Hopefully the upward trend in the ensembles is not just a default to climo in long range and there is an actual warm up ahead. Mid 50s is great in March but not so much in May.
At this point in 1988, the polls showed Dukakis handily defeating Bush.
In 2016, one pundit was so sure Clinton would win (the polls were basically all saying she would) that he promised to eat a bug if Trump won.