PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

BTW CLIFF, the ground is not warm. The ground although wet where snow isn't covering it is still very cold and is why everything froze up yesterday evening even though air temp was 34 35 degrees.  This guy is getting irritating. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

BTW CLIFF, the ground is not warm. The ground although wet where snow isn't covering it is still very cold and is why everything froze up yesterday evening even though air temp was 34 35 degrees.  This guy is getting irritating. 

That tool is fuckking beautiful. I wish I could afford SnapOn products. Truly among the best.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I still respect Cliff mainly because he helped us get the coastal radar but he has really been disappointing to me. 

[Omegaraptor]

46 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We got a full load of winter Vitamin D in Hawaii.    Not sure how much Vitamin D you can get in Oklahoma in December.   I know at our latitude up here you get zero from November - February even if it is sunny every day.    But there is also a mental aspect to seeing the sun.   

I believe the magic latitude for Vitamin D in winter is at about 36°N

[Thunder98]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Hopefully it’s a weak Nino, we have had some amazing events during those years. 

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Pullback definitely starting to show up on the GFS. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

That tool is fuckking beautiful. I wish I could afford SnapOn products. Truly among the best.

Very handy tool, I figured out a way to use it as a diagnostic tool you wouldn't normally think of. I use it for finding electrical draws are cars that would cause a dead batter overnight. Like a stuck relay or a short to ground will show up as heat.  I might be crappy at grammar and spelling but give me anything with a engine in it and I'll fix it.

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pullback definitely starting to show up on the GFS. 

Nah, just a minor wobble.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pullback definitely starting to show up on the GFS. 

I'd say that is very close. It's been consistent and that is important. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Just now, hawkstwelve said:

I noticed he mentioned snow not sticking to the warm ground tomorrow in that latest post. We could have temperatures in the single digits for two months straight and he would still say the snow will have a problem sticking to the "warm ground".

Seriously if I had a nickel for everytime he said that I would be just slightly ahead of Bezos as the richest man in the world and be partying on my $40,000/week super yacht in St. Barts right now. So stupid and such a tired line from him. 

Well, Tennessee just shot that theory out the window. 

It can snow in Georgia and they hardly have what most call a Winter season.

[Tyler Mode]

This station south of Lynden just switched to offshore flow...

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=TPOLE&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I'd say that is very close. It's been consistent and that is important. 

I definitely think it will snow, I just don’t think Seattle gets 5in plus out of it. I think Seattle gets 2-3in. The GFS has cut back on snow totals for every event on the home stretch so far this year 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I believe the magic latitude for Vitamin D in winter is at about 36°N

According to Google, Tulsa is 36.15N

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

According to Google, Tulsa is 36.15N

So close! 

[Esquimalt]

12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pullback definitely starting to show up on the GFS. 

How did the euro look like for this event?

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

How did the euro look like for this event?

 

[Phishy Wx]

41 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

18z is ruining!!!

Is it still coming or going?

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Portland NWS just issued a flood watch for Thursday/Friday. 

The bullseye keeps shifting north. The northern part of the CWA looks to still be in it.

[MossMan]

31 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pullback definitely starting to show up on the GFS. 

I’m on the fringe but still looks good here! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

The bullseye keeps shifting north. The northern part of the CWA looks to still be in it.

Snow levels will be pretty high, so I am not disappointed. Let's keep this snow pack intact as we head into a quieter/drier period. 

[Deweydog]

9 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Is it still coming or going?

Came and went…

The twenties are on the table.

[MossMan]

31 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

I noticed he mentioned snow not sticking to the warm ground tomorrow in that latest post. We could have temperatures in the single digits for two months straight and he would still say the snow will have a problem sticking to the "warm ground".

Seriously if I had a nickel for everytime he said that I would be just slightly ahead of Bezos as the richest man in the world and be partying on my $40,000/week super yacht in St. Barts right now. So stupid and such a tired line from him. 

We had a half inch of wet sloppy snow early this morning, air temp was 34 when I left the house to drive the kids to school, the roads were glazed ice. Mr Mass is Massively wrong on this. 

[Prairiedog]

Does anyone have any snow totals for Cle Elum for this whole event? 

[AlTahoe]

43 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I believe the magic latitude for Vitamin D in winter is at about 36°N

That's really interesting. I am at 39N and I thought for sure I was getting vitamin D in winter time just based off of how badly I get sunburned while skiing  

[gusky]

4 hours ago, gusky said:

Now we'll see how loyal Cliff Mass REALLY is to the WRF.

And the answer was... pretty darn loyal. Now on board with a couple inches, to everyone's surprise

[Kuna_Idaho_Dude]

I'm in Kuna Idaho (a little SW of Boise) and considered to be in the Treasure Valley. I saw the latest area forecast discussion. Pretty interesting. Rain during the night, snow during the day, back and forth. Seems rather opposite but I suppose it's all about timing. 

[TacomaWaWx]

41/34 0.07” of precip today and 1.78” so far this month. Has been a solidly chilly stretch since 12/20 with snowflakes in the air on 12 out of the last 16 days…measurable snowfall on 8 days as well. I think we will atleast see some light accumulation with the Wednesday night system as well. Overall the 12/20-1/6 period will end up pretty decent. 

[jakerepp]

4 minutes ago, Kuna_Idaho_Dude said:

I'm in Kuna Idaho (a little SW of Boise) and considered to be in the Treasure Valley. I saw the latest area forecast discussion. Pretty interesting. Rain during the night, snow during the day, back and forth. Seems rather opposite but I suppose it's all about timing. 

I don't recall seeing anyone else in the Treasure Valley on here. My parents are in Nampa and my brother is in Boise, so I'm always tracking the weather down there too.

[Kuna_Idaho_Dude]

1 hour ago, GHweatherChris said:

Cliff should be on board since the only model he uses buries us in snow.

Does the WRF ever verify?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

45F with heavy rain.

[Kuna_Idaho_Dude]

2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

I don't recall seeing anyone else in the Treasure Valley on here. My parents are in Nampa and my brother is in Boise, so I'm always tracking the weather down there too.

Ah nice! Yeah we moved over here from Auburn WA in July. Quite a bit different weather wise which I love. Got 4 seasons too! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

45F with heavy rain.

The rain has been relentless today. 37.9 with 0.91" in the bucket today. 

[GHweatherChris]

10 minutes ago, Kuna_Idaho_Dude said:

Does the WRF ever verify?

According to Cliff it does even when it doesn't.

[AlTahoe]

May have been posted already but I like this!

 

[Timmy Supercell]

2 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

May have been posted already but I like this!

 

Looks like I hop right back into the swamp in February. Tornados for Valentines. 

[Hawksfan2008]

NWS has lowered totals in the winter storm watch for the EPSL. That along with model trends feels like this one is slipping…hopefully more cold gets pulled in than what’s modeled! (Very possible) 

[TacomaWaWx]

[Gradient Keeper]

Wait. WHAT? 3-5" of snow is considering pulling back? You've had persistent cold and snow since Christmas Eve, well almost. Several shots of accumulating snowfall. Now more on the way. You have absolutely zero to complain or whine about up north. You should consider yourselves living a very charmed life if you like cold and snow! Winter just began this has been a phenomenal front end thus far. BUT. Do not get too snow greedy.

00z GFS in 4 hours 19 minutes

[Hawksfan2008]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

A “classic overrunning event” but also, don’t expect much for most areas.