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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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We could do some sort of a roast of Tim.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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14 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

See... villain

ICON was pretty absurd too 5 days out

Not a villain.    I don't think too many people are cheering for massive flooding.     Now... if that was a snowfall map then villain would be appropriate.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_61.thumb.png.e1f2422ea1501a1ce2ef2131f69d227e.png

Oh hey

Lock it in!

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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48 and mostly cloudy in Elko, NV! High of 50 looks like.

Got a night at another 3-in-one hotel, Casino/Restaurant/Inn! Lots of those around here.

Taking I80 so far is smooth, but once I get to Salt Lake City, UT may consider going south through Cedar City and taking I89 into Flagstaff.

IMG_3635.JPG

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I like this run overall. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

48 and mostly cloudy in Elko, NV! High of 50 looks like.

Got a night at another 3-in-one hotel, Casino/Restaurant/Inn! Lots of those around here.

Taking I80 so far is smooth, but once I get to Salt Lake City, UT may consider going south through Cedar City and taking I89 into Flagstaff.

IMG_3635.JPG

Still in Nevada?   You are sure taking your time on this trip!   We would have pulled an all-nighter and been there the next day.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Still in Nevada?   You are sure taking your time on this trip!   We would have pulled an all-nighter and been there the next day.  😀

Also been completing the deal on the new house in Kentucky. So every day we're doing more than driving. 

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Just now, Timmy_Supercell said:

Also been completing the deal on the new house in Kentucky. So every day we're doing more than driving. 

You are a nomad in search of a home... slowly wandering across the country.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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56 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

48 and mostly cloudy in Elko, NV! High of 50 looks like.

Got a night at another 3-in-one hotel, Casino/Restaurant/Inn! Lots of those around here.

Taking I80 so far is smooth, but once I get to Salt Lake City, UT may consider going south through Cedar City and taking I89 into Flagstaff.

IMG_3635.JPG

What sort of road trip are you on? Apologies, I haven't kept up with the goings on.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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56 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

What sort of road trip are you on? Apologies, I haven't kept up with the goings on.

Sold the house in Klamath Falls and I'm moving to Ashland, KY. Everything is stuffed in a 15' Uhaul - a little behind schedule but gett'n there!

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19 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Sold the house in Klamath Falls and I'm moving to Ashland, KY. Everything is stuff in a 15' Uhaul - a little behind schedule but gett'n there!

It's a long trek on the reverse Oregon trail. Good luck on the river crossings. 

 

wagon.jpg

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It will certainly be interesting to see if the GFS is anywhere near correct about the huge rainfall totals on Friday.  One thing I will say is the ECMWF has been far from perfect lately so it's lower totals aren't a lock.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Looks like the bank lobbies here at least are open to customers. Oregon closed them again when we left there, after selling both the Nissan and Jeep I had to physically stand at US Bank's Drive thru (uHaul was 3" too big) to withdrawal money. Never did that in my life. 

It's a trade off though, fast foods have their lobbies closed in NV. 🤡

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Right now it appears that at the very least we will be seeing some kind of a modest cold snap next week.  Interestingly the control model on the GFS ensemble shows some Arctic air seeping in.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Few of my pics from the Guano Valley (near OR/NV border, Lake County) couple days ago. I kept asking what that "line" is going up the mountain, soon to realize 140 took us up that. Kind of an lol but oh shoot moment.

If none of 89 does this we're okay!

IMG_3292.JPG

IMG_3295.JPG

IMG_3296.JPG

IMG_3302.JPG

I’ve been on that highway. Lonely country!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Yep me too. I was blowing leaves around and got mad it was taking so long so I went and bought the most powerful back pack blower from stihl and that thing will move a 3 pound rock! What was taking 20 minutes with old blower takes 5 now haha.

My Stihl has a lot of mileage on it! This is how I spent my lunch break! Been blowing twice a week so it’s not too bad and I can get the driveway and landscaped areas done in an hour. Could not imagine life without it! 😀

D704750A-E2ED-4487-A5B1-F5761F0C7C81.jpeg

6F1DC4D6-87AA-423B-853F-C3F2B28950BD.jpeg

AA3CFE57-4A6D-4911-BB77-077E1F4E85BD.jpeg

BAB441F7-4BED-4BE6-BD8E-0F10B15A99E2.jpeg

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31 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Looks like the bank lobbies here at least are open to customers. Oregon closed them again when we left there, after selling both the Nissan and Jeep I had to physically stand at US Bank's Drive thru (uHaul was 3" too big) to withdrawal money. Never did that in my life. 

It's a trade off though, fast foods have their lobbies closed in NV. 🤡

Probably more because of the worker shortage. I saw this in Salem today. 

D7D02D03-448F-4F89-8817-97753B5C8B36.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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36 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It will certainly be interesting to see if the GFS is anywhere near correct about the huge rainfall totals on Friday.  One thing I will say is the ECMWF has been far from perfect lately so it's lower totals aren't a lock.

Its not just on Friday... the GFS shows almost 4 inches for Tacoma and 5 inches for Olympia before dawn on Friday.   That is supposedly coming over the next 36 hours.

The satellite does not look like that kind of massive rain event is starting soon.  

 

sat 11-10.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My Stihl has a lot of mileage on it! This is how I spent my lunch break! Been blowing twice a week so it’s not too bad and I can get the driveway and landscaped areas done in an hour. Could not imagine life without it! 😀

D704750A-E2ED-4487-A5B1-F5761F0C7C81.jpeg

6F1DC4D6-87AA-423B-853F-C3F2B28950BD.jpeg

AA3CFE57-4A6D-4911-BB77-077E1F4E85BD.jpeg

BAB441F7-4BED-4BE6-BD8E-0F10B15A99E2.jpeg

 

Did your wife use the word 'dork' to describe you walking with a leaf blower and taking pictures of it?   😀

 

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3 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Kentucky.....better politics.  Worse snow chances.

Actually... a good spot for blizzards.

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Actually... a good spot for blizzards.

Depends where the famed "polar vortex" makes it to :).  Consistently I would take Klamath Falls over that state.  Plus, depends in Kentucky where you are.  Love the mountains there, hate the spine of the mountains.  Hmmm, sound familiar?

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My Dad grew up In the town Timmy is

moving to. He said it snowed every winter. Better than the willamette valley. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its not just on Friday... the GFS shows almost 4 inches for Tacoma and 5 inches for Olympia before dawn on Friday.   That is supposedly coming over the next 36 hours.

The satellite does not look like that kind of massive rain event is starting soon.  

 

sat 11-10.png

 

Yeah, not shaping up to be that impressive of a firehose. PWAT values will be high but the jet support for a major baroclinic band just isn't there. It looks like a pretty run of the mill fall storm, just coming on top of an already wet period so rivers will be high.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My Dad grew up In the town Timmy is

moving to. He said it snowed every winter. Better than the willamette valley. 

Ashland, KY is at the extreme northeastern end of the state. Basically West Virginia. They are easily going to do better for cold/snow than anywhere on the westside south of maybe Lynden.

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1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

It snows every year in Klamath Falls.  What's your point Andrew?  LOL

That is a fact. I think only one winter in the last 130 years ever failed to do more than 1", but I believe a few days may be data gaps in that one. 

Even in a drought you're guaranteed a few decent snows using Portland's standards for snow.

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28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its not just on Friday... the GFS shows almost 4 inches for Tacoma and 5 inches for Olympia before dawn on Friday.   That is supposedly coming over the next 36 hours.

The satellite does not look like that kind of massive rain event is starting soon.  

 

sat 11-10.png

WPC is pretty bullish as far as rain rates tonight over burn scars on the Cascade crest.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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33 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My Stihl has a lot of mileage on it! This is how I spent my lunch break! Been blowing twice a week so it’s not too bad and I can get the driveway and landscaped areas done in an hour. Could not imagine life without it! 😀

D704750A-E2ED-4487-A5B1-F5761F0C7C81.jpeg

6F1DC4D6-87AA-423B-853F-C3F2B28950BD.jpeg

AA3CFE57-4A6D-4911-BB77-077E1F4E85BD.jpeg

BAB441F7-4BED-4BE6-BD8E-0F10B15A99E2.jpeg

I can understand clearing walkways, but why the driveway?

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52 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My Stihl has a lot of mileage on it! This is how I spent my lunch break! Been blowing twice a week so it’s not too bad and I can get the driveway and landscaped areas done in an hour. Could not imagine life without it! 😀

D704750A-E2ED-4487-A5B1-F5761F0C7C81.jpeg

6F1DC4D6-87AA-423B-853F-C3F2B28950BD.jpeg

AA3CFE57-4A6D-4911-BB77-077E1F4E85BD.jpeg

BAB441F7-4BED-4BE6-BD8E-0F10B15A99E2.jpeg

First person blower!

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A forum for the end of the world.

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