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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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Don’t tell a D**n soul.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Don’t tell a D**n soul.

That only counts for real life people, I believe? It doesn't really apply to forum members, or in my FB group because we're just online simulations. Yeah. Sounds legit.

00z GFS in 3 hours 58 minutes

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47 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Snoqualmie Pass is definitely going to have a late opening 

5F743224-095D-4E03-8B05-E7034433B835.jpeg

Bachelor might not have any opening at this rate.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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26 minutes ago, snow drift said:

Only 384 hours out 😆😂

To be fair it's committed well before that.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Not really all that exciting.

EBF394EB-5E94-4C3A-851A-37ABDC3C7A67.png

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Not really all that exciting.

EBF394EB-5E94-4C3A-851A-37ABDC3C7A67.png

It actually is.  The cold is just beginning to put into WA at that point.  This is just an opening salvo anyway.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Needless the CPC analogs made a huge improvement on this run.  The number one at day 11 is 1956 just before the early December blast that winter.  Lots of other very good ones too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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44/30 at SLE 40/30 at EUG today. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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41F in Springfield. Still can’t buy a sub-40F high. We have had 4 in the last 2 years…

Anybody on here had fewer?

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Fun to see these cold maps showing up…we will see what they look like in a week from now. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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Quite a crash going on here right now.  Topped out at 49 and already down to 42.  49 / 30 for the day.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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The average temp over the past 6 days has been 41.6 IMBY.  Nice chilly interlude.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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50/30 up above the fog today. Cooling off quickly, down to 41.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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14 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Even the Seahawks couldn’t ruin the sunset. 

7C086B5D-9D8E-4898-B632-AB31A9BF88D7.jpeg

89FC0FF1-FCA8-41F0-87B4-95EE746BC6A7.jpeg

D30D9A03-94F4-4F60-BA85-E3CD65F2A752.jpeg

Not sure if you noticed but the Olympics put on a little show with multiple lenticular cloud today!  Trying to show Rainer up I suppose although Rainer had a couple at one point.  
46/33 currently 41* 

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11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

EE396247-E7D2-45E8-B9AE-0F7572B628A7.jpeg.9892ca785df19ee93369dcf8b56aa3fc.jpeg

I think it’s good!

Just short of our first subfreezing average too!

That graphic is confusing.  What was the actual high / low for today?

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The average temp over the past 6 days has been 41.6 IMBY.  Nice chilly interlude.

So much nicer when the rain takes a break.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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thankful to have the weather cooperated last night! We were able to resumed our annual “Friendsgiving” get together this year. 
 

But it was freaking chilly with temps in the low 40s and then in the upper 30s. Of course, this was cured by a nice fire pit! 

And that is actually burnt turkey skin.. lol. buddy decided to bacon wrap the turkey this year for deep fried. Turned out quite charcoal with the skin. 

35A1EFD3-4544-4E0C-BDB0-AB58D9DC8E8F.jpeg

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Looks like Corvalis was 39 / 26 today if I was looking at the right station.  Color me impressed.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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7 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Not sure if you noticed but the Olympics put on a little show with multiple lenticular cloud today!  Trying to show Rainer up I suppose although Rainer had a couple at one point.  
46/33 currently 41* 

Dang I missed it. 

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35 minutes ago, snow drift said:

Dec 1983

I remember driving with my dad in his 4wd GMC truck over to the 5 acres they had just bought and the roads were terrible. It was a winter wonderland. That’s about all I remember from December 1983. 

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1874974745_download(60).thumb.png.cf850fe4a2d8dcffcc3d56a3396e53c5.png

This is the airmass being advected at the end of the 18z... ;)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

To be fair it's committed well before that.

Yeah. Looking at the 250mb model NPAC view shows the jet begins to pull apart and retract Day 10-11. That's the first Op run I am aware of that closely followed the GEFS, CMCE, and EPS with that progression.

00z GFS in 2 hours 14 minutes

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24 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I remember driving with my dad in his 4wd GMC truck over to the 5 acres they had just bought and the roads were terrible. It was a winter wonderland. That’s about all I remember from December 1983. 

It was a cold S.O.B. I just remember being bundled up all the time.

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47 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Yeah. Looking at the 250mb model NPAC view shows the jet begins to pull apart and retract Day 10-11. That's the first Op run I am aware of that closely followed the GEFS, CMCE, and EPS with that progression.

00z GFS in 2 hours 14 minutes

Not in the ideal position but can easily shift in the next 72 hours.  

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I remember driving with my dad in his 4wd GMC truck over to the 5 acres they had just bought and the roads were terrible. It was a winter wonderland. That’s about all I remember from December 1983. 

I remember the cold.  That month was bloody cold!  We didn't have much snow where I was living.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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20 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

SEA wasn't keeping snowfall records in December 1996 unfortunately.  That was more of a downtown Seattle north thing anyway so it may not have topped the November 1985 snowfall.  I would take Nov 1985 over Dec 1996 any day of the week though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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