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12/27 - 12/29 Upper MW/GL's Multi-System Snow Event


Tom
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About 1 to 2 counties north of me reported a solid 2.5 to 3" from the overnight hit. I like it when GRR says "nothing to see here boys", then at very last minute pulls the headline trigger. All the Peeps getting up early for work would've been in bed by the time they did. They got on the commute and were like "where was this on the news last evening?"

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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27 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

About 1 to 2 counties north of me reported a solid 2.5 to 3" from the overnight hit. I like it when GRR says "nothing to see here boys", then at very last minute pulls the headline trigger. All the Peeps getting up early for work would've been in bed by the time they did. They got on the commute and were like "where was this on the news last evening?"

Glad I had the day off. 2” of heavy wet snow.  Side and main roads were not great and I’m not shoveling this slop.  

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@Tomcongrats on the headline bud!

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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00z HRRR shows less in ne IA.  I'm expecting an inch or less of slop here.

image.thumb.png.df4238dfdfc24c733ba24a1a7c08aa1d.png

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The 00z NAM is ok, but the 3k NAM dropped totals way down.

image.thumb.png.6a30760acb3d25259a59f348186be244.png

image.thumb.png.65885cd9496154cf3f1251c84677f853.png

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The 00z HRW FV3, on the other hand, which had been warmer with little if any snow down to Cedar Rapids, just upped it quite a bit, similar to the Euro.

image.thumb.png.06bfd665a81f6181b331760bdd3b19a8.png

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Fargo finished last night's event with 8.6"

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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12 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

The 00z NAM is ok, but the 3k NAM dropped totals way down.

image.thumb.png.6a30760acb3d25259a59f348186be244.png

image.thumb.png.65885cd9496154cf3f1251c84677f853.png

NAM comes in even hotter over here with 8 hrs of snow falling and 3-5" potential. Looks way more robust then wave 1, yet DTX stuck beating the 1-2" drum no headline even mentioned.

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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9 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

Fargo finished last night's event with 8.6"

And another Bliz Warning!

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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3 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

00Z NAM going nuts for many in IA on Wednesday---

snku_012h.us_mw.png

Precursor to the weekend?

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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1 minute ago, jaster220 said:

Precursor to the weekend?

The way things are trending the wed deal may solidly out do the Sat deal....

I don't really care. Just want to see the ground white for once this year.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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HRW-FV3 has also increased the snow Wednesday

image.thumb.png.05a64a10a0d793230da1c0282910550b.png

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Little change from the 00z RDPS

image.thumb.png.aa4392f38e2da4a4390d1c3538a139e7.png

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The Euro is still bullish, even has more snow in Iowa City than in Cedar Rapids

image.thumb.png.bbb316d8ee930119c4fe2f797b35a262.png

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The only concern I have here are the warm ground temps which will melt the snow from underneath once all sudden done.  It is looking likely that a solid 2-4" event for our seasons 1st snowfall.  Hopefully this is a start of good things to come.  The fact that this will be a daytime event makes it more enjoyable as well.

0z EPS...

1.png

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DTX tossing the NAM's higher qpf, while still allowing for localized over-performer, so we'll see.

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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4 hours ago, jaster220 said:

DTX tossing the NAM's higher qpf, while still allowing for localized over-performer, so we'll see.

GRR thinks no advisory (warmer temps and weakening as it moves through here), even though snow is falling during the evening commute.  Side roads are still icy/not plowed from previous event.  But they are calling for up to 3" with 1-2" widespread.  The office is schizo.  It's a watch and see event and I bet we see an advisory if the radar trends that way.    

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We went from a few flurries to moderate snow very quickly.  The latest HRRR shows 1"/hr for a few hours.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The 12z HRRR has completely lost the Wednesday system, only shows a spotty dusting.  The NAM and 3kNAM show a very narrow band of 2-3" through CR and nothing elsewhere.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Radar shows the mixing line already north of Iowa City and approaching Cedar Rapids.  Some models have suggested that line could stall for a bit just south of CR, so hopefully they are correct.

It's possible this could be a system where Hiawatha (north edge of Cedar Rapids) get 3-4" while I get 1-2" on the west side of CR and the airport gets <1".

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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9 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

1.3" here at 10am.

Nice if you stay all snow you should get a few inches I would think.  We're gonna end up with a half inch of snow and a mix of every other p-type down here.  As usual the battle zone is always between I80 and Hwy 30 in Eastern Iowa.  

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Season Snowfall: 0.00"

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