PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[Deweydog]

Definitely a convergence on a fairly cold but deamplified/progressive month coming up.

#itscoming

[Deweydog]

Five hours 44 minutes.

[Kolk1604]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... the city of Seattle is straight up depressing now.   I don't even want to bring guests there.   Its absolutely embarrassing.    I pray that the people of Seattle are waking up now.   

They need to clean house with city council. There all garbage. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Seems like this pattern is going to lock in for some time. 

[T-Town]

23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is not true... I know plenty of natives who aren't planning on leaving.  At least as far as I know. 

Most everyone who lives in the same area where they grew up inevitably complains about changes.   My relatives in MN do the same exact thing.   One of my co-workers was born and raised in Denver and he says everything has changed and he wants out.   Its universal.   The grass is always greener some place else.    But it's usually not.   Its just different.

Things change. Gotta roll with it. 

[van city]

22 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea Seattle needs to get fixed. It’s horrific rn.

Jim you lose IQ points when you post stupid shiit like this 

Jim is losing his sh** with all this maps.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Speaking of the long range GEFS from last night, here it is from hour 240 on.  And it is not done uploading on Pivotal.

 

[van city]

 

[smerfylicious]

32 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I plan on buying or building a house in the Issaquah/ North Bend area in the next ten years. Gotta work hella’ to able to afford it tho

My job has a $10k hiring bonus and all the overtime one could ever want...and then some. Haha gonna pay off my house early at this rate.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, van city said:

 

It's below average west of the Cascades through May. 

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

My job has a $10k hiring bonus and all the overtime one could ever want...and then some. Haha gonna pay off my house early at this rate.

Aye u hiring? I’m project management/ data analytics

[smerfylicious]

24 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Lived here my whole life, and honestly thus far don't see myself really moving away from the west coast. If I can ever afford it, would love to live in and around the Issaquah/Gold Bar area up in Washington, or even in the Bend area. I do love Portland and W. Oregon with all my heart but it would be nice for a change of atmosphere.

DID SOMEONE SAY GOLD BAR???

Lol I kid. Feel free to come on up. It's quiet, west side of town is low crime. Stay away from Pickle Farm Road. Weather is great. It's been a very windy fall, and talking to my neighbor has convinced me that my definition of windy isn't windy enough. "Wake me up when it's gusting to 60" was his quote.

We'll see what the snow totals are this year, but the town averages 18".

[Snownerd3000]

32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

CNN = Communist News Network.

Cuomo news network lol. 

[Front Ranger]

This will be the warmest November for Denver since 1999. 

Third warmest overall, with warmest on record being...1949.

[Front Ranger]

43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is not true... I know plenty of natives who aren't planning on leaving.  At least as far as I know. 

Most everyone who lives in the same area where they grew up inevitably complains about changes.   My relatives in MN do the same exact thing.   One of my co-workers was born and raised in Denver and he says everything has changed and he wants out.   Its universal.   The grass is always greener some place else.    But it's usually not.   Its just different.

Or sometimes the same changes you see around you, which may objectively be undesirable, also apply to many other areas.

[smerfylicious]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Cuomo news network lol. 

[Front Ranger]

43 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Things seem to be converging on that idea.  A white Christmas would be awesome.  It would move Seattle into the next percentile bracket on the White Christmas probability map.  That would make 1990, 2008, 2017, and 2021 in a little over 30 years.  Better than 10% chance.

A true snow wiz stat.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

37 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea Seattle needs to get fixed. It’s horrific rn.

Jim you lose IQ points when you post stupid shiit like this 

Dude the news is so fuking twisted in every way its not even funny. 

[Snownerd3000]

24 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Speaking of the long range GEFS from last night, here it is from hour 240 on.  And it is not done uploading on Pivotal.

 

Enjoy the barney on the control 

[Requiem]

14 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

DID SOMEONE SAY GOLD BAR???

Lol I kid. Feel free to come on up. It's quiet, west side of town is low crime. Stay away from Pickle Farm Road. Weather is great. It's been a very windy fall, and talking to my neighbor has convinced me that my definition of windy isn't windy enough. "Wake me up when it's gusting to 60" was his quote.

We'll see what the snow totals are this year, but the town averages 18".

It's a gorgeous area-- absolutely stunning. As much as I think we all have our own individual problems with where we live our region is quite the jewel-encrusted crown of the States. 

[smerfylicious]

Just now, Requiem said:

It's a gorgeous area-- absolutely stunning. As much as I think we all have our own individual problems with where we live our region is quite the jewel-encrusted crown of the States. 

It ain't so bad here. 40 miles west? That's another story, but rural life is best life. And you get more snow than the urbanites (and precipitously lower car tab bill)

[Snownerd3000]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Dude the news is so fuking twisted in every way its not even funny. 

News isn't news anymore. Who knew Anchorman 2 was closer to reality than satire. 

[smerfylicious]

1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Enjoy the barney on the control 

Oh man a couple more frames and it'd spill westward over the passes.

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, smerfylicious said:

Oh man a couple more frames and it'd spill westward over the passes.

I was worried where that was going lol 

[Snownerd3000]

6 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Oh man a couple more frames and it'd spill westward over the passes.

You were right! Still more to run

[SnowWillarrive]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

It really has been heartbreaking to see Seattle go down the crapper though.  Just horrible.  For me though it's the gloom, the lack of cold (most years), and too many people now.

I wish 3/4 of this state moved to Minnesota. Send the Californians too!  

[Slushy Inch]

Find a location at 500feet near Seattle, preferable east, and you can double your annual snowfall and still be a 25-30 minute drive from Seattle. I used to live at a house at 500 feet, so many times I would drive to the top starting at like 320feet and it would be snowing at the top. One occasion, during an event that was very marginal, my house got around 8-10 inches of heavy wet snow, while the bottom got a few inches or less. Tree branches started to break, and there was thunder snow. It's even better if you can get a place in the PSCZ at 500 feet. 

[SnowWillarrive]

13 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Find a location at 500feet near Seattle, preferable east, and you can double your annual snowfall and still be a 25-30 minute drive from Seattle. I used to live at a house at 500 feet, so many times I would drive to the top starting at like 320feet and it would be snowing at the top. One occasion, during an event that was very marginal, my house got around 8-10 inches of heavy wet snow, while the bottom got a few inches or less. It's even better if you can get a place in the PSCZ at 500 feet. 

I just moved to an area close to Enumclaw around 600-700 feet. Really hoping this location marginally improves my snow chances this winter. 
 

Perhaps if I would have thought about it more I would have moved to Spokane or Wenatchee. I work remotely so maybe in the future I will relocate. Personally I like being somewhat close to Seattle. 

[TT-SEA]

29 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Or sometimes the same changes you see around you, which may objectively be undesirable, also apply to many other areas.

Very true.

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 hours 34 minutes 

[snow drift]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

POSSIBLY this summer…

I recommend Deer Park/Chattaroy and Newman Lake. Both are gorgeous areas with spectacular weather.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Speaking of the long range GEFS from last night, here it is from hour 240 on.  And it is not done uploading on Pivotal.

 

Not real progressive.

[snow drift]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... real estate prices in the Seattle area certainly don't say there is a mass exodus going on.   Pretty much the opposite.

People are still moving to the Seattle area. My brother is a construction foreman over in Western Washington. He never has any shortage of work. They just keep building and building.

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, snow drift said:

I recommend Deer Park/Chattaroy and Newman Lake. Both are gorgeous areas with spectacular weather.

How is crime? I read that Spokane ranks with Tukwila for crime.

[snow_wizard]

27 minutes ago, SnowChild said:

I just moved to an area close to Enumclaw around 600-700 feet. Really hoping this location marginally improves my snow chances this winter. 
 

Perhaps if I would have thought about it more I would have moved to Spokane or Wenatchee. I work remotely so maybe in the future I will relocate. Personally I like being somewhat close to Seattle. 

Enumclaw does great when it's an onshore flow cold or northerly gradient cold situation, but horrible with easterly.  Worse than here even.

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  The GFS ext ensemble is incredible on both the mean and the control run.  The mean shows snow on the ground for both Christmas and New Years.

[snow drift]

6 minutes ago, SnowChild said:

How is crime? I read that Spokane ranks with Tukwila for crime.

It depends on where you live. Hillyard and West Central have some crime issues, but Spokane's crime is mostly property crime. There isn't a lot of violent crime. I've talked to some former Tacoma and Seattle residents over the years. They all thought Spokane's crime was pretty tame when compared to Tacoma and Seattle.

[snow_wizard]

The 18z CFS was insane for January.  Unquestionably a Jan 1950 redux it's showing.

[Gradient Keeper]

A bit late on this as I was hanging up Christmas stuff n stuff.

00z GFS Day 1