January 2022 Observations & Discussion

[CentralNebWeather]

3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

There are spotter reports of over 20 inches.

I've never measured 12 inches in my life.  Meanwhile, a piddly, barely-noticeable system dropping south through the plains drops 20 inches.

We don't get big blizzards that drop this much snow.  I think I only remember a March slow moving system in 2006 that dropped over 2 feet.

[james1976]

Canadian also has the 1-2 punch next week. All globals are showing an active week.

[OmahaSnowFan]

4 hours ago, Niko said:

Anyone heading out on the EC this weekend??!! Well, if ya wanna experience a true blizzard, now is your chance. Latest Euro Clobbers the entire I-95 with 18-24”+ of snow for this weekend.

I have a buddy that lives just outside of Boston. I've given him the heads up!

[OmahaSnowFan]

Boo! 

[Niko]

20 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I have a buddy that lives just outside of Boston. I've given him the heads up!

I also have a cousin who lives in the suburbs of Boston and just recently told him about this monster (but he already knew) and told me that he had a "Shipt Shopper" buy him $200 worth of groceries. He also told me that they are in "High Risk" of getting this huge snowstorm, so he is taking no chances.  Man, I can only imagine the snow rates that they are going to experience.

[snowstorm83]

4 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

There are spotter reports of over 20 inches.

I've never measured 12 inches in my life.  Meanwhile, a piddly, barely-noticeable system dropping south through the plains drops 20 inches.

Looks like reports of 20-22" south of Goodland and even a 27" to the SW. Like what even, just insane. I wasn't paying super close attention but I think the upgrade to warnings was pretty last minute too. I doubt Kuchera even modeled close to that high. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Can we lock in the 18z GFS?  My goodness. Very stormy pattern next week potentially. Lots of time to track. 

[jaster220]

22 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Can we lock in the 18z GFS?  My goodness. Very stormy pattern next week potentially. Lots of time to track. 

Hopeful for you guys who've REALLY been shafted this winter to finally see some action. 31st day suffering with Covid and/or it's after-effects and this (relatively speaking vs Dec ofc) bitter cold pattern that has suddenly become persistent here is unwelcomed by self. I don't have a garage, I have a not too close to my apt door "car port" and even after going out in 9F this am to start my car and let it idle 15 full mins, I jumped in to go to work and the needle hadn't budged off "cold" on the temp gauge. She's a small-ish 4-cylinder and she just hates to warm up when it's below 20F! Pathetic, but I'm stoked to see 35F (above freezing!) in my grid for next Tues. Just have to make it through some even colder days/nights to get there, lol. At least we finally got the barren tundra ground covered decently so the cold is "useful" in that sense. I just need an already warm "taxi" to and from work to improve my attitude. Maybe I will see if Uber or Lift could be just that. I've never used either. If any of you have tip for me on that, feel free to comment. I normally arrive to work 7 am, leave 5 pm. Not crazy hours, right? 

Edit - How do I arrange a ride, is via an app on my phone??

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Niko]

53 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Hopeful for you guys who've REALLY been shafted this winter to finally see some action. 31st day suffering with Covid and/or it's after-effects and this (relatively speaking vs Dec ofc) bitter cold pattern that has suddenly become persistent here is unwelcomed by self. I don't have a garage, I have a not too close to my apt door "car port" and even after going out in 9F this am to start my car and let it idle 15 full mins, I jumped in to go to work and the needle hadn't budged off "cold" on the temp gauge. She's a small-ish 4-cylinder and she just hates to warm up when it's below 20F! Pathetic, but I'm stoked to see 35F (above freezing!) in my grid for next Tues. Just have to make it through some even colder days/nights to get there, lol. At least we finally got the barren tundra ground covered decently so the cold is "useful" in that sense. I just need an already warm "taxi" to and from work to improve my attitude. Maybe I will see if Uber or Lift could be just that. I've never used either. If any of you have tip for me on that, feel free to comment. I normally arrive to work 7 am, leave 5 pm. Not crazy hours, right? 

Edit - How do I arrange a ride, is via an app on my phone??

Very easy amigo. I use both (Lift and Uber) only when I travel, especially when I am in NYC.

So, just download the app on your mobile device. Fill in a few details. Provide your payment info.

Tip: I usually add in one of my credit card numbers w/ low amount of cash on it, just for ride purposes. NEVER add in your bank acct.

Once you are done filling out everything..you are good to go. Its very convenient and they arrive fast. You can even track them on your phone to see where they are. Always leave a tip at the end. Your phone will give you that option once ur ride ends. Hope this helps bud!

Btw: Sometimes I tell the Uber or Lift driver to put on some low music so that I can sit back and enjoy my ride. Dont be shy w/them. Remember, you are paying!!

[Niko]

Here we go w/this monster..already taking shape. It is now looking more promising. Oh boy, this will be a sweet one!

[OmahaSnowFan]

Forecast graphic from last year’s big snowstorm on this date. 
That small oval shaped blob of higher amounts on the north side of Omaha and points north covered my house so I really thought I was golden.

Unfortunately I somehow only ended up with 8.5” IMBY from this storm despite the 12-14” totals all over eastern Nebraska.

[Bellona]

Yikes!! That has to be one of the lowest dew points I've seen in quite a time.

[Hawkeye]

Apparently, there was little to no wind during the 27" snowfall in western Kansas this morning.  That would be a dream.

[OmahaSnowFan]

34 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Apparently, there was little to no wind during the 27" snowfall in western Kansas this morning.  That would be a dream.

Yep. Cuz then you get snow that looks like this! Picture from today somewhere in western Kansas!

[Tom]

3 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Hopeful for you guys who've REALLY been shafted this winter to finally see some action. 31st day suffering with Covid and/or it's after-effects and this (relatively speaking vs Dec ofc) bitter cold pattern that has suddenly become persistent here is unwelcomed by self. I don't have a garage, I have a not too close to my apt door "car port" and even after going out in 9F this am to start my car and let it idle 15 full mins, I jumped in to go to work and the needle hadn't budged off "cold" on the temp gauge. She's a small-ish 4-cylinder and she just hates to warm up when it's below 20F! Pathetic, but I'm stoked to see 35F (above freezing!) in my grid for next Tues. Just have to make it through some even colder days/nights to get there, lol. At least we finally got the barren tundra ground covered decently so the cold is "useful" in that sense. I just need an already warm "taxi" to and from work to improve my attitude. Maybe I will see if Uber or Lift could be just that. I've never used either. If any of you have tip for me on that, feel free to comment. I normally arrive to work 7 am, leave 5 pm. Not crazy hours, right? 

Edit - How do I arrange a ride, is via an app on my phone??

Regarding Uber, you have to download their app and register.  Its pretty easy.  It all really depends on your area in terms of rates.  I hear Uber is better in the Chicago area while Lyft is better in the Scottsdale area when I venture out west.  BTW, you should become a "snow bird" and come make a visit out west sometime soon!  Maybe you'll consider that when we enter the Spring doldrums and the depressing weather settles in 

[Tom]

Some of the models are suggesting that Cook county might get lucky and see some LES late Thu into Fri...as always, these are typically nowcast situations....

18z Euro...

 

 

 

[Tom]

Judah Cohen might be using his snow magnet to finally reel one in....Boston has been missed for the most part this season, I'd be stoke to sit there and enjoy this "white 'cane" pound the EC!  Hurricane Force wind gusts off the latest 0z Euro and 2-3 Feet of snow....who wants to go to Cape Cod??  As modeled, this Beast in the East looks to be a 24+hour snow event.  Reminiscent to the stories @Nikohas mentioned on here.

 

[Tom]

0z GEFS looking mighty pretty for many on here...opportunities are dialing up...share the wealth Mother Nature...

[Tom]

0z Euro targeting Cook county and parts of Will with some pretty good LES later this week...Chitown could be sitting pretty with this set up...

[Tom]

So, the models are trending towards my initial thinking of a lead Upper MW wave followed by a secondary piece riding up the thermal gradient and quite a temp gradient pattern it will be.

 

 

#ShareTheWealth"....

[Tom]

If, and that is a Big "IF", due to its variability, but the 0z GEFS are showing a SSW event across Eurasia post FEB 5th generating a Cross Polar Flow pattern into North America.   Some of the coldest air over the entire Northern Hemisphere could be delivered into our Continent.  This pattern reminds me of FEB '14 and '15....Brrrr!

 

What a pattern this could end up becoming as we marry the STJ and track some southern stream storms for once....

 

 

[Tom]

0z EPS looks very similar to the 0z GEFS....could be the 1st Big Dog of the season that covers a lot of our active members on here....

 

[jaster220]

6 hours ago, Niko said:

Very easy amigo. I use both (Lift and Uber) only when I travel, especially when I am in NYC.

So, just download the app on your mobile device. Fill in a few details. Provide your payment info.

Tip: I usually add in one of my credit card numbers w/ low amount of cash on it, just for ride purposes. NEVER add in your bank acct.

Once you are done filling out everything..you are good to go. Its very convenient and they arrive fast. You can even track them on your phone to see where they are. Always leave a tip at the end. Your phone will give you that option once ur ride ends. Hope this helps bud!

Btw: Sometimes I tell the Uber or Lift driver to put on some low music so that I can sit back and enjoy my ride. Dont be shy w/them. Remember, you are paying!!

Thanks amigo! Last night I took those steps deciding on Paypal instead of DC and Bank acct. This is for the uber app, didn't mess with Lyft at this point. Planning to request rides to/from my work for these 2-3 days that are coldest. Then we'll see where it goes from that point.

[jaster220]

2 hours ago, Tom said:

So, the models are trending towards my initial thinking of a lead Upper MW wave followed by a secondary piece riding up the thermal gradient and quite a temp gradient pattern it will be.

 

 

#ShareTheWealth"....

Wow, that 2nd map is like GHD-1, but with bigger totals north of Chicago, instead of Chicago and SW from there. Really gets cranking from Lake Huron NE into SE ONT, and SW Quebec. Like a 3 foot bliz up north. But looking closely, due to the NE fetch down Saginaw Bay that's a 25" total showing for city of Saginaw. Now, we all know these d10 maps portray the absolute max perfect storm outcome, lol but it's still neat to see that showing up.

 

[Grizzcoat]

Some -20F's showing up in the vicinity of James--

[Madtown]

-20 on the home station, -23 

at the airport 

[Madtown]

well airport at some point hit 28 below.

[westMJim]

The official overnight low at Grand Rapids was -2. Here at my house the low was -1 so far that is the coldest it has been this winter season. At this time with cloudy skies it now has warmed up to +5 here. There is now 6.5" of snow on the ground here

[james1976]

3 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Some -20F's showing up in the vicinity of James--

I hit -17. Waterloo was forecasted to hit -24 but looks like that's not gonna happen. Still very cold! Wind chills around -30.

[earthandturf]

-16.3 on my home station this morning, warmed up to -12 already!

[Thunder98]

-34F in Merrill, WI. Maybe the coldest spot in the lower 48?

[Tom]

Local station dipped to -7F as I went for a walk earlier.  The slight breeze had a bite to it this morning against my face. Very crisp out there and I enjoyed the Tundra landscape as well as the “crunch” sound of the snow.  #realwinter

[Tom]

26 minutes ago, earthandturf said:

-16.3 on my home station this morning, warmed up to -12 already!

How much snow do you have OTG?

[Niko]

Now, its a week away, but the 06z GFS says....inundate these peeps w/ the "White Gold."

[centralweather44]

15 minutes ago, Niko said:

Now, its a week away, but the 06z GFS says....inadequate these peeps w/ the "White Gold."

I haven’t been on to look. Is this multiple waves I’m assuming?

[CentralNebWeather]

Look at this snowfall bullseye in Western Kansas and Eastern Colorado.  Very jealous.  

 

[Niko]

8 minutes ago, centralweather44 said:

I haven’t been on to look. Is this multiple waves I’m assuming?

My guess is the Upper "MW Wave" along w/ the secondary piece all in one.

[tStacsh]

15 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Look at this snowfall bullseye in Western Kansas and Eastern Colorado.  Very jealous.  

 

Does anyone live there to experience that? 

[Hawkeye]

We did not come close to the forecasted low temp overnight.  The NWS predicted -22º, but the airport, always a cold spot, only hit -15º, and my yard only hit -11º.  I think our snow is just too old and not deep enough.  We really need fresh, deep powder to reach the -20s.