EPS tonight.  Very similar to the improvements on the operational.  How can that be in torchageddon 2021-22????

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s November 26th we know nothing 

I'm sticking my observed weather analogs which say we get nailed.  the years Phil has mentioned simply don't line up for the weather we have actually seen.  Yes 1999 was a wet November, but the pattern that delivered it was quite different.  I feel another new index coming on....

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking.

Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place.

FC5D3008-9E3F-4B9A-A031-85E160D7F85D.jpeg

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10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s November 26th we know nothing 

Yeah, time is on our side. Plenty left on the clock.

If it were mid-January right now, I’d be officially “cancelling” winter. Or whatever the phrase is. :lol: 

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking.

Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place.

FC5D3008-9E3F-4B9A-A031-85E160D7F85D.jpeg

If Bob Ross came back to life and did a one time only last painting of $hit wouldn't be any prettier than that. Yuck!

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Just now, Phil said:

Yeah, time is on our side. Plenty left on the clock.

Yeah things aren’t interesting yet but I’m sure there’ll be plenty of pattern shake ups this winter…won’t be locked in this pattern all winter! 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Mossman is sure handing out a lot of weenies this evening. 

Yeah I’m hungry for one now. 🌭 

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47 minutes ago, Phil said:

Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking.

Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place.

FC5D3008-9E3F-4B9A-A031-85E160D7F85D.jpeg

Stockholm is getting dunked on in these runs. I need it to warm up there a bit before EOY, or else I'm gonna have to get a winter coat. SMH

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What the fuckk?

Latest.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Lock it in!

Latest.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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The 6z is trying so hard to go somewhere good.  Fascinating progression.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The 6z is trying so hard to go somewhere good.  Fascinating progression.

Bruh we gotta take the L on this one and move on.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 8.5 I stayed up for this? No more night shifts until models look interesting and promising.

500h_anom.na.png

tbf there is more higher latitude ridge amplification and Plenty (with a capital P) of cold air in Canada. focusing on the deetz at hr 200 just ain't gonna be fun. pieces are there...

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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I waited all night looking out the window for the first magical raindrop to fall…And it happened a bit ago!! 🥰 

Up to .11” on the day, 13.48” for the month. 
45 degrees. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z GFS tried...

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-8781200.png

It has a crashy look again at day 10... pretty sure this run will show feet of snow in Seattle before the end of the run.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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