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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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Looks like October 2021 finished -1.0 here…and about an inch above average rainfall. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Cold season rainfall-15.15”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-45

Coldest Low-34

 

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The east wind torture is finally over.  The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Is this trying to be a '14-15 but with more mountain snow? The models are spitting out more potential wind events. I know, more than a week away. 

Every 3-4 weeks was a 55-60mph event here and Feb 2015 delivered a nice 65-68 early one morning. 

slp.180.0000.png

That was a Nino and a total torch fest.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Totally awesome 18z run.  Lowland snow and some crazy blocking.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The east wind torture is finally over.  The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night.

Torture?   😃

Its just a short break... the east wind returns tomorrow and Wednesday.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The east wind torture is finally over.  The rain has plunged the temp to 47 now after the disappointing warm night last night.

That's crazy to thing about. I'm around 20 miles from you and I was down to 33

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Torture?   😃

Its just a short break... the east wind returns tomorrow and Wednesday.  

Sending Prayers for Jim.

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Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Cold season rainfall-15.15”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-45

Coldest Low-34

 

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49 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Yeah. Day 6-7 near miss could have been a very damaging wind storm.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh144-168.gif

No doubt a wind storm window is coming up again.  Very active pattern being shown..

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Sending Prayers for Jim.

I just hate it when it costs us a cold night.  that won't be the case so much for the rest of the week.  In reality the east wind only costs me about 5 freezes a year, but it sucks when it happens.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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The cottonwoods are stealing the show for native trees this year.  Some of them are bright yellow and gold now.  For some reason the usual brown shriveling didn't happen this year.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The cottonwoods are stealing the show for native trees this year.  Some of them are bright yellow and gold now.  For some reason the usual brown shriveling didn't happen this year.

I have noticed the same thing here... cottonwoods look pretty colorful.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The trees are pretty much bare here.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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25 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just hate it when it costs us a cold night.  that won't be the case so much for the rest of the week.  In reality the east wind only costs me about 5 freezes a year, but it sucks when it happens.

Seems like the east wind prevents freezing temps at night way more than 5 times per year here.   Its pretty much a given when there is offshore flow unless its during a snowstorm.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Weeklies are out.  These are 5 day averages not daily averages. 

 

405959504_14-kmEPS46-DAYSNorthAmerica5-dayAvg500ZAnom.gif

Depending on where the trough sets up, there is big potential for a long duration cold pattern if that verifies. Looks like persistent GOA and high latitude blocking.

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16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The trees are pretty much bare here.

Took this pic this morning when the sun was rising and before the clouds and rain arrived... cottonwoods are brilliant yellow right now.

20211101_084506.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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17 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

Depending on where the trough sets up, there is big potential for a long duration cold pattern if that verifies. Looks like persistent GOA and high latitude blocking.

We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010.

Tough to get when your serious cold has pretty much only been happening in February.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

We’re due for a sub-30°F high. Last one at SeaTac was in February 2014, Seattle proper November 2010.

Wow. That’s just sad. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

KPDX rain did not amount to much.

Rained a little more down here. 0.31” to start the month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wow. That’s just sad. 

Yeah, the only stretch which compares is 1937-45. Even then it was sandwiched between generational winter spells.

Though in the snow department we’ve been very lucky and both February 2019 and 2021 had subfreezing highs and snow on the ground. Seatac was ~2°F too warm throughout much of February 2019 compared to the north end of the city.

I wouldn’t mind a winter event with most of the precipitation gunning for Oregon and arctic air intruding everywhere (25°F highs and such.) Three top-tier snowstorms in three years has been a wonderous stretch I never could have imagined before 2019, and the Wilamette Valley is due.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Yeah it was pretty consistent on showing a snowy pattern for West of the Cascades.  And it was pretty wrong too.

Pretty obvious this year is a much different animal than last year though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yeah, the only stretch which compares is 1937-45. Even then it was sandwiched between generational winter spells.

Though in the snow department we’ve been very lucky and both February 2019 and 2021 had subfreezing highs and snow on the ground. Seatac was ~2°F too warm throughout much of February 2019 compared to the north end of the city.

I wouldn’t mind a winter event with most of the precipitation gunning for Oregon and arctic air intruding everywhere (25°F highs and such.) Three top-tier snowstorms in three years has been a wonderous stretch I never could have imagined before 2019, and the Wilamette Valley is due.

1937-38 through 1945-46 was horrendous.  The only thing worth a D**n in there was January 1943.

As for your second point....as long as we get a good snow going into the cold.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The trees are pretty much bare here.

The cottonwoods are always the latest here.  A lot of species are bare here too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Interesting analogs today.  None from this century on most runs and 1970 continues to show up.  I wonder if that's an analog?

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 6

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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