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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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51 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Spokane NWS talking about it also.

"This is when the weather could get potentially active as a deep offshore trough heads slightly inland and sweeps up a surface low forecast to be off the southern Oregon coast by midnight and then northeastward overnight and into the morning."

Spokane interest in this is because some areas may get snow 

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Weekly Euro control run goes full Arctic by late November into December. 7 day mean trough position.

851073942_ScreenShot2021-11-05at7_57_13AM.thumb.png.021d08d1fa36856f6e84b85d5840f11c.png

 

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Just now, Kayla said:

Weekly Euro control run goes full Arctic by late November into December.

851073942_ScreenShot2021-11-05at7_57_13AM.thumb.png.021d08d1fa36856f6e84b85d5840f11c.png

 

holy shitt

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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50 degrees and very breezy.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Pretty heavy band of rain rolling through, 45 degrees.

Looks like we are at 1.75" of rain on the month, which would be a little above average to date.

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Probably good that the snow holds off while on the road. We'll also avoid taking I-80 or 70, thinking going through Flagstaff and continuing east shouldn't be troublesome. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Some rain coming, wet up the drought stricken lily pads before hopping off!

KMAX_loop2.gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Anybody gonna post total snowfall from the 06z Euro, please?

Regular snowfall map on top and kuchera map on the bottom... feels like the kuchera is more reasonable.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-6416000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-6416000.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Just a little foggy up there this morning. Trying to cancel family photos this weekend so i can make it up for the first flakes...wife isnt digging it

image.thumb.png.022cedbd3780504b41f7ce2050ccd2b3.png

Tell her to get her priorities straight. Weather is always the first priority😂😂

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4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Tell her to get her priorities straight. Weather is always the first priority😂😂

Any 190lb 6 foot white guys with short brown hair out there want to make a quick 100 bucks this weekend? Dont even have to be good looking just have to know how to treat a woman right

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2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Wasn't the Kuchera showing nothing yesterday?  And, thanks. 

Actually... it was showing more than I thought.   There is a 24-hour map and a total map and I was looking at the 24-hour map ending on Monday evening and thinking it was the total map.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Pulp Fiction GIFs - Get the best GIF on GIPHY

Lol I’m about 30 lbs too light for the job man sorry. I meet the requirements in the other departments though. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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14 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Any 190lb 6 foot white guys with short brown hair out there want to make a quick 100 bucks this weekend? Dont even have to be good looking just have to know how to treat a woman right

I don’t know too many fat people.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Just got done with some of the most intense rain I've experienced for a while here. Picked up 0.25" in 15 minutes. Rain rate peaked at close to 2" an hour.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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53 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Just a little foggy up there this morning. Trying to cancel family photos this weekend so i can make it up for the first flakes...wife isnt digging it

image.thumb.png.022cedbd3780504b41f7ce2050ccd2b3.png

I almost canceled the family trip to Cabo back in February 2020 when the models were going nuts with snow a few weeks before leaving…Thankfully the models went full Tim after a few days of sweating bullets! I cannot miss the action! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Suns partly out here this morning. Looks like it’ll be dry for a couple hours this morning before some rain showers that are offshore eventually move inland. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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i'm way out of my league here, so i'm just spitballing, but it seems like if this northern low doesnt organize and deepen then the southern low ends up on its own into CA. If the northern low gets its stuff together then the southern low ratchets up and gets sucked up along the coast. 12z GEFS on top, 6z on bottom

image.png.decc88b2939fb444c2747be5dabb1981.png

image.thumb.png.67f6018f51318b88d885b9caa02fa61b.png

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Joshua isn't going to like the 12z.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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