PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

12z Euro says no snow South of Snohomish County/Hood Canal tomorrow and nothing significant South of Whatcom. GFS says widespread 2-4" for all of Western WA. Good old fashioned model battle brewing.

My money is on an eastern Puget Sound Lowlands special.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The ensembles are kind of a bummer after this late week trough. I had hoped we would start seeing some improvement toward the end of the run by now, but not really. 

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The ensembles are kind of a bummer after this late week trough. I had hoped we would start seeing some improvement toward the end of the run by now, but not really. 

agreed. seems like GEFS/GDPS were quick to get a glimpse of a potential retro situation and then have been consistently pushing it out/delaying it for a few days. I'm still hopeful since the EPS last night has started to show it, will be interested to see if 12z continues it. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

30 minutes ago, JBolin said:

LMFAO, yea right

I doubt Whatcom would get what's showing, but even the NWS says my area could get 18.  Most I have seen here is about 16.

[ShawniganLake]

Picked up 3” of snow last night.   Tomorrow night looks like huge potential here but it’s a tough call just how much outflow makes it across the strait and how quick the upper levels warm. Could be anywhere from 4-12”

[snow drift]

43 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Memory goggles. 1.4.2017. 

Reminds me of 2008

[snow drift]

12 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I doubt Whatcom would get what's showing, but even the NWS says my area could get 18.  Most I have seen here is about 16.

My largest was back in December 2008. We had one storm drop 2-3 feet in the area. Athol, near Coeur d'Alene, picked up 40 inches. It was champagne powder, so it was easy to shovel. I really prefer snowfalls in the 4-6 inch range, but it's nice to experience a huge storm.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

36 with heavy rain. It could not be a more miserable day. 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The ensembles are kind of a bummer after this late week trough. I had hoped we would start seeing some improvement toward the end of the run by now, but not really. 

Exactly. Feels like a lost cause until February again. At least we had a fun end to December this time. The winter is still a solid A for this location you can't hope for much better than 10" of snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Exactly. Feels like a lost cause until February again. At least we had a fun end to December this time. The winter is still a solid A for this location you can't hope for much better than 10" of snow.

The rain is super depressing, especially falling on snow. Looking forward to some dry days. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Exactly. Feels like a lost cause until February again. At least we had a fun end to December this time. The winter is still a solid A for this location you can't hope for much better than 10" of snow.

What’s your yearly average?

[MossMan]

My expectations for tomorrow is zero and I am fully expecting a wet deck. That way any snow will be a huge bonus and fantastic! 

[bainbridgekid]

Snoqualmie Pass has gotten 236 inches of snow already this year, more by this date than any previous Winter in the last 20 years.

https://www.king5.com/article/weather/snoqualmie-pass-hits-snowfall-milestone/281-2ae87fdb-bdbb-4548-8a1c-437a9f89007d

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What’s your yearly average?

I use the median because the mean is skewed by all the massive events. We actually have a median seasonal snowfall of 0" in any given winter.

[Jbolin]

If you nerds haven't checked out what's happening in Hokaido, you should.

Some areas are buried under 8-12 FEET of snow, NOT drifts, accumulated snowfall.

[Timmy Supercell]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I use the median because the mean is skewed by all the massive events. We actually have a median seasonal snowfall of 0" in any given winter.

2000-2003, rain.
Jan 7 2004, foot of snow on ground.
2005-2007, rain
Dec 25 2008, 2 feet of snow on ground. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

24 minutes ago, snow drift said:

My largest was back in December 2008. We had one storm drop 2-3 feet in the area. Athol, near Coeur d'Alene, picked up 40 inches. It was champagne powder, so it was easy to shovel. I really prefer snowfalls in the 4-6 inch range, but it's nice to experience a huge storm.

That would be amazing to see.  But cleaning up after it is a lot of work.

[SouthHillFrosty]

8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I use the median because the mean is skewed by all the massive events. We actually have a median seasonal snowfall of 0" in any given winter.

So this winter should be like A++++ for u

[Ray]

I find it interesting that the NWS hasn't updated their area forecast discussion.  Usually it is out by 9am.  I imagine it is due to the complexity of what might be going on tomorrow into Thursday.  My daughter has decided not to go back to Bellingham quite yet which is a pretty good idea since her classes for this week are all on line.  On a different note it was a freaking ice rink at least on the side roads here.  We have a slight hill by our house and a school bus was stuck on it.  Ended up having to back down.  At least right now the ice shows no sign of melting.

[gusky]

I like this but don't think it's gonna happen

[Anti Marine Layer]

17 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

So this winter should be like A++++ for u

[TigerWoodsLibido]

17 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

So this winter should be like A++++ for u

I guess I never thought about the plus aspect of things but yeah. 10" is an extremely high-water mark as well as a bunch of sub-40F highs.

[Anti Marine Layer]

27 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I use the median because the mean is skewed by all the massive events. We actually have a median seasonal snowfall of 0" in any given winter.

Go to Minneapolis 

[jakerepp]

22 minutes ago, JBolin said:

If you nerds haven't checked out what's happening in Hokaido, you should.

Some areas are buried under 8-12 FEET of snow, NOT drifts, accumulated snowfall.

I've been fascinated by the climate there for a while. I'd love to go to Sapporo in winter someday.

[Gummy]

Seattle is at a B+ for this winter. Another event that gives at least 2-3 inches will push it to an A.

[jakerepp]

Just hit my highest temp since getting my weather station on Christmas! 40.1!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Go to Minneapolis 

Trying to move to Indy.

[RentonHill]

EPS

[BLI snowman]

17 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Trying to move to Indy.

0.5" so far this winter there.

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

EPS

 

Not bad....

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

 

Not bad....

It’s coming?

[Thunder98]

 

[fubario]

1 minute ago, Thunder98 said:

 

Lame

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

It’s coming?

End of month.

[Phishy Wx]

Heavy snow burst 

31

DP 29

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

End of month.

Andrew will be right with you. 

[GHweatherChris]

Woke up this morning to extremely icy conditions, our road didn't fully thaw until 11.  Daughters school was closed for today and rightfully so.

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, fubario said:

Lame

Hopefully it’s a weak Nino, we have had some amazing events during those years. 

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hopefully it’s a weak Nino, we have had some amazing events during those years. 

2006-07

[Timmy Supercell]

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hopefully it’s a weak Nino, we have had some amazing events during those years. 

18-19 El Nino was a weak that stayed below +1.0 the whole time.

https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php