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PNW December 2021 Obs - Winter Canceled Edition


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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

This winter was DOOMED the moment Fred dropped the hammer on Jesse.

It cured the summer heat, though.

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Hey Eye-Phred that cancelled my post when I pressed send because you locked the thread while I was writing it.

I'd advise you lawyer up...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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@Phil I'm not re-writing my post again but I checked those years you referenced at the end of the previous page, and all of them had better block placement. Jan 1969 is an extreme example and it's not even fair; block at 160° W for two uninterrupted weeks with varying degrees of amplitude. Those years might not be the best analogs for the upcoming pattern.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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EPS looks great so far.  Stronger block than the GEFS and the 12z EPS.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 12.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 11

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 15

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 5

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 16

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

This one has always been a favorite.

IGNORE THE YEAR. IT WAS JANUARY.

 

So this is what it looks like above 500'...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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Hoping being at 900 feet will help me see a few flakes into tomorrow morning...

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

This one has always been a favorite.

IGNORE THE YEAR. IT WAS JANUARY.

 

Quite curious to know the % of people that switch to winter tires here in PNW during the winter time. Probably not many right? Maybe won't help under these conditions with so many hills but maybe some traction might help. I personally don't swap them out since I have AWD. 

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10 minutes ago, snow drift said:

What palm tree should I plant? Is it too early for roses or lilies? Are orange trees tolerant of Spokane's modern climate? So many questions this year. 

Fun fact: Spokane has never gone 3 straight winters without a 0F or lower reading. 2019-20 only reached 13 and 2020-21 only reached 9. Low so far this season is 20. 

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Quite curious to know the % of people that switch to winter tires here in PNW during the winter time. Probably not many right? Maybe won't help under these conditions with so many hills but maybe some traction might help. I personally don't swap them out since I have AWD. 

That morning was a perfect storm. The timing of the precip and the fact we started with a little layer of sleet made for an absolute skating rink. Studs might of helped some of those folks a little bit but studs suck. Gravity sucks.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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12 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Fun fact: Spokane has never gone 3 straight winters without a 0F or lower reading. 2019-20 only reached 13 and 2020-21 only reached 9. Low so far this season is 20. 

Had a high of 16 on 1/14/20 but just couldn’t ever clear out. Thinking back I would have assumed they got colder than 13 that week.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

2021-22: 17"

-12/24: 0.5"

-12/26: 8.5"

-12/27: 1.5"

-12/29-30: 4"

-1/2: 2"

-1/5: 0.5"

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

2020-21: 14.5”

 

 

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Fun fact: Spokane has never gone 3 straight winters without a 0F or lower reading. 2019-20 only reached 13 and 2020-21 only reached 9. Low so far this season is 20. 

It's been epic futility around here. I experienced 1978-79, December 1983, 1984-85, 1985-86, 1988-89, December 1990, 1992-93, 1996, 2004 and the list goes on and on. I was so spoiled growing up here. I thought we turned the corner around 2008-09. No, December and January have turned into a weather house of horrors. Ever since December 2017 we have torched in our traditional winter months of December and January. Will it ever end? December is a lost cause this year. I doubt we reach average.

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35F and mostly clear with some thin clouds.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 26F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 11 (Most recent: Jan 9, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Dec 29, 2021)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

@Phil I'm not re-writing my post again but I checked those years you referenced at the end of the previous page, and all of them had better block placement. Jan 1969 is an extreme example and it's not even fair; block at 160° W for two uninterrupted weeks with varying degrees of amplitude. Those years might not be the best analogs for the upcoming pattern.

I was using straight monthly averages though. The longitude of the NPAC blocking tends to be fluid/variable with respect to time, and guidance is fickle at range.

Not sure we know precisely how that block will evolve.

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1 hour ago, Loniu7 said:

I've been a lurker for 3 years now.  Being a Hawaiian transplant, I love the snow.  I've lived in NM, NJ, CA, Hi, and here. 

I joined wf, via Twitter graciously through fred, and I just sit back and learn. Always hoping for snow, and realizing everywhere I've lived, WA is no NJ lol. 

What I've learned is snow and cold is always 10 days away! 

Kuchera map is the map I use to pray to the snow gods. 

Never spill the beans to early about snow . That just jinx the whole thing.  

Phil speaks a different language. I think its code . He's a spy.

DJ dropping the night shift with the maps always gives me hope! 

Tim say hi to my family! They hate the snow!

Leilani 

Welcome!

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

I was using straight monthly averages though. The longitude of the NPAC blocking tends to be fluid/variable with respect to time, and guidance is fickle at range.

Not sure we know precisely how that block will evolve.

But the particular blocks which shunted arctic air into the region were in a better position. As of right now optimal block position is just not present on current guidance.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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32 with light snow at Grants Pass.

40 at PDX 🤢

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 31.1                         2021-22: 40.64" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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At the very least, we get to choose between an Arctic pattern in the lowlands, and a prolific Cali precip producing one. Not the worst two options. But the latter is rather boing up here.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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The same exact cutoff-producing pattern repeats itself over and over again from D3-10. Three separate mega cutoffs off the coast of California. The San Francisco kelp forests would benefit from the cooler waters and nutrient rich upwelling at least.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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And there it is, the first run without a white Christmas in 16 runs. 15 straight for Seattle. From 12z Saturday the 11th, to 00z Wednesday the 15th. Marvelous.

The best run IMO was the 18z on Monday the 13th.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

At the very least, we get to choose between an Arctic pattern in the lowlands, and a prolific Cali precip producing one. Not the worst two options. But the latter is rather boing up here.

After looking at all the model maps you guys have posted the last few days. All I can think of for my area is 

Screen_Shot_2018-03-30_at_11.34.27_AM.jpg

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6 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

After looking at all the model maps you guys have posted the last few days. All I can think of for my area is 

Screen_Shot_2018-03-30_at_11.34.27_AM.jpg

Y'all need it more! Though you won't see me turning down snow and cold ;)

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 30th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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