PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 9'er

I like this ending

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 Nope. Not yet. It'll be Day 12-13.

[Gradient Keeper]

10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 10 Nope. Not yet. It'll be Day 12-13.

But that would be….my god 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 10 Nope. Not yet. It'll be Day 12-13.

 

6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 10 Nope. Not yet. It'll be Day 12-13.

12/13 might be about right!

[luminen]

23F and light glittery snow here at the moment. Nice to know I can get this with such a shitty pattern. Thus far it's been very borderline with below average snowfall and warm temps, this month. 

[North_County]

10 hours ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Just came across a crazy video of the tractor rescues in Sumas.

I think the best line is "I've never had to worry about making a wake with a tractor before"

Probably several hundred thousand dollars worth of tractors they took out there and risked destroying. 

 

 

Thanks for sharing, Chewbacca. My parents' place makes an appearance. Right here. They've already gutted it. Floor to basically ceiling.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z CMCE(Canadian ensembles) looks excellent ripe with potential!

[Gradient Keeper]

50 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

 

12/13 might be about right!

It'll be cold well before then.

[Gradient Keeper]

Latest SSTs
Nino 3.4: -0.812
Nino 3: -1.150
Nino 4: -0.590
Nino 1+2: -1.654

[TacomaWaWx]

Wound up with 0.60” for yesterday been raining decently this evening. Up to 7.10” this month. 

[snow_wizard]

The EPS joins the Pacific high and Aleutian block in early December.

 

[The Blob]

Sideways rain at Troutdale. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The EPS joins the Pacific high and Aleutian block in early December.

 

Looks literally identical to the CMCE. Here we go!

[TacomaWaWx]

Another decent rain event next weekend on the euro…gfs still shows a decent amount with that system but the bulk of it ends up in Oregon. Up to 0.70” with this event…raining moderately got a decent shot at 1” total still for the event. 

[snow_wizard]

The EPS control shows the hammer about to drop at the end of the run.  

[TacomaWaWx]

2 hours ago, SnowChild said:

Loving south of PDX is not the best place for snow lovers. It’s barely tolerable in Puget Sound area ! 

It’s more rare to have a snowless winter here still. In the last 16 winters we’ve only been blanked here (less than 1”) in Tacoma 4 years…04-05, 09-10, 12–13 and 15-16. 75% success rate isn’t too bad. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

23 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s more rare to have a snowless winter here still. In the last 16 winters we’ve only been blanked here (less than 1”) in Tacoma 4 years…04-05, 09-10, 12–13 and 15-16. 75% success rate isn’t too bad. 

Bingo. Our median snowfall is like zero. Most years have nothing in this location. Sure, there are exceptions like 13-14 or 16-17. But those are rare.

[smerfylicious]

Nice to see Stevens Pass picking up some powdery goodness. Had a few splats when the front moved in this morning in Gold Bar, nothing to be excited about though. My temps will stay below 50 for the next few days at least

Can't wait to tank that temp!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Night shift?

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Night shift?

If I can keep awake... I am watching the 6z as we speak. Half awake, but yeah.

12z GFS in 5 hours 52 minutes

[smerfylicious]

Workin' on our night moves! Trying to make some front-page wintertime news!

[Gradient Keeper]

6z GFS Day 7 past 8 runs. Hmmm. Jet trending weaker and retracting sooner?

[smerfylicious]

10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

6z GFS Day 7 past 8 runs. Hmmm. Jet trending weaker and retracting sooner?

I'll take it! 

[Gradient Keeper]

9 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

I'll take it! 

It just temporarily did so.. I was hopeful. Who wants to wait 10+ days for Cold and SNOW? Not me!

12z ECMWF in 7 hours 5 minutes

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Gradient Keeper]

52.9 balmy, off/on light rain, and gusty south winds 30-40mph far stronger than expected. The weakening low which moved inland just north of PDX obviously still packed a decent punch.

[Gradient Keeper]

6z GEFS

[T-Town]

Looks like Suncadia got a nice dump of snow. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[TT-SEA]

Looks like around .80 for this event in the valley and up here... no upslope effects this time.

It was 41 and raining in North Bend yesterday at 4 p.m. and its still raining and 41.    I don't think the temp moved al night.   

[TT-SEA]

SEA is also at 41 and is at .67 for this event.     Very uniform conditions across the area.

[Everleigh]

0.87 for me yesterday, and an additional 0.61 so far today. 

Where do I place my snow order?? 

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Everleigh said:

0.87 for me yesterday, and an additional 0.61 so far today. 

Where do I place my snow order?? 

I see OLM is at 1.33 inches for this event... and at 9.50 inches for the month.

[TT-SEA]

KUIL is now over 20 inches of rain for the month so far which is about 11 inches above normal.

And that station is now 20 inches above normal for the water year which started 50 days ago on October 1st!     They had 19 inches in October which was 9 inches above normal.      Ridiculously wet! 

[Everleigh]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I see OLM is at 1.33 inches for this event... and at 9.50 inches for the month.

I am at 7.46 for the month. Soggy!

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

Looks like PDX will end up with .37'' total. I was a little too pessimistic with my .25'' forecast. Bust either way.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like 0.57” with this “event.” Still raining and temp beginning to drop a bit. 44 after an early morning high of 49.

[TheNewCulverJosh]

Mild 47 here at the moment.  Looks like a couple more hours before I am on the backside of the low.  Most likely at or close to the high for the day.