PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s slightly lifted here in the last 30 minutes. 

Yeah same. 

[FroYoBro]

Brilliant blue skies today. Going to hit 50 again this afternoon. Too bad this pattern wasn’t happening at the start of January. Would have been a pretty nice inversion down here. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Jan 2013 had an average low of 11 at KLMT, this one is running maybe 23 on low. Average high should have a warm departure from normal given the number of days they've had 45-55 over there.

[MossMan]

If this was 1/2/22 I would have been excited about this inversion as it would have kept my snow intact. Now I would much rather have sun. 
Currently 35.2 degrees.,

[TacomaWaWx]

Still 37 here. Don’t think we’re breaking out today. Some high clouds rolling in from the north into the area will probably help that too. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just looked at the CFS. Winter cancel?

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just looked at the CFS. Winter cancel?

You’re not using the CFS properly. It’s only accurate if it’s consistent in showing cold.  

 

still foggy here, which isn’t that common in these patterns. We usually end up above the inversion here. 

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Still 37 here. Don’t think we’re breaking out today. Some high clouds rolling in from the north into the area will probably help that too. 

Absolutely not budging today... and actually expanding a little to the east.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Absolutely not budging today... and actually expanding a little to the east.

Are you socked in?

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Are you socked in?

Sunny.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow. Even Eugene has broken out of the fog.

[TacomaWaWx]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Absolutely not budging today... and actually expanding a little to the east.

Just hit 38 but yeah fogs pretty stubborn today. Starting to look like we won’t hit 40. 

[TT-SEA]

Spectacular day to be skiing at Snoqualmie Summit... almost 50 degrees with blazing sunshine.

[Omegaraptor]

Corvallis trying to clear up.

[snow_wizard]

Analogs continue to be dominated by 1957.  No wonder we're getting some really cold model runs and very cold ensemble members.  The thing to watch is going to be the middle section of the block that is going to develop.  Pretty encouraging to see the 12z EPS and 12z ECMWF operational were better with that.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Most of that January from beginning to end, was cold. I don't think any station right now is going to end solidly cold, including where I used to live. It may average out at least so it's not a gigantic torch. 

I agree.  I was just commenting on today.  In fact the next several days should be similar.  I think I will end up below normal IMBY, but I've had a lot of lucky breaks go into that.

[snow_wizard]

34 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Just hit 38 but yeah fogs pretty stubborn today. Starting to look like we won’t hit 40. 

This inversion is pretty extreme.  The sun just doesn't have the power to break it.  Currently 36.5 here and pretty dark.

[snow_wizard]

44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wow. Even Eugene has broken out of the fog.

Surprising the WV hasn't been colder with this.  Probably tomorrow.  The fog / low cloud coverage today is much more extensive up here than yesterday.

[SnowySeeker50]

Great view while on a walk.

[Deweydog]

Devastatingly gorgeous out!

[Gradient Keeper]

EPS several hairs(butt?) better than I expected.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Saw Caanan Valley, WV hit -31. 

[Slushy Inch]

That trough that is sliding down from Alaska is new in the 18z gfs, could help bring the goods.

[Blizzard777]

Well , their ya go 

Poo Poo Point

[NWbyNW]

Beautiful view of Mount Baker today!  Also look at the harbor in this shot as well.  Truly magnificent.    Currently 37F.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Up to 55.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Up to 55.

Up to 37. 

[snow_wizard]

Other than the block being a tad too far west I like the 18z GFS.  Very healthy block.  Longitudinal placement has been very consistent on the EPS.

[snow_wizard]

50 minutes ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

Great view while on a walk.

It's really hanging on today.  Another sub 40 high.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Other than the block being a tad too far west I like the 18z GFS.  Very healthy block.  Longitudinal placement has been very consistent on the EPS.

Overall tilt is better, bet yeah trough too far southwest.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty lame GFS run.

[snow_wizard]

24 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Well , their ya go 

Poo Poo Point

Wow!

Is there any weird reason they call it that?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hopefully we see some ensemble improvement. 

[TacomaWaWx]

26 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Well , their ya go 

Poo Poo Point

Pretty epic! 38/34 today here. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Pretty lame GFS run.

Nothing more than a placement issue.  As I said I'm looking more for a healthy block right now and this run delivers.

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Overall tilt is better, bet yeah trough too far southwest.

The middle part of the block is more solid as well.  Means it would last longer.

[snow_wizard]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Up to 55.

It seems that no matter what pattern we're in it's colder up here.  Really quite something.

[Phishy Wx]

BOOOOORING!!!

currently 30 with Freezing Fog

 

[snow_wizard]

The 18z gets there....complete with a SE ridge.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

BOOOOORING!!!

currently 30 with Freezing Fog

 

Feb is probably going to be fun.  At least the current pattern is different than the last 4 Januarys.  BTW....you will almost certainly be colder than that.