PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[Phil]

Statistical analogs based on tropical forcing do suggest a few weeks of -PNA in February.

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogs.html

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Statistical analogs based on tropical forcing do suggest a few weeks of -PNA in February.

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogs.html

 

I'm starting to like the back half of February for some cold onshore flow. 

[Phil]

Low pass already hinting at building 4CH in late May.  

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html

[Dan the Weatherman]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Statistical analogs based on tropical forcing do suggest a few weeks of -PNA in February.

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogs.html

 

I hope that leads to a stormy pattern for California at some point, because it has been WAY too dry statewide for all of January (or Juneuary as some have been calling it recently).

[Dan the Weatherman]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Low pass already hinting at building 4CH in late May.  

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html

That is a tad too early for the 4 Corners High isn't it?

[The Blob]

The water from my neighbor washing their car the other day is still frozen on the driveway.

[bainbridgekid]

Fog is quickly dissipating West of the Sound and seems to be eroding from the North as well. Should be at least some sun for Seattle/Everett within the next hour or two I think.

 

[The Blob]

Still sub 40 here at PDX

[Meatyorologist]

16 minutes ago, Phil said:

Low pass already hinting at building 4CH in late May.  

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html

end me now

[Meatyorologist]

Hey Jim, Phil was recommending Maine as a place for you to move, no?

[Deweydog]

23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Really nice day. Hard to complain, but I'll find a way. 

If you’re driving without sunglasses you’re well on your way to a low grade headache.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

If you’re driving without sunglasses you’re well on your way to a low grade headache.

Sunshine on a summer afternoon is much less squinty... although that has been mentioned as a reason for cheering for clouds all summer.  

[Christensen87]

Man, I'm so tempted to buy a ticket to Boston for the weekend. That storm looks insane, especially in Provincetown and Nantucket. These cams will be fun to watch Saturday. 

https://nantucket.net/webcams/

[Meatyorologist]

23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sunshine on a summer afternoon is much less squinty... although that has been mentioned as a reason for cheering for clouds all summer.  

My eyes are a bit more sensitive to light than the average person, as are my roommates'. And yes, sun in my eyes bothers me during the winter, too.

In all honesty I imagine you'd love the Oregon foothills. A step drier/warmer during the summer (especially recently), yet not oppressively so. Good natural scenery, nearby parks and amenities, clear western foothill lakes for watersports. Foster Reservoir has clear and refreshing water; like a less polluted Lake Washington. Very similar winter climo, except less cold air and snow than your North Bend location.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Took until noon-ish for the gunk to burn off, but it’s bright sunshine this afternoon. Had to draw the blinds because the glare on my computer screen was getting blinding.

[Phil]

16 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Man, I'm so tempted to buy a ticket to Boston for the weekend. That storm looks insane, especially in Provincetown and Nantucket. These cams will be fun to watch Saturday. 

https://nantucket.net/webcams/

This one hurts.  

[Meatyorologist]

Sun-Tue trough looks potent on the 18z GFS. Could be some PSCZ snow in favored spots.

[Meatyorologist]

ooooooffff, all models are backing off on the boston blizzard. Judah might be downing that bottle of macallan sooner than later 

[Phishy Wx]

Spokane tied a record today with 2015 and 2016 for the most fog filled days in January at 18 days

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

ooooooffff, all models are backing off on the boston blizzard. Judah might be downing that bottle of macallan sooner than later 

if it were Hurricane season east coasters would call it a Fish Storm

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Christensen87 said:

Man, I'm so tempted to buy a ticket to Boston for the weekend. That storm looks insane, especially in Provincetown and Nantucket. These cams will be fun to watch Saturday. 

https://nantucket.net/webcams/

even if its a bust, Boston is a great city to hang out in regardless

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Hey Jim, Phil was recommending Maine as a place for you to move, no?

I use to live just west of Fryeburg Maine in North Conway, NH.  (2000-2003). can get pretty chilly (and snowy) in those U shaped valleys

[TacomaWaWx]

We came close to breaking out but looks like it’s not going to happen. 

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

My eyes are a bit more sensitive to light than the average person, as are my roommates'. And yes, sun in my eyes bothers me during the winter, too.

In all honesty I imagine you'd love the Oregon foothills. A step drier/warmer during the summer (especially recently), yet not oppressively so. Good natural scenery, nearby parks and amenities, clear western foothill lakes for watersports. Foster Reservoir has clear and refreshing water; like a less polluted Lake Washington. Very similar winter climo, except less cold air and snow than your North Bend location.

There are aspects I would like down there.   But I also love the dry east wind through the pass here in the winter.    They don't have that down there away from the Gorge.

We usually go to Lake Sammamish which is just about the best lake for water activities anywhere.    It's always warm in the summer and the water is generally clean and there is no algae even when it gets hot and it's a big lake so it never seems too crowded.   And it's very close.   You just can't beat the Puget Sound region for water access and natural beauty.  I am not a fan of reservoirs... water levels are too unpredictable.  Lake Sammamish is always at the same general water level all year long and it's a natural glacial lake.

[Fircrest]

Found this on Twitter from last night.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Only one day later….ouch 

[SnowWillarrive]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Only one day later….ouch 

Nice to know they can get busted up like that. Would be a huge disappointment, but we can’t feel bad for them. They get hit by snow all the time. 

[RentonHill]

12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Only one day later….ouch 

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Only one day later….ouch 

Good! 

[TacomaWaWx]

Has been close to a week since enumclaw broke 34 degrees. 38/33 here today. 6th dry day in a row so it’s the longest stretch of dry weather since early September. 

[MossMan]

Took the day off to clean up at the lake house while the weather was still dull. Could barely see the dock from the house when I first got there this morning, then by the time I got up to clean the roof the north wind had picked up and it was trying to clear a little, then by the time I was done there was actually a little blue sky. It was chilly! Oh and the water level is still quite high! 

[snow_wizard]

Coldest day yet with this inversion with a 36/31 spread.  I think I see how this area managed to average near freezing in January 1977 now.

[SouthHillFrosty]

I see a little bit of blue sky

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Coldest day yet with this inversion with a 36/31 spread.  I think I see how this area managed to average near freezing in January 1977 now.

Boring though.   In fact it seems like its become pretty annoying even for the folks on here. 

Thankfully today should be the last day... the ECMWF shows a much stronger east wind tomorrow and it stays offshore through the day.    

[snow_wizard]

That trough centered around Feb 1 is actually looking pretty darn chilly now.  The 12z ECMWF has a few well below normal days and a little bit of lowland snow with that.

[Phil]

51 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Only one day later….ouch 

Good news for the weenies on the south coast of Nantucket.

[snow_wizard]

Looks like SEA is going to have a 39/32 day today.  At this point any cold in January is good in my book.  The Jan normal for SEA has reached levels I never thought possible.

[Phil]

Really noticed the higher sun angles today. Becoming less subtle now.

High was in the upper 20s but felt downright balmy in the sun. Tim season is starting.  

[SnowWillarrive]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Coldest day yet with this inversion with a 36/31 spread.  I think I see how this area managed to average near freezing in January 1977 now.

This pattern would have been nice after December snow. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Really noticed the higher sun angles today. Becoming less subtle now.

High was in the upper 20s but felt downright balmy in the sun. Tim season is starting.  

About time!