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PNW December 2021 Obs - Winter Canceled Edition


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From the NWS in Missoula:

Looking into next week, ensemble guidance have trended the arctic
air to be up against the Continental Divide, rather than
positioned further to the east towards the Northern Plains. This
would make sense after looking at several analog dates that show
the very large upper ridge over the Northern Pacific with a
trough cutting off just west of Oregon. The pattern is quite
active for the holiday week with an increasing potential for the
arctic air to shift west across the Divide at some point later in
the week. 
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I saw Snowmizer on TV last night! He came on to let us know those cutoff lows will disappear from the models soon. Anyway he looks a bit different than what I had envisioned! Oh and apparently this is the year without Santa Claus. 😞

222B540A-3A3B-4114-A4EA-32531F0744E0.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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6 hours ago, snow drift said:

It's been epic futility around here. I experienced 1978-79, December 1983, 1984-85, 1985-86, 1988-89, December 1990, 1992-93, 1996, 2004 and the list goes on and on. I was so spoiled growing up here. I thought we turned the corner around 2008-09. No, December and January have turned into a weather house of horrors. Ever since December 2017 we have torched in our traditional winter months of December and January. Will it ever end? December is a lost cause this year. I doubt we reach average.

Yeah, but having 2007-08 and 2008-09 back to back was pretty epic.

A forum for the end of the world.

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2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

From the NWS in Missoula:

Looking into next week, ensemble guidance have trended the arctic
air to be up against the Continental Divide, rather than
positioned further to the east towards the Northern Plains. This
would make sense after looking at several analog dates that show
the very large upper ridge over the Northern Pacific with a
trough cutting off just west of Oregon. The pattern is quite
active for the holiday week with an increasing potential for the
arctic air to shift west across the Divide at some point later in
the week. 

Nice find, Tyler!

That would be huge and pour arctic air into Idaho, eastern Washington, and the Columbia Basin.

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8 hours ago, Loniu7 said:

I've been a lurker for 3 years now.  Being a Hawaiian transplant, I love the snow.  I've lived in NM, NJ, CA, Hi, and here. 

I joined wf, via Twitter graciously through fred, and I just sit back and learn. Always hoping for snow, and realizing everywhere I've lived, WA is no NJ lol. 

What I've learned is snow and cold is always 10 days away! 

Kuchera map is the map I use to pray to the snow gods. 

Never spill the beans to early about snow . That just jinx the whole thing.  

Phil speaks a different language. I think its code . He's a spy.

DJ dropping the night shift with the maps always gives me hope! 

Tim say hi to my family! They hate the snow!

Leilani 

Welcome to Party!

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About 44F with dry and cloudy conditions.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 26F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 11 (Most recent: Jan 9, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Dec 29, 2021)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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19 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

From the NWS in Missoula:

Looking into next week, ensemble guidance have trended the arctic
air to be up against the Continental Divide, rather than
positioned further to the east towards the Northern Plains. This
would make sense after looking at several analog dates that show
the very large upper ridge over the Northern Pacific with a
trough cutting off just west of Oregon. The pattern is quite
active for the holiday week with an increasing potential for the
arctic air to shift west across the Divide at some point later in
the week. 

that would lead to the 'ol Backdoor Blast down the Purcell Trench into E WA

 

it's still coming

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