Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well at least we cool back toward normal and probably see some nice hard freezes by next weekend. Yes indeed. Far better than mild SW flow and ARs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Looks like a much different pattern on the way, and colder! Every run is showing extremely favorable surface pressure gradients for taking full advantage of the cold low and mid level air mass that will be moving in. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 14 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yes indeed. Far better than mild SW flow and ARs. It was obvious this soaking wet pattern couldn't go on forever. It just doesn't work that way. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 The general theme is very ridgy/blocky with higher heights over the Aleutians and at times into the western Gulf of Alaska. I do like seeing that. We just need to see models trend to shift that eastward into western Alaska. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Overall a very meh run. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 Not hard to imagine this going somewhere really good. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Overall a very meh run. ok.... 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: ok.... Not nearly as good as the 12z or 18z, we could get a few frosts if we are lucky. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 The block is really amplifying on this run. Not sure how anyone can not like this. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Some potential in the long range here... Go figure. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: The general theme is very ridgy/blocky with higher heights over the Aleutians and at times into the western Gulf of Alaska. I do like seeing that. We just need to see models trend to shift that eastward into western Alaska. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour Getting close to that at 280 hrs, ridging in Alaska better than last run. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not nearly as good as the 12z or 18z, we could get a few frosts if we are lucky. I think it's quite good actually. A lot colder than it's been. Those surface gradients become perfect. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Overall a very meh run. Better than endless atmospheric rivers and warm temperatures 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Some potential in the long range here... Go figure. The short range is good too. Geeze. These things usually start out this way. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, snow drift said: Better than endless atmospheric rivers and warm temperatures We're in northerly flow and well below normal temps in less than a week. I just can't complain here. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Can't imagine we aren't excited about runs that aren't very cold. I was talking to a MET who posts on here occasionally and he said no real signs of cold weather in the next 11-15 days. He said runs showing such are clear outliers. 4 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Really drying out in the long range. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Can't imagine we aren't excited about runs that aren't very cold. I was talking to a MET who posts on here occasionally and he said no real signs of cold weather in the next 11-15 days. He said runs showing such are clear outliers. Was it on a conference call?? 1 1 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, Kayla said: Was it on a conference call?? FB Messenger IBR Chris... He posted about it in Rob's FB group... 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice anafront in the long range. 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 It is not cold out 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Really drying out in the long range. The next 24 hours... Tim would be working on like 6-8" 48 hour precip totals with this. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Can't imagine we aren't excited about runs that aren't very cold. I was talking to a MET who posts on here occasionally and he said no real signs of cold weather in the next 11-15 days. He said runs showing such are clear outliers. Unfortunately he's right. For now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, Dave said: It is not cold out Currently 56 here at 1600'. Wow, turns wet in the long range... And eventually cooler. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 0.70” since midnight 9.49” so far this month. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Currently 56 here at 1600'. Wow, turns wet in the long range... And eventually cooler. I'll gladly accept one order of mountain snowpack, please. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 14.24" on the month now. We've done a lot better than the valley relative to average. So much warm front drizzle/light rain. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 GEM is quite a bit warmer than the GFS for next weekend. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: GEM is quite a bit warmer than the GFS for next weekend. Yeah I'm noticing that as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Everything after day 10 on the 00z is great. 2 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 47 with wind and heavy drizzle 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GEM is quite a bit warmer than the GFS for next weekend. Maybe after the upgrade is complete we can finally get some cooler weather around here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Everything after day 10 on the 00z is great. It always is 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Everything after day 10 on the 00z is great. Of course it is 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Ayo wtf?!!! 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Yeah I'm noticing that as well. I'm sure if the GFS was trending warmer the GEM would be trending colder. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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