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PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil


The Blob

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Wow... this is a crazy 6z run. We go back into the icebox heading into day 10 but the upper levels are warm, so a serious inversion? Back to back outlier op runs? 

Unfortunately, it appears people are all modeled out as well... any other times, this run would get the night shift popping with what it's showing for Sunday night and the mid-week again for Seattle. 

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Just now, Cloud said:

Wow... this is a crazy 6z run. We go back into the icebox heading into day 10 but the upper levels are warm, so a serious inversion? Back to back outlier op runs? 

Unfortunately, it appears people are all modeled out as well... any other times, this run would get the night shift popping with what it's showing for Sunday night and the mid-week again for Seattle. 

6z same progression as previous runs. After day 7 big ridge develops over us. Inversions strengthens, low level cold pool develops and intensifies quickly with big time east winds.

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6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Wow... this is a crazy 6z run. We go back into the icebox heading into day 10 but the upper levels are warm, so a serious inversion? Back to back outlier op runs? 

Unfortunately, it appears people are all modeled out as well... any other times, this run would get the night shift popping with what it's showing for Sunday night and the mid-week again for Seattle. 

This would be amazing if it happens.  Beyond amazing.  If the precip intensity it's showing with the Sunday night system is accurate I think it will happen.  Maybe something like Feb 2017?

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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So the potential for the second week or possibly 3rd week of January looks fantastic. Base off of various ensemble runs and the GFS op runs continues to show the block retrograde back to GoA in the LR, this looks to set the table for arctic air to move back to us after the fake cold. Can't really ask for anything better if you're a cold fan. An exciting January on tap. 

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Goodbye 2021. Worst year of my life no doubt, but I'm a better and tougher person for it.

Welcome 2022. I have a feeling you may not be so putrid. Though I've got to say, the bar has been set pathetically low...

Cheers y'all, whishing every single one of you happiness and good health this year. As for January.... it's coming. ;)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

6z same progression as previous runs. After day 7 big ridge develops over us. Inversions strengthens, low level cold pool develops and intensifies quickly with big time east winds.

It's almost a carbon copy of what happened in January 2013. Clipper with a shot of cold air, and then the inversion. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

La Grande hit -18? No way!

image.png

As far as I can tell looking at their current station and the defunct station that went 1948-1965, it is tied with 12/23/1983 as the 2nd coldest temp in the 1948-present period of record, and within reach of the -20 from January 1950. You have to remember that area is very windy and they almost never decouple, which is why their record lows are so mild when compared to Baker City. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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-17 at Burns, OR

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6*F Hit here at BLI for a moment before jumping up to 19*. Coldest low of the snap. Impressive streak of temps here. 
From 12/25-12-31 BLI averaged 24.3* high and 12.1* low with stand out lows of 9,7 and 6*f. Puke on them for not measuring snow. I think they probably would have totaled around 16” at the airport. Parents place near Lake Whatcom had 20” total. 

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Good morning and happy new year!  Love that 2021 ended and 2022 started with so much beautiful snow on the ground.  Hopefully it is a hint of good times ahead.  We had a low of 19 this morning and now up to 21.  

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Klamath Falls had -1 this morning, first time in 2 years they hit below zero. Last winter the minimum was 8. lol

The record is -10 for January 1st in 2016 though (old record -3 in 1988). 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 10
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Welcome to the wonderful world of ice dams!

I wonder if we went with a metal roof and pumped in a little more insulation if that would eliminate this ice damming issue. Well I’m about to go out now that it’s getting light enough and start chipping away at the ice. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I wonder if we went with a metal roof and pumped in a little more insulation if that would eliminate this ice damming issue. Well I’m about to go out now that it’s getting light enough and start chipping away at the ice. 

Next time you visit some place like Roslyn or Leavenworth, pay attention to the roofing materials. Typically metal. Snow and ice tend to naturally slide off before they build up to ridiculous levels.

Biggest problem with metal on the West Side is that falling branches tend to poke holes in it.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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19 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I wonder if we went with a metal roof and pumped in a little more insulation if that would eliminate this ice damming issue. Well I’m about to go out now that it’s getting light enough and start chipping away at the ice. 

A less expensive option might be to check out Gutter Helmet.  Not sure if this would address your exact problem but it looks like it will reduce the chance of ice damming to me.

 

https://harryhelmet.com/micro/gutter-helmet/?source=brandppc&city=seattle&utm_term=gutter helmet&utm_campaign=SMG+-+Seattle+-+Gutters+-+Brand&utm_source=adwords&utm_medium=ppc&hsa_acc=9638732790&hsa_cam=12197214677&hsa_grp=117237664996&hsa_ad=495022428135&hsa_src=g&hsa_tgt=kwd-131412660&hsa_kw=gutter helmet&hsa_mt=p&hsa_net=adwords&hsa_ver=3&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIusjrg_SQ9QIVjhmtBh1nxQBgEAAYAiAAEgLSxPD_BwE

 

 

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La Grande appears to have set their all-time low. Looks like they hit -22, breaking the record of -20 from 1/31/1950. Amazing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I passed out asleep when putting my son to bed about 9pm. My neighbor posted their square weather station device showing negative temps right before I fell asleep. This am it is 3 degrees. Happy New Year!

IMG_20220101_074429011.jpg

IMG_20220101_074814331.jpg

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Looks like we hit 19 this morning. First low in the teens since March 2019, an embarrassingly long stretch.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I wonder if we went with a metal roof and pumped in a little more insulation if that would eliminate this ice damming issue. Well I’m about to go out now that it’s getting light enough and start chipping away at the ice. 

Pics or it didn't happen!  Good luck.

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