PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 3 rainfall totals (ending 4 PM Thursday) AR shifted south a bit it looks like from previous runs.

OR needs it. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

OR needs it. 

We need way more in this part of the state. We are so far behind the rest it's scary.

Looks like most of the rain will be to the north of the Lane County border, with the occasional bit at the airport. But only about 0.5" in the SE valley, AKA Boregon.

[snow_wizard]

The plot is seriously thickening on the possible cold snap coming up.  The 0z GFS is way colder than previous runs for next week.

Meanwhile it's been pretty windy here night.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

OR needs it. 

They can have nearly all of it, and we would still be fine.

[Cloud]

The fun starts again Tuesday morning. More widespread.

 

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

They can have nearly all of it, and we would still be fine.

Yeah. I showed the current 2 weeks drought map yesterday for both states. We are more than fine up here. OR is gonna need a few more of these wet runs/systems. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

The fun starts again Tuesday morning. More widespread.

 

East wind is peaking now... just ahead of the rain shield. 

The wind tomorrow morning is onshore from the SW right up the Puget Sound after the main rain band.  

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[TT-SEA]

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

East wind is peaking now... just ahead of the rain shield. 

The wind tomorrow morning is onshore from the SW right up the Puget Sound after the main rain band.  

It’s calm down substantially for my area. No more prolonged howling. So it may be on the verge of being done. Been kinda worried we might lose power for the evening. 

[snow_wizard]

21 minutes ago, Phil said:

Now that’s a block.

This looks like it's starting to come together now.

[TT-SEA]

It will be colder for Phil than it is in western WA and OR by Sunday...

[Cloud]

Nevermind, false alarm. It’s still roaring outside. Picking back up.  

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It will be colder for Phil than it is in western WA and OR by Sunday...

I’m looking at WI in particular. Hope that finger is fine for someone! It’ll be D**n cold. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Gradient Keeper]

7 Day Rainfall totals (ending NEXT Monday 4 PM)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Cloud said:

I’m looking at WI in particular. Hope that finger is fine for someone! It’ll be D**n cold. 

00Z ECMWF took away the snow for the game... temps in the low 30s with some flurries and breezy in Green Bay on Sunday afternoon on this run.

[Cloud]

We just topped 40mph and 45mph at SEA. Honestly, being on top of a hill, we’re a lot closer to SEA’s numbers. 
 

I need to get my new weather station up and going. It died over the summer and haven’t been bothered. 
 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 51F and business as usual.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Currently 5F warmer in Springfield than the airport.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Up to 51F and business as usual.

56 in North Bend right now.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Phil]

23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It will be colder for Phil than it is in western WA and OR by Sunday...

Rarity at this time of year.

Commonplace come January, though.

[Cloud]

Watching the radar a bit closely right now for next hour because it’s going to determine if SEA stays completely dry today. With the roaring east wind, it’ll probably remain dry as some of this will get eaten up before reaches the ground, but gonna be close. 
 

 

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF looks less blocky by the middle of next week compared to the 00Z run last night.     

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Watching the radar a bit closely right now for next hour because it’s going to determine if SEA stays completely dry today. With the roaring east wind, it’ll probably remain dry as some of this will get eaten up before reaches the ground, but gonna be close. 
 

 

Too funny... I was just thinking the same thing.    SEA needs to hang on for one more hour.  

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Too funny... I was just thinking the same thing.    SEA needs to hang on for one more hour.  

That D**n standard time, it would’ve been midnight already!

[TT-SEA]

Its 54 with a dewpoint of 29 at SEA now... probably take a little while for rain to reach the ground.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

That D**n standard time, it would’ve been midnight already!

Yeah... but the day ends at 1 a.m. for statistical purposes during DST so its the same thing.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... but the day ends at 1 a.m. for statistical purposes during DST so its the same thing.

hmmm!! I did not know that! Learned something new.

[Kolk1604]

Still wet. The coast gets hammered. 

850s are colder this run, but nothing impressive yet.

 

[Phil]

32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It will be colder for Phil than it is in western WA and OR by Sunday...

Low/mid 70s here tomorrow, though.

Bet you’d love some of that TORCH.  

[Cloud]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its 54 with a dewpoint of 29 at SEA now... probably take a little while for rain to reach the ground.

It’s starting to drizzle here and raining in Olympia. UW radar shows it should definitely be further north than that… but it’s also drizzling in Tacoma. A lot of these does get eaten up. The drizzling though is going to help saturate the air.

[TT-SEA]

PSE outage map shows a large chunk of North Bend just went out at 10:51 p.m. but the power is still on here for now.     The North Bend web cam is still functioning and it looks like the area around Safeway is still on and we are connected to that area underground.  

[snow_wizard]

I'm kind of surprised at some of the places that are reporting windy conditions tonight.  Normally with east winds the area effected is pretty limited.  I've been getting some gusts to 30 here which is pretty routine for these things.

[Geos]

13 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z NAM showed some strong east winds developing this evening.

I'm out right now in Kirkland and it's ripping out of the ESE. Political signs and leaves blowing down the roads!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm kind of surprised at some of the places that are reporting windy conditions tonight.  Normally with east winds the area effected is pretty limited.  I've been getting some gusts to 30 here which is pretty routine for these things.

Its not an east wind caused by high pressure overhead which tends to be localized near the gaps.      Its a broad area of ESE wind ahead of an incoming trough and storm which is almost always more widespread.