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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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Just went over 1” for the month…looks like a short break in the rain soon and then it should come back after midnight. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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On and off downpours for the last few hours and it looks like about a half inch of rain at EUG. Satellite has gone out a few times. This storm seems to be packing a bigger punch than the minimal discussion about it on here would suggest. Perhaps we'll actually get some legit wind gusts tomorrow. 

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Beautiful sky up in Alaska currently even if we're missing out on it. Looks like Kp might be around 8 currently so it would probably really be putting on a show with clear skies.

https://allsky.gi.alaska.edu/

Here it's quite wet although I might be entering the rain shadow soon. After rain most of the day I'm at 0.44" at 1.2" on the month. GFS continues to do poorly up here on rainfall amounts after we got significantly more than forecast both yesterday and today.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 0"

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5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

WTF? Of course. 

 

aurora.png

Lol this is painful. Anyways up to 0.60” now! 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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Certainly quite the sharp pressure gradient shown on the 11th-- a full week out, but still!

 

ecmwf_z500_mslp_wus_8.png

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Not really all that exciting. Getting to about 60F in mid-November is pretty boring.

EC Temps.png

 

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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28 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Not really all that exciting. Getting to about 60F in mid-November is pretty boring.

EC Temps.png

 

I'll take a warmer than average November. November 2016 was warmer than average, and that worked out pretty well.

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4 minutes ago, snow drift said:

I'll take a warmer than average November. November 2016 was warmer than average, and that worked out pretty well.

I’ll take a warm November. As long as it’s cold.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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FDVf0kuVgAQQBXC.thumb.png.aafbb0104fbedf821c56839ed9f3fa78.png

y'all.....

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

FDVf0kuVgAQQBXC.thumb.png.aafbb0104fbedf821c56839ed9f3fa78.png

y'all.....

British Open: Tiger Woods 3-putts, drops a stroke early - SBNation.com

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

FDVf0kuVgAQQBXC.thumb.png.aafbb0104fbedf821c56839ed9f3fa78.png

y'all.....

Wow! Too bad it has been pouring down rain all night here!

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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OMG.png.b7c12c933bcea46f7153729eca3dd429.png

06Z december 10th OMG

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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Looks like a run of 50/40 type days coming up for 5 or 6 days... then it will probably jump back up to near 60 with some type of AR event by the middle of next week.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, umadbro said:

There goes any and every single snow chance.

 

*rolls eyes*

Not at all... but it might be less blocky.     For example... the 1998-2001 Nina period was during the ascent of solar cycle 23.   Not sure if there is even a connection between solar activity and the jet stream... but the jet does seem to be more active during high solar periods.    I prefer low solar.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, The Swamp said:

I'm really hoping for a cooler and drier Nina.

All this rain and AR has me feeling down.

Maybe December will be out month?

Yeah... it would be nice if we are getting the perpetual rain part of the cold season out of the way now.     Or maybe it will stay active and wet all winter.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Ended yesterday with 0.61”….another 0.15” since midnight. 1.21” for the month. 

Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... it would be nice if we are getting the perpetual rain part of the cold season out of the way now.     Or maybe it will stay active and wet all winter.  

Feel free to push the jet down this way. The computer models have fallen back into the default mode of the last 2 years. Which is to show big storms and take them away as we get closer.  2 days ago the Sierra was forecast for 5" of rain and 36" of snow. Then each run has gotten drier.  Now it shows almost nothing for next week. Vanishing storms on the GFS and Euro are getting old. I thought we had turned a corner with the big AR event. 

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Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think.

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[Signature in link]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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14 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

That projection is well below most modern cycles. 20th century sun spot maximums averaged around 200 sunspots.

Definitely... its more like the solar cycles in the first half of the 20th century.    That also seemed to be a more blocky period overall with many great winters.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think.

Sad Season 2 GIF by Rick and Morty

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20 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think.

Congrats and good luck with your move!

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23 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Ownership of this house was officially exchanged yesterday, but noticed the original for sale by owner listing just popped back up, that needs to get taken off (lol). That'd be funny if we get new calls from locals asking if the deal didn't go through. We're leaving tomorrow I think.

Good luck. If I ever make it out to Eastern Kentucky again I'll hit you up. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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