Tom Posted December 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, Madtown said: Guess I gotta believe the dots...just got done shoveling out from 7.5"! What’s your depth? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 Canadian is cold and snowy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 12z UKIE... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 Euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 Woah, the 12z EPS now has a 4” snow mean for ORD! General 2-4” over N IL and also E IA/S WI and N IN/S MI about 2-3”. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 18z HRRR 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 WWA hoisted for N IL areas. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 203 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021 ILZ003>006-008-010>013-103-104-280415- /O.NEW.KLOT.WW.Y.0013.211228T1500Z-211229T0000Z/ Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage- Northern Cook-Central Cook- Including the cities of Rockford, Belvidere, Crystal Lake, Algonquin, McHenry, Woodstock, Waukegan, Buffalo Grove, Mundelein, Gurnee, Rochelle, Oregon, Byron, Dixon, DeKalb, Sycamore, Aurora, Elgin, Naperville, Wheaton, Downers Grove, Lombard, Carol Stream, Evanston, Des Plaines, Schaumburg, Palatine, Northbrook, Chicago, Cicero, Oak Lawn, Oak Park, and La Grange 203 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Slippery travel conditions due to steady snow expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Illinois. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 6 PM CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The peak snow rates of up to one half inch per hour are expected between noon and 3 pm CST. Snow totals are expected to range from 1 to 3 inches by the time snow ends. Source 3 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 Small wwa for James and me. More than I had expected so, I'll take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 If I remember correctly, the snow season didn’t really start for ORD/N IL until right after Christmas last year either. I recall finally being able to take off my Christmas lawn inflatable sometime in March because it had been buried under snow & ice. EDIT: Here it is, from Dec. 29th & 30th. ORD had only seen 0.9 inches up until this storm. I got around 6” at my house. 2 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 WWA for Linn County (Cedar Rapids) and points east and north. Up to 2" for CR it says. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: WWA for Linn County (Cedar Rapids) and points east and north. Up to 2" for CR it says. 1-3” in my point forecast here in Marion. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 About 1 to 2 counties north of me reported a solid 2.5 to 3" from the overnight hit. I like it when GRR says "nothing to see here boys", then at very last minute pulls the headline trigger. All the Peeps getting up early for work would've been in bed by the time they did. They got on the commute and were like "where was this on the news last evening?" 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, jaster220 said: About 1 to 2 counties north of me reported a solid 2.5 to 3" from the overnight hit. I like it when GRR says "nothing to see here boys", then at very last minute pulls the headline trigger. All the Peeps getting up early for work would've been in bed by the time they did. They got on the commute and were like "where was this on the news last evening?" Glad I had the day off. 2” of heavy wet snow. Side and main roads were not great and I’m not shoveling this slop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 27, 2021 Report Share Posted December 27, 2021 @Tomcongrats on the headline bud! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 00z HRRR shows less in ne IA. I'm expecting an inch or less of slop here. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 18z ECMWF ENS spread for Chicago ... wouldn't be the first snow of the season if I didn't get my hopes unrealistically high only to have them crash down back to Earth when the most plausible forecast actually verifies 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 18z Euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 The 00z NAM is ok, but the 3k NAM dropped totals way down. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Man have I missed tracking model images right as they come in... just makes things truly feel like winter. Here's to a snowy 2022, hope everyone's having a happy holidays! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 The 00z HRW FV3, on the other hand, which had been warmer with little if any snow down to Cedar Rapids, just upped it quite a bit, similar to the Euro. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Fargo finished last night's event with 8.6" 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 00Z NAM going nuts for many in IA on Wednesday--- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The 00z NAM is ok, but the 3k NAM dropped totals way down. NAM comes in even hotter over here with 8 hrs of snow falling and 3-5" potential. Looks way more robust then wave 1, yet DTX stuck beating the 1-2" drum no headline even mentioned. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Fargo finished last night's event with 8.6" And another Bliz Warning! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: 00Z NAM going nuts for many in IA on Wednesday--- Precursor to the weekend? 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: Precursor to the weekend? The way things are trending the wed deal may solidly out do the Sat deal.... I don't really care. Just want to see the ground white for once this year. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Just like with a doe tag and meat hunting- "If its brown, it's down" (covered in snow - down, ) 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: 00Z NAM going nuts for many in IA on Wednesday--- Man that would be a sweet surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 HRW-FV3 has also increased the snow Wednesday 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 3km NAM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 21z SREF Mean 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Might have to expand that advisory to the southwest in Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Little change from the 00z RDPS Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 33 minutes ago, Bellona said: Might have to expand that advisory to the southwest in Iowa. And just like that they did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 11 minutes ago, bud2380 said: And just like that they did. I was thinking a little more back toward the dsm area, but maybe that's too quick. Wouldn't be surprised but things don't change they add some in morning discussion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 00z GFS Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Side-by-side of WRF-ARW. Bit of a snowier trend locally (at least since Chicago is "local" for the next little while). Can't help but advertise the pro-snow models, apologies for the bias!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Canadian with 6” for CR tomorrow 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 00z UK 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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