PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It's interesting because the summers of 2010-2012 are remembered as being very cool, when in reality they were fairly average in comparison to the historical averages. They had cool springs, and June was chilly each year, but if we look at JAS, really only July was cool, and at SLE only July 2011 was notably cool. 

[joelgombiner]

Loving the warm weather TBH. 

[AlTahoe]

43 minutes ago, Phil said:

The shift actually happened in January 2013.

Hadley-Walker IR/G-ITCZ low pass was jolted by a massive subseasonal event (stemming from SSW) to a threshold crossing across frequencies. Basically a intra/interdecadal event along the lines of the great 1976 pacific climate shift, though expressed more thru warm pool/off-eq dynamics than well known ET EOFs like PDO. 

Looked like a typical, albeit high amplitude intraseasonal cycle at the time. Little did we know…

Yeah we had a wet Dec 2012 and then Pacific shut down for California until Jan 2017. 

[Gummy]

4 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Loving the warm weather TBH. 

If it was 60s and sunny I would also love it. But 50 degrees and dumping rain is gross.

[Cloud]

5 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Loving the warm weather TBH. 

I had the windows slightly opened last night. 

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, Gummy said:

If it was 60s and sunny I would also love it. But 50 degrees and dumping rain is gross.

56 and dry down here. Should dry out further north soon. 

[MossMan]

56 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Has anyone checked on Jim?

He and his family are currently looking for property in a snowier climate. 

[jakerepp]

Just now, MossMan said:

He and his family are currently looking for property in a snowier climate. 

Is that Brian?

[Phil]

44 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I say August 2012 because that was the first month in which ridging became the default pattern mode. That month came in above normal. It continued into September of that year, then every summer month since...

Funnily enough I actually enjoyed it. June/July of that year were quite sad for watersports. 'Little did we know' indeed...

Well ridgy summer months happened in cool phases as well. And the same mechanisms responsible for inter/intradecadal cycles of warm summers can be present in cool cycles well, just less frequently.

I believe if we’re looking for lower frequency tendencies (rather than seasonal/subseasonal scale variability that happens all the time) then the transition on said scale occurred during the 2012/13 winter, centered in January.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

1 minute ago, jakerepp said:

Is that Brian?

Well it was kind of like that last week.  Last day or so it's been freezing rain and everything is like an ice skating rink.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Well it was kind of like that last week.  Last day or so it's been freezing rain and everything is like an ice skating rink.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

CFS tries to go backdoor to end the month. 

[RentonHill]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

February!!!!

[RentonHill]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Classic

[Deweydog]

ALERT!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

ALERT!!!

Hey, it's something. 

[TacomaWaWx]

61 at OLM right now. Think we’ve got a shot at 60 degrees today. Would be the first since 11/28/21. 

[joelgombiner]

49 minutes ago, Gummy said:

If it was 60s and sunny I would also love it. But 50 degrees and dumping rain is gross.

Might start moving in that direction next week. GFS is saying 50 and sunny a week from now.

Then I think it will start to cool off leading into an Arctic outbreak by early February. 

[joelgombiner]

22 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Incredible signal for cold in the eastern 2/3 of the U.S. 

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Incredible signal for cold in the eastern 2/3 of the U.S. 

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/6517-Persimmon-Tree-Rd-Cabin-John-MD-20818/37170244_zpid/

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/6517-Persimmon-Tree-Rd-Cabin-John-MD-20818/37170244_zpid/

Dang, @Phil has an incredible home!

[joelgombiner]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/6517-Persimmon-Tree-Rd-Cabin-John-MD-20818/37170244_zpid/

Housing inflation is a ridiculous, speculative bubble driven by easy money. I hope the market crashes when the Fed hikes rates. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Has anyone checked on Jim?

Was thinking that today.  Hopefully it's just the models keeping him away.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

54 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

 

Obviously staged. Look at how much of the fence is above snow.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Wow 62 in Puyallup. Might go for a quick walk outside between meetings. 

[The Blob]

Weather station saying 68 here. Might be wrong

[SilverFallsAndrew]

SLE up to 59. 

[snow drift]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

He and his family are currently looking for property in a snowier climate. 

Is that Jim and the family enjoying a 4th of July hike?

[Deweydog]

Don’t see PDX at 55 degrees with east winds in mid January too often.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

49.1°F here. Maybe today I will finally break the 50 barrier for the first time since the earlier half of last month?

Snow and ice are now basically gone, except for the lingering remains of the larger piles.

[Omegaraptor]

61 at HIO

56 at CVO

[Tyler Mode]

First 60 of the year...earliest on record beating out January 13th in 2018. 

[MossMan]

My daily snow bank update. 
Cloudy and windy.
.56” for the day, 4.88” for the month. 

56/50 so far on the day. 

[MossMan]

2yrs ago today. 

[snow drift]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

My daily snow bank update. 
Cloudy and windy.
.56” for the day, 4.88” for the month. 

56/50 so far on the day. 

Bundle up. 

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, snow drift said:

Oh, I see that you discovered the magical month of January.

yep, noticed a recurring theme with January here 

[Phishy Wx]

Sidenote - 

 

Anyone have a scoop on Cheyenne WY?

 

Wife may have a job opp there and I work remote so it doesn't matter where I live as long as it's in Pacific or Mountain time zone.

 

Looks pretty arid, averages about 60" of snow a year and the record high of all time is 100, so 'cooler' than Spokane.  Record low is -39 so also 'colder' than Spokane.  I'd imagine some Chinook winter warmth like the CO front range and probably Blizzards too

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Sidenote - 

 

Anyone have a scoop on Cheyenne WY?

 

Wife may have a job opp there and I work remote so it doesn't matter where I live as long as it's in Pacific or Mountain time zone.

 

Looks pretty arid, averages about 60" of snow a year and the record high of all time is 100, so 'cooler' than Spokane.  Record low is -39 so also 'colder' than Spokane.  I'd imagine some Chinook winter warmth like the CO front range and probably Blizzards too

Wind is ALWAYS blowing.