PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

January 29, 2019 was the first of a 3-day stretch of highs in the mid-50's in Klamath Falls.

And you wouldn't believe what happened next! 

For sure.  It will be talked about for decades to come! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, AlTahoe said:

Heavenly lived up to its name today!

If we're gonna get endless ridging better enjoy it. 

Beer?

[TacomaWaWx]

13 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Fixed it for you

 

 

It should also be noted he frequents stampede pass, western Maryland and Haida gwaii. 

[Phil]

Now that wind switched offshore the water retreated and the snow is piling up quickly. Probably close to a foot has fallen in the last 5hrs.

Hotel still dark, frigid, and partially flooded. Currently sitting in my car with the heat cranking. Feels nice.

Visibility still very low with the winds and snow/blowing snow.

[SnarkyGoblin]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Now that wind switched offshore the water retreated and the snow is piling up quickly. Probably close to a foot has fallen in the last 5hrs.

Hotel still dark, frigid, and partially flooded. Currently sitting in my car with the heat cranking. Feels nice.

Visibility still very low with the winds and snow/blowing snow.

That sounds..... miserable.

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Now that wind switched offshore the water retreated and the snow is piling up quickly. Probably close to a foot has fallen in the last 5hrs.

Hotel still dark, frigid, and partially flooded. Currently sitting in my car with the heat cranking. Feels nice.

Visibility still very low with the winds and snow/blowing snow.

Where's the hotel at?

[snow_wizard]

850s bottom out at -8 on the 18z GEFS with the upcoming trough.  That is solidly chilly.

[TacomaWaWx]

2 minutes ago, einsteinjr said:

That sounds..... miserable.

I’m all for major weather events and chasing them but yeah I agree that doesn’t sound too great. 

[Phil]

I have a TON of videos to share. From water, to breaking glass, to roofs peeling off, to snow, sea spray, and cars moving in the parking lot. You will see them all soon.

I’m very sorry I stopped the live updates. Conditions went downhill fast last night, and by this AM I was helping the employees deal with shattering windows and water cascading into the halls. And calming down panicked guests.

My next chase will be inland for sure. This was stupid and dangerous. But fun at the same time. Lol.

 

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

I have a TON of videos to share. From water, to breaking glass, to roofs peeling off, to snow, sea spray, and cars moving in the parking lot. You will see them all soon.

I’m very sorry I stopped the live updates. Conditions went downhill fast last night, and by this AM I was helping the employees deal with shattering windows and water cascading into the halls. And calming down panicked guests.

My next chase will be inland for sure. This was stupid and dangerous. But fun at the same time. Lol.

 

Hopefully the hotel is able to upgrade their infrastructure a bit if they can afford to repair it. Most shingles nowadays are wind rated for 90mph at least. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Hopefully the hotel is able to upgrade their infrastructure a bit if they can afford to repair it. Most shingles nowadays are wind rated for 90mph at least. 

That hotel is not new... it has been through many Nor'easters given its extremely vulnerable location.     And many more to come.  

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

43 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Still no D pic from Phony Phil huh? WEIRD. 

Last night he posted a video of the snow at his hotel and mentioned someone specific on this forum (Chris), after Chris asked him to mention him in a video.  And Tim googled the hotel and it matched the videos that Phil posted.

So not phony this time 

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

850s bottom out at -8 on the 18z GEFS with the upcoming trough.  That is solidly chilly.

12Z ECMWF showed some well below normal days... particularly on Tuesday and Wednesday.    But even well below normal is not that cold once we get into February. 

[Phil]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Hopefully the hotel is able to upgrade their infrastructure a bit if they can afford to repair it. Most shingles nowadays are wind rated for 90mph at least. 

I think the roof was redone after a similar storm in 2015. I think they need a metal roof because there were almost as many asphalt shingles in the air as there were snowflakes.  

These winds were no joke. Even on the protected side of the building I was having a hard time standing up straight. Definitely over hurricane force.

[ShawniganLake]

18Z GFS really pumps the ridge up along the west coast in the long range.  Inversion season will be waning by then so hopefully we can avoid the fog with that. 

[SnowWillarrive]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF showed some well below normal days... particularly on Tuesday and Wednesday.    But even well below normal is not that cold once we get into February. 

Looks boring 

[Phil]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That hotel is not new... it has been through many Nor'easters given its extremely vulnerable location.     And many more to come.  

It’s hilarious. The glass started shattering and the employees were basically like “ugh, here we go again”while the guests were like “WTFFFF GET ME OUT OF HERE”.  

But the surge washed out the road so we had to sit still, and ended up enjoying a bunch of free drinks together. Good times. Everyone is chill (literally..lol) now that the water has retreated. Now it’s the snow that’s the problem.

[TacomaWaWx]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

18Z GFS really pumps the ridge up along the west coast in the long range.  Inversion season will be waning by then so hopefully we can avoid the fog with that. 

Typically the inversion season is Nov 20th through Jan 20th roughly. Glad the last few days we’ve gotten sun. Have had too much boring stagnant fog the second half of this month. 

[TT-SEA]

19 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Looks boring 

I have a feeling late February and early March is going to deliver.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF showed some well below normal days... particularly on Tuesday and Wednesday.    But even well below normal is not that cold once we get into February. 

Definitely some sub 40 days at my place next week, which is fine... Should be a decent week, maybe a few flakes. 

[MossMan]

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s hilarious. The glass started shattering and the employees were basically like “ugh, here we go again”while the guests were like “WTFFFF GET ME OUT OF HERE”.  

But the surge washed out the road so we had to sit still, and ended up enjoying a bunch of free drinks together. Good times. Everyone is chill (literally..lol) now that the water has retreated. Now it’s the snow that’s the problem.

At least your car did not float or blow away! 

[TacomaWaWx]

50/31 today. Still at -0.3 for January currently. 

[TacomaWaWx]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I have a feeling late February and early March is going to deliver.

I could see something like February 2018 or March 2012…doubt anything like February 2011 develops though. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I have a feeling late February and early March is going to deliver.

Take it to the bank, I'll be going to LA for a sales meeting around then.  I'll let folks know once the dates are firmed up so they can plan accordingly.  I'm thinking its going to be the first week of March....

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This mornings low of 23 at SLE was their coldest temp since 11/30/2019... 

[Cascadia_Wx]

45/24 here with sunshine a light east wind and some high clouds moving in giving the sky some texture another beautiful winter day 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This mornings low of 23 at SLE was their coldest temp since 11/30/2019... 

January is BACK!!!

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the models are hinting at a Siberian SSW event during week two.   The GFS shows it really blowing up in the 10 to 15 day period.  We shall see.

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This mornings low of 23 at SLE was their coldest temp since 11/30/2019... 

At least we are seeing some victories this month.  Just getting the Pacific shut off this month was a pretty big deal.  Incredible they haven't been colder than that in so long.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

At least we are seeing some victories this month.  Just getting the Pacific shut off this month was a pretty big deal.  Incredible they haven't been colder than that is so long.

They hit 20 twice in November 2019, which is somewhat impressive. Late December was plagued by cloud over with the coldest airmasses. In our climate usually if it’s not one thing it’s another. Lol

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem should end January about exactly normal. Give or take a tenth or two of a degree. On the 1991-2020 averages, still a couple degrees above the long term period of record average, but good for their "coldest" January since 2017 (About 5-6F warmer than that one.). A solidly below average February would still be able to beat out January for the 5th year in a row, it's certainly possible. 

[ShawniganLake]

39.9F with rain starting to fall. 🌧 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

48 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

At least we are seeing some victories this month.  Just getting the Pacific shut off this month was a pretty big deal.  Incredible they haven't been colder than that in so long.

Bruh you would be so depressed weather-wise here these last few years.

[Cascadia_Wx]

39 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Bruh you would be so depressed weather-wise here these last few years.

Even if you guys switched locations I think the narratives would still be more or less the same Jim would still put lipstick on pigs  and you would still view the world through brown colored glasses 

[The Blob]

There, I updated the thread name to something more appropriate.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

3 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

18Z GFS really pumps the ridge up along the west coast in the long range.  Inversion season will be waning by then so hopefully we can avoid the fog with that. 

Let's hope, can't say this pattern has any redeemable qualities when we're socked in with fog/low clouds all day. It has burned off a few days here, though it still remains cool/hazy. It still hit 51F here earlier this month. Pretty meh after Jan 10th, but you start to see diurnal changes showing up again toward the end:

 

[Blizzard777]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

I think the roof was redone after a similar storm in 2015. I think they need a metal roof because there were almost as many asphalt shingles in the air as there were snowflakes.  

These winds were no joke. Even on the protected side of the building I was having a hard time standing up straight. Definitely over hurricane force.

Crazy how exhausting it is to stand in those type if winds for a few hours.  Feels like you went a round with some professional boxer by the end of the day.  

[AlTahoe]

3 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Beer?

That's the "beach" at the umbrella bar. You gotta have 2 or 3 before you hammer out 1500' of icy bumps back to the car down gun barrel. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Made it out to Silver Falls this afternoon it was in the mid to upper 30s down in the canyon with lots of frost still around and icy trails near the falls also got a nice view of the afternoon sun lowering and Willamette valley inversion from the viewpoint at the south entrance 

 

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Our first rainfall in 9 days isn’t too far off now.