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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


Meatyorologist

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The ECMWF looks pretty serious at the end.  Tons of cold air in play.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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If we're going to follow 1970 to some extent the 0z ECMWF would certainly make sense.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, GHweatherChris said:

Doesn't look like a tornado.

Either that or a microburst.  Certainly not typical for these parts.  The Weather Service will have to make the determination.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This would of been a fun pattern if it was a colder air mass. Would of been about a foot of snow today here.

It still was very interesting for this time of year.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Moderate rain again. Should be over the 5” mark for the month momentarily. 

Amazing.  I've had about half that here and it seems very wet.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

Was?  It's on going currently. 

I was talking about yesterday specifically.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I was talking about yesterday specifically.

Perhaps my memory is short but remind me, what is so special about yesterday? SEA had a 52/44 with 0.10”  day. Today was much colder and more dynamic that would produce something more meaningful if it was colder. 

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There are many videos on You tube showing the aftermath of the tornado and it was definitely serious.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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11 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Perhaps my memory is short but remind me, what is so special about yesterday? SEA had a 52/44 with 0.10”  day. Today was much colder and more dynamic that would produce something more meaningful if it was colder. 

It was simply an interesting day.  Snow mixed with rain around area, low snow levels, thunder, hail, and of course what happened in Vancouver.  Sorry it was so boring where you live.  Most places were much more active.  SEA dropped to 41 BTW after a high of 47.  Yesterday was Saturday...I think you're talking about Friday.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The EPS has trended more west with the mid month block again.

  • Snow 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looks like the GFS ensemble control has 850s dropping to -10 with a major cold snap.  This thing has a chance of happening.  

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It was simply an interesting day.  Snow mixed with rain around area, low snow levels, thunder, hail, and of course what happened in Vancouver.  Sorry it was so boring where you live.  Most places were much more active.  SEA dropped to 41 BTW after a high of 47.  Yesterday was Saturday...I think you're talking about Friday.

Lol. My place was certainly not boring my dude. I had numerous squalls that came through that produced some fun stuff.  I simply forgot we already struck midnight and thought you were referring to Friday. Which was boring. 
 

But Chris is still right, this whole thing is still ongoing. Some places looks like it could get snow overnight.

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Lol. My place was certainly not boring my dude. I had numerous squalls that came through that produced some fun stuff.  I simply forgot we already struck midnight and thought you were referring to Friday. Which was boring. 

Yeah...I figured that out right in the middle of writing that up.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The latest CFS looks fun for December.  GOA blocking with undercutting westerlies.

  • Snow 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Kind of hoping for a more exciting 6z GFS run, and then 12z runs tomorrow morning. I'm outta here. Good night all.

6z GFS in 1 hour

12z NAM in 5 hours 2 minutes

12z GFS in 7 hours

12z ECMWF in 9 hours 8 minutes

Is this factoring the time change?

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Night shift here!! Let’s get some fuckkin’ action on the GFS!!!

Currently 38F and very comfortable.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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