PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[jcmcgaffey]

3 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

National Blend of Models shows a total of 0.1" of rain for Seattle in the next 10 days, almost all of which falls this morning.

Seems likely Monday and Tuesday give us a bit more, but still. The next 7-10 days look impressively calm and dry. Wish they would be more inversiony.

Really?  I have always felt that inversions are the worst weather just behind wildfire smoke inversions.  The air is stagnant and usually cold and foggy and can’t see our beautiful northwest scenery.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, AlTahoe said:

I am just getting over Omicron for my second round of Covid. Got it the first time on 11/22/20

This time was worse as I had more lung breathing issues than the first time. This wave that went through town was also much bigger than the Nov 2020 wave. Everyone got it. Most of our restaurant's, schools, city works had to close because everyone is out sick. It doesn't matter if you had covid before, have the Vaccine, or had covid and the vaccine. Omicron got everyone, and as far as I can tell between my friends, the symptoms were exactly the same for everyone. I thought I might have to go to the ER last Wed cause my O2 fell below 90 for 4 hours. I have had covid, I had both Pfizer vaccines + booster and a flu shot. 

Wow, that sucks. I’m 90+% sure I just had it over the holidays (couldn’t get tested, but it came on with some classic COVID symptoms and just felt different than a cold or the flu), but it was quite mild overall (I am fully vaxxed and boosted). Most colds I’ve had have been worse. The worst thing was having to self-isolate.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Really?  I have always felt that inversions are the worst weather just behind wildfire smoke inversions.  The air is stagnant and usually cold and foggy and can’t see our beautiful northwest scenery.

At least cold foggy weather feels like winter.

I think false spring inversions suck more. They are a waste of a perfectly good wintertime ridge in my book.

[GHweatherChris]

6 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

So is Jim ok? Does anyone communicate with him on the side? I don't know where he works or I might go check on him Covington area isn't that far from Tacoma...

He was on the forum 5 hours ago.

[Deweydog]

15 minutes ago, snow drift said:

It's like a movie from the Cohen brothers. Judah is no relation. I was hoping for Fargo, but we ended up with Raising Arizona in January.

[jcmcgaffey]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

At least cold foggy weather feels like winter.

I think false spring inversions suck more. They are a waste of a perfectly good wintertime ridge in my book.

I do like foggy weather I just like any sunny day I can get in winter even more.  After fall I lose some of the excitement of foggy weather.  I do enjoy some fog and sun in the mornings though. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 hours ago, Requiem said:

The fact that places like Nashville could be getting more snow in a single day than we have in the last year.... #jealous 

Who is this “we,” kemosabe? I seriously doubt Nashville is modeled to receive 2 feet or more of snow in a single day.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, jcmcgaffey said:

I do like foggy weather I just like any sunny day I can get in winter even more.  After fall I lose some of the excitement of foggy weather.  I do enjoy some fog and sun in the mornings though. 

Maybe if it was sunny and cold. The midwinter ridges that make me feel cheated are the ones where it struggles to even hit freezing on clear nights. The ones with the reliably frosty nights always tend to be at least partly foggy.

That said, even a false spring ridge is still a ridge, so at this stage I’ll take it.

[TacomaWaWx]

13 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

So is Jim ok? Does anyone communicate with him on the side? I don't know where he works or I might go check on him Covington area isn't that far from Tacoma...

Highly likely he’s fine just waiting for some type of pattern Change on the models. If there was really something brewing and he wasn’t here then I’d be worried. 

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

So is Jim ok? Does anyone communicate with him on the side? I don't know where he works or I might go check on him Covington area isn't that far from Tacoma...

Are you not familiar with his posting patterns?   If the models start showing anything cold then he will back in a heartbeat.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Mostly sunny and 50 degrees here. Looks dry for the next few days. Not a ton of rain on the euro but wetter for next week than last nights run. 

[Phishy Wx]

38 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

so now we are all pulling for the Judah model?  funny how that works eh?

[GHweatherChris]

15 hours ago, GHweatherChris said:

So, I have gotten over 18" of snow and over 13" of rain since Christmas, nuts.

Edit- My weather station for some reason was showing total rain a for a different timeframe, just this month I have seen 16.38" of rain.

[Timmy Supercell]

53 minutes ago, snow drift said:

The 2nd half of December was snowy. El niño Decembers can be decent. January is usually warmer than average. This January will likely be warmer than average. The la niña might as well be an el niño.

I know, if you're in Crater Lake their record December was during a +2.6-2.8 enso 

Some of them just act entirely out of character.

[RentonHill]

3 years ago today Tim and Justin were fighting

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

3 years ago today Tim and Justin were fighting

Not fighting at all... debating.     I need to look up February 2019 and see if it got cold.  

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not fighting at all... debating.     I need to look up February 2019 and see if it got cold.  

I know i'm just poking fun. 

[TacomaWaWx]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not fighting at all... debating.     I need to look up February 2019 and see if it got cold.  

Main difference between 18/19 and 21/22 is this winter had a pretty solid event in the first half while that one didn’t. This winters first half was much cooler than that one and wetter. I Still think something happens next month though despite that. Recently these warm Januaries have led to cold re emerging in February. 

[Phil]

Large eruption from the Hunga Tonga volcano in the South Pacific.

[Timmy Supercell]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Large eruption from the Hunga Tonga volcano in the South Pacific.

I read that it erupted in December, that one still blowing?

[Fircrest]

54 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Are you not familiar with his posting patterns?   If the models start showing anything cold then he will back in a heartbeat.  

I know, it just seems like he was posting every day even when things didn't look good for cold. I also have noticed that when he is working, he doesn't post during the day, like some of us!

[Phil]

6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I read that it erupted in December, that one still blowing?

Yeah. Been erupting on and off since the solstice. It erupted again today, quite spectacularly from the looks of it.

[Meatyorologist]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Large eruption from the Hunga Tonga volcano in the South Pacific.

Get that SO2 up there, baybeeeeee

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Fircrest said:

I know, it just seems like he was posting every day even when things didn't look good for cold. I also have noticed that when he is working, he doesn't post during the day, like some of us!

Yeah... he is actually working during the day unlike some of us who browse the internet all day.   

[Timmy Supercell]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yeah. Been erupting on and off since the solstice. It erupted again today, quite spectacularly.

By the looks of satellite that one must have a little more explosivity than La Palma?

I'm just curious if there's any going off that have historically cooled the weather. I know anything less than a vei-5 won't do it.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Tim isn't the madman he was on here 10 years ago. His attitude is lovely now. I really enjoy him now. 

[Timmy Supercell]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... he is actually working during the day unlike some of us who browse the internet all day.   

Unless its work from home, then you have Mega Desk and can multitask 3 different things 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jim said he had covid right? He's probably gone because of the models but it did cross my mind that maybe he's feeling bad.

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Tim isn't the madman he was on here 10 years ago. His attitude is lovely now. 

That’s because the region has been torching and burning almost every summer since 2013.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

With age we all calm down.  

[RentonHill]

The January 2019 thread is like a good book youve already read before but not in a long time so you know it gets good but forgot all the details. Anyways. this is what i'm doing instead of working. 

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

By the looks of satellite that one must have a little more explosivity than La Palma?

I'm just curious if there's any going off that have historically cooled the weather. I know anything less than a vei-5 won't do it.

It depends on the location and duration, as well as the type of eruption. iirc the VEI scale only factors in ash emissions. Iceland has had some profoundly cooling ancient eruptions due to mass SO2 release from large, long-duration fissure eruptions (infact so much SO2 was released that there are multiple die-offs in NW Europe due to weeks-long asphyxiation. A similar eruption today would kill millions in Britain)

Tropical eruptions are also more potent b/c midlatitude+polar wx circulations tend to trap emissions in their respective hemisphere; while in the tropics ejecta is dispersed to both hemispheres. Plus environmental lapse rates in the tropics are super negative all the way to 100mb and lower, so rising material is more buoyant and encounters less resistance.

Mt. Saint Helens scored a VEI of 5, but didn't do much in terms of cooling b/c it was a flank eruption in the midlatitudes.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

With age we all calm down.  

So true.

[Cloud]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So true.

Speaking from experience?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Speaking from experience?

Of course! 

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Of course! 

It's so weird... I feel like we're all like that! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

51F with some light showers.

[Cloud]

It's a beautiful day outside today. Fees like spring! 54F

[TigerWoodsLibido]

27 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

With age we all calm down.  

Exactly

[RentonHill]

6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It's a beautiful day outside today. Fees like spring! 54F