Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 hours ago, AlTahoe said: GFS Operational runs are hilarious. 12z had a strong AR hitting California at day 10. 18Z has it in Vancouver. Lol Sure hope the 12Z is correct. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 So…. Cancel Dec. and wait until Jan. then? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Been busy moving my stuff up to Vancouver, so not much chance to check in on this forum. Is it currently in Winter Cancel mode, or in Best Winter since 1950 mode? 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Been busy moving my stuff up to Vancouver, so not much chance to check in on this forum. Is it currently in Winter Cancel mode, or in Best Winter since 1950 mode? Depends who you ask. I’m leaning the former tho. Feels like a persistent pattern like summer now. Endless warmth. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 10 hours ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 850s @Kayla nice chilly shot for you! We need it. We have been breaking record highs left and right lately. +7 degree departure on the month now. #torch 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Days still get shorter for a while though. Yes, we still lose daylight in the mornings for a little bit, but the worst is behind us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Been busy moving my stuff up to Vancouver, so not much chance to check in on this forum. Is it currently in Winter Cancel mode, or in Best Winter since 1950 mode? Perhaps we're looking at winter delayed. You can't cancel winter. It happens every year regardless of the observed conditions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 00z GFS in 3 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Sure hope the 12Z is correct. It'll change 20 times between now and Wednesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 19 minutes ago, Cloud said: So…. Cancel Dec. and wait until Jan. then? We'll still have December. I'm pretty sure of that. Although it may be warmer than we like. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 52 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I hadn't checked the IR satellite today because it was such a nice day. This is going to come as a big surprise... but there is another firehose pointed at SW BC and western WA! Perpetual AR situaiton. What a shocking development! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, snow drift said: We'll still have December. I'm pretty sure of that. Although it may be warmer than we like. I still like my second/third week of December prediction. We’ll see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Cloudy, warm, and mostly dry today with much less precip than forecast. Simply gross weather. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Cloudy, warm, and mostly dry today with much less precip than forecast. Simply gross weather. Wait you guys had precip forecast? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 3 (Past 400,000 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Wait you guys had precip forecast? It was always kinda tenuous but the models had depicted some frontogenesis over Portland/Vancouver for the whole morning today as the baroclinic zone moved south. Showed well over an inch. Wound up being a quarter inch or less and it was dry after 4am. I blame Joshua. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: It was always kinda tenuous but the models had depicted some frontogenesis over Portland/Vancouver for the whole morning today as the baroclinic zone moved south. Showed well over an inch. Wound up being a quarter inch or less and it was dry after 4am. I blame Joshua. And the blazers suck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 So far we haven’t gotten any certifiable Arctic blast in the models inside of day 9 or 10…really grasping at straws in this EPO infested fall/winter (it is still early). Get it into the day 5-7 range then it is worthy of “cold is coming” meme. Only inside of day 3-5 is it then worthy of the inevitable Hitler movie meme. should be a fun ride with sick humor this winter 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: And the blazers suck. Lillard and Russell Wilson both look as cooked as my 2008 Thanksgiving turkey. LOL! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: 38 degrees in DC for the Seahawks game... its actually considerably colder there than if the game was being played in Seattle where its in the mid 50s. What gives Phil? Swamp season on its annual hiatus. Actually 29 here. DC is a hotbox. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 6 Uglyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 This is interesting. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 6.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 8 Meh. I'm sure long range will go arctic overload. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Nice AR on day 9 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 We’re looking at a major snowstorm for Whatcom County north still a little over 8 days out. Definitely been consistently showing up on the models. Gotta keep an eye on this 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We’re looking at a major snowstorm for Whatcom County north still a little over 8 days out. Definitely been consistently showing up on the models. Gotta keep an eye on this Going to need the ECMWF on board... 12Z was not there. Maybe the 00Z run will pick it up. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 This is the weirdest setup. Really need that H to retro a touch to really get this juicy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We’re looking at a major snowstorm for Whatcom County north still a little over 8 days out. Definitely been consistently showing up on the models. Gotta keep an eye on this Temps never get below freezing in Whatcom County during this event, except the mountains of course. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Nice AR on day 9 Timothy will enjoy this upcoming AR! 2 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Temps never get below freezing in Whatcom County during this event, except the mountains of course. True. They would need heavy precipitation rates which they currently have 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 This feels sooo much like 2008 it's not even funny! 00z ECMWF in 56 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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