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PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil


The Blob

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22 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Looks like the Jet stream was suppressed over California in Jan 1923 as we had 85" of snow that month versus 0" for this Jan. 

 

Also this Jan looks to join Jan 2015 and Jan 1991 as the only ones with 0" snow recorded. We have also never had a 100"+ snow month followed up with a 0" snow month. Very unusual. 

My area had a decent snow event on 1/27/1923 and then it stayed generally cold for the next couple weeks with highs in the 30s.   And then we had big snow event on 2/11 and 2/12 (same dates as in 2019) followed by 2 days with highs in the low 20s.

Also interesting to note that spring came early in 1923... with highs in the 70s in late March and more 70s and a couple 80-degree highs in April followed by a spectacular summer.  

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Gross, I haven't gotten below 39.2 since late on the 9th.

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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3 minutes ago, iFred said:

No matter where someone travels in the world for a winter getaway, you'll always find a way to pull up a map or chart that shows rain and warmer temps.

I love to learn about new places.    I thought Norway was more like Alaska.    I guess that is more inland and away from the coast.    I don't think he traveled there just for a winter getaway.    But that location is interestingly almost exactly like Seattle in the winter and I did not expect that.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Kind of a cool looking sky this morning when I got to work. 
We REALLY need some weather to track again. 

A9A24983-6341-47FF-B080-53E277DB06CA.jpeg

End of the 12Z GFS looks interesting... just as we head into February.     Growing signs of another massive blocking period coming up.  

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-3803200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Definitely getting some good signals on the ensemble’s the last few days that have slowly improved. If we get some type of event in February I’m not expecting anything major…but it would really solidify this winter as one of the best with just a regular several day cold and snow event. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Pretty decent GFS run. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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17 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Fog is getting thicker here

Really letting up here. I can actually see clouds and....shadows? The sun is peaking out!

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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27 and light snow. So light that I don't think there's been any additional accumulation. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1-16-22 OBS for MBY

High temp - 42* recorded at 12:00 am
Low temp - 40* recorded at 7:31 am

New precip - 0.00"
January 2022 precip to date - 10.28"
We have received 131% of our normal January precip with 52% of the month completed

New snow - 0"
Winter 21-22 snow to date - 10.9" 

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16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Insane to see another February that's going to deliver.  It's coming.

If we can have another dud of a January, why not a good February :). 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Transition to more Niña-like/-PNA still seems on target for end of the month or early Feb, IMO.

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If we can have another dud of a January, why not a good February :). 

I don’t want to get my hopes up too much yet…but I’ve been feeling like there will be something in February for a couple weeks now. Quite a few examples of winters having events in the first half leading to events in late winter. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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11 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Just looking at these makes me less confident. Doesn’t seem like much. It’s only January 17th. Probably not coming. Next. 

01C95910-74D6-4B44-9B89-3F171AF86C96.jpeg

5DC62E5F-CF75-44F9-BCEA-CEC4A64E6881.jpeg

68A6A538-2E18-42D9-AA73-C8A3BA720B56.jpeg

Seems fine to me, I don't think we are going to see any big shift until the very end of the month at the earliest. Seems like the models are picking up on some potential right now, but obviously things could still go in another direction, it will take at least a few days for things to sort themselves out. Remember in December the can kept getting kicked down the road, until we finally hit a positive outcome. Who knows, the opposite could happen this time, definitely starting to see some cooler ensemble members by the 27/28th. From an upper level perspective we've been pretty much above average for all but about two weeks since mid-October, given ENSO, we might be heading into a longer period of cooler weather. How cool or even cold? Hard to say, but I think the trend as we go into February will be for wetter and cooler conditions. 

EURO weeklies come out today, my understanding they run off last nights 00z run, EPS looked good so it will be fun to see how those look when they get extended. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Seems fine to me, I don't think we are going to see any big shift until the very end of the month at the earliest. Seems like the models are picking up on some potential right now, but obviously things could still go in another direction, it will take at least a few days for things to sort themselves out. Remember in December the can kept getting kicked down the road, until we finally hit a positive outcome. Who knows, the opposite could happen this time, definitely starting to see some cooler ensemble members by the 27/28th. From an upper level perspective we've been pretty much above average for all but about two weeks since mid-October, given ENSO, we might be heading into a longer period of cooler weather. How cool or even cold? Hard to say, but I think the trend as we go into February will be for wetter and cooler conditions. 

EURO weeklies come out today, my understanding they run off last nights 00z run, EPS looked good so it will be fun to see how those look when they get extended. 

I was trying for my best Chris impression. I think it’s coming and generally agree with all your points 

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

It’s mostly sunny here and it’s freaking me out.

Socked in down in Salem. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

image.thumb.png.c2f4c5b5842f05e9b6cbe584a935c044.png

Other than lack of a SE ridge, that's pretty nice. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I was trying for my best Chris impression. I think it’s coming and generally agree with all your points 

All you have to do for a Chris impression is....

 

 

meh....next

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I wonder what’s been causing January and February to basically switch places over the last decade. Not guaranteed obviously something happens next month but uneventful Januaries have been leading to cooler Februaries over the last decade now…especially since January 2018. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I wonder what’s been causing January and February to basically switch places over the last decade. Not guaranteed obviously something happens next month but uneventful Januaries have been leading to cooler Februaries over the last decade now…especially since January 2018. 

February 2017 was pretty decent too. Had that Super Bowl Sunday snow event in W. Washington, and was very wet and coolish in NW Oregon. Broke 1996 for wettest February on record at Salem. We had quite a bit of snow at the end of the month with cold onshore flow. So really 2017 started the party. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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