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PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion


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6 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

We Court-Martialed a guy named Eby in about 1992 for throwing his wife off the bridge in a Samsonite suitcase.  Long drop.  Never found her.  Eby may be out by now.  I think he got 30 years.

I grew up close to that bridge on Dewey Beach.  I was living in Bellingham at that time and didn't remember this case 

NCIS was involved in this case.  Gibbs apparently got a confession from him.

https://archive.seattletimes.com/archive/?date=19931101&slug=1729365

 

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the blue!!! 

733E83FB-0E85-40EA-AF86-AE132C7E64F3.jpeg

If the ECMWF is correct... the current c-zone will fade and reform farther north near Everett and then that c-zone will fade and will re-form a little farther north again.   That last one is the one that gets you.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

If the ECMWF is correct... the current c-zone will fade and reform farther north near Everett and then that c-zone will fade and will re-form a little farther north again.   That last one is the one that gets you.  😀

Will be very interesting to see how this plays out. I have zero expectations of even seeing a flake but time will tell! 

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Here are some photos of the Snohomish River spewing it's contents into Port Gardner.  It's pretty intense how it mixed with the waters of the Puget Sound.  It eventually changed the color of the whole bay.  

DSCN9401.JPG

DSCN9394.JPG

DSCN9395.JPG

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23 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I grew up close to that bridge on Dewey Beach.  I was living in Bellingham at that time and didn't remember this case 

NCIS was involved in this case.  Gibbs apparently got a confession from him.

https://archive.seattletimes.com/archive/?date=19931101&slug=1729365

 

That was it!  There were a lot of strange twists and turns to the case.  The Navy had divers in the water for a month, but didn't find anything at all.  Those waters are treacherous.  And so is the drop.

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Down to 41, might get down to average tonight! 0.55” of rain, a blessing, but we need so much more.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Down to 41, might get down to average tonight! 0.55” of rain, a blessing, but we need so much more.

You are trying too hard now.   Doing an impression of our friend Josh?  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Rip. Now what website will I spend all night updating? I jest a little, but this is an extremely serious situation and knowing the water level can help emergency managers better prepare for possible flooding. The reason the record for the Skagit River is just above 37' is because every time the river has gotten that high, a levee has blown out and released pressure on the system. Otherwise the record crest would be much higher. Currently the forecast is for 37.6' so hopefully something similar does not happen.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 0"

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Wow I just let the dogs out and was surprised by just how windy it has gotten again, probably the strongest of the event! The dogs were not fans of that. Still no power of course but we are all nice and cozy. 
Temp down to 41. 
.69” on the day, 9.95” for the month. 

58F2A232-5E04-4D68-B8E6-D7D7185E6099.jpeg

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wow I just let the dogs out and was surprised by just how windy it has gotten again, probably the strongest of the event! The dogs were not fans of that. Still no power of course but we are all nice and cozy. 
Temp down to 41. 
.69” on the day, 9.95” for the month. 

58F2A232-5E04-4D68-B8E6-D7D7185E6099.jpeg

Do you have a generator? 

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wow I just let the dogs out and was surprised by just how windy it has gotten again, probably the strongest of the event! The dogs were not fans of that. Still no power of course but we are all nice and cozy. 
Temp down to 41. 
.69” on the day, 9.95” for the month. 

58F2A232-5E04-4D68-B8E6-D7D7185E6099.jpeg

Where is the football game??

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Muddy dogs!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m still too cheap to up my DirecTv package to include ESPN. 😞

Ahhhh... with Marine Layer complaining loudly again I assumed it was also on ABC but I see we have Wheel of Fortune and Jeopardy locally on KOMO.      ML is jealous!   

20211115_184914.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Do you have a generator? 

Yep! Runs all of the vitals like the well and septic pumps, the on demand hot water system along with my water filtration system. Also the propane fireplace and blower. That becomes our only source of heat since our geothermal system does not run on the generator. It also runs the living and dining room lights, outside lights, the refrigerator and some of the outlets throughout the house. I have to run the extension cord from the directv panel upstairs down to an active plug downstairs. I also have to run a separate extension cord from the generator to the garage refrigerator and freezer. I have the setup down to a science at this point haha! 

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m still too cheap to up my DirecTv package to include ESPN. 😞

49ers are owning the Rams tonight!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Ahhhh... with Marine Layer complaining loudly again I assumed it was also on ABC but I see we have Wheel of Fortune and Jeopardy locally on KOMO.      ML is jealous!   

20211115_184914.jpg

It’s probably on ABC in his area. 

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Just now, MossMan said:

It’s probably on ABC in his area. 

Yeah... Rams are the local team in his area.  

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Bottom line is that its stormy and windy and his power is out... but Randy is snug as a bug in a rug.    And might be watching it snow later tonight.  😀

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31 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wow I just let the dogs out and was surprised by just how windy it has gotten again, probably the strongest of the event! The dogs were not fans of that. Still no power of course but we are all nice and cozy. 
Temp down to 41. 
.69” on the day, 9.95” for the month. 

58F2A232-5E04-4D68-B8E6-D7D7185E6099.jpeg

Generator to the rescue and yes, I do like Spirit too.

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37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You are trying too hard now.   Doing an impression of our friend Josh?  😀

To do an impression of me, one would need to complain about Thursday/Friday’s rain inevitably migrating north. The 12z ICON and 18Z NAM were great for Portland. The next runs more closely resemble the GFS, Euro, and GEM. When it’s all said and done, it will be another bust like today. 

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10 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

To do an impression of me, one would need to complain about Thursday/Friday’s rain inevitably migrating north. The 12z ICON and 18Z NAM were great for Portland. The next runs more closely resemble the GFS, Euro, and GEM. When it’s all said and done, it will be another bust like today. 

I don't think most people would consider missing the disaster up north today a "bust".   It was a blessing.  👍

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10 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Of course he has. But at the same time, I didn't have time to check every posts either. 🤣

Yeah... there have been lots of posts and pics today!

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We really need the weather to slow down and dry up. We basically would benefit from the Pacific Jet taking a nap. I would be okay with some general rain and mountain snows, but none of this atmospheric river junk unless it is focused Salem southward? Maybe. This has been a very crazy and active Fall. Of course we will still root heavily for Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

 

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

❄️☃️❄️⛄️❄️🌬❄️☃️❄️⛄️❄

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The 00z ICON shifts the rainfall to the south, but at the expense of neutering it altogether. The 00z GFS puts PDX back in the bullseye. With such a narrow swath of healthy QPF, I have zero confidence in the ultimate outcome. Actually, I have confidence that somewhere north of the Columbia River will be the target or it will fizzle out.

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5 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

The 00z ICON shifts the rainfall to the south, but at the expense of neutering it altogether. The 00z GFS puts PDX back in the bullseye. With such a narrow swath of healthy QPF, I have zero confidence in the ultimate outcome. Actually, I have confidence that somewhere north of the Columbia River will be the target or it will fizzle out.

If you love rain... and its raining... does it matter to you if PDX gets .35 or .50?    Honestly wondering.    

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