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PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

The Blob

By The Blob
in West of the Rockies

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Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER,

One of the best winter pics I've taken. This is 4 Miles from my cabin. 
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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted

I don't have any met training or anything, so I just spent a while trying to teach myself what's causing a cold front tonight. I got confused for a while but now I understand it: there's high pressure up above Alaska, and strong lows in the N Pacific. The gradient is drawing cold air down over the water, at which point it is being drawn along the Canadian coast in trail of the low pressure that has passed over us, causing a very modified arctic front that will cause upper air temps to be cold. It took me a while to understand why the cold air was being drawn here and not SW into the Pacific but now I see. Northwesterly wind to the coast changes to WSW after the cold front leaves and makes way for ridging into the extended. Am I basically right here, or am I misinterpreting it? Having fun trying to work this out on my own!

1641574800-0FC5fwfIvqA.png1641585600-LJekSpw0hsM.png

1641632400-AX9kiChsgQI.png

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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SilverFallsAndrew
SilverFallsAndrew

On a personal note, one of my dogs (My avatar pic is of her.), has been missing for about a week and a half. Her disappearance has baffled me, she's 10 years old, she never runs off, and I was unable

MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

One of the best winter pics I've taken. This is 4 Miles from my cabin. 

Tibster13
Tibster13

Ok here’s my once a year post! Reporting from White Salmon, WA. Always found the weather forecasting here to be really tough to pin down, as the NWS out of Portland tends to focus on Hood River a

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joelgombiner Mentor

joelgombiner

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, gusky said:

I don't have any met training or anything, so I just spent a while trying to teach myself what's causing a cold front tonight. I got confused for a while but now I understand it: there's high pressure up above Alaska, and strong lows in the N Pacific. The gradient is drawing cold air down over the water, at which point it is being drawn along the Canadian coast in trail of the low pressure that has passed over us, causing a very modified arctic front that will cause upper air temps to be cold. It took me a while to understand why the cold air was being drawn here and not SW into the Pacific but now I see. Northwesterly wind to the coast changes to WSW after the cold front leaves and makes way for ridging into the extended. Am I basically right here, or am I misinterpreting it? Having fun trying to work this out on my own!

1641574800-0FC5fwfIvqA.png1641585600-LJekSpw0hsM.png

1641632400-AX9kiChsgQI.png

I'm in the same boat as you so I appreciate hearing someone walk through it. What you said makes sense to me. 

I would add that the westerlies are another reason the air tends to move in an easterly direction independent of the surface pressure pattern. 

 

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
Posted

46F with showers.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month 😭 It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone!

302452C0-2EF2-4028-AEA4-9DF0E2B76333.jpeg

It will change. Winter will not be lasting in the midwest/east. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted

Was just watching the Leavenworth live cam again and it now appears to be fairly windy with the trees moving back and forth. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Geo tracker getting it done!! Our Maltese loves the snow

20220107_153125.jpg

20220107_153111.jpg

Love old Suzukis. My favorite is probably the samurai, but I do also like the front end of the Geo Tracker

My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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Geos Proficient

Geos

Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Getting kinda dark…

36.9. 

I'm sure you'll manage to get some snow. A raw, damp 38° where I am at in Bothell.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

 

1 hour ago, Christensen87 said:

This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month 😭 It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone!

302452C0-2EF2-4028-AEA4-9DF0E2B76333.jpeg

It's one run.  You have to use a multiple run average with that model.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Phishy Wx Grand Master

Phishy Wx

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Christensen87 said:

This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month 😭 It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone!

302452C0-2EF2-4028-AEA4-9DF0E2B76333.jpeg

good time to take that beach vaca to cabo and return for the Feb fun

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Its coming

What's he basing that on?

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Did I see that somebody is saying the La Nina is over or ending.  There is so much stuff to go through on here I might have misunderstood something.  At any rate there is no imminent end to the Nina that I can see this year.  In fact I would have expected some warming of the ENSO regions to begin by now if a warm event was going to happen this year.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Did I see that somebody is saying the La Nina is over or ending.  There is so much stuff to go through on here I might have misunderstood something.  At any rate there is no imminent end to the Nina that I can see this year.  In fact I would have expected some warming of the ENSO regions to begin by now if a warm event was going to happen this year.

Phil said a Nino might be hard to avoid at this point.    The latest update from BOM in Australia also says we head towards neutral in the spring and then a weak Nino by the end of summer.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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KingstonWX Experienced

KingstonWX

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Phil said a Nino might be hard to avoid at this point.    The latest update from BOM also says we head towards neutral in the spring and then a weak Nino by the end of summer.

FWIW weak ninos arent necessarily bad for snow production in the winters, though some places are far more favored than others. 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
Just now, KingstonWX said:

FWIW weak ninos arent necessarily bad for snow production in the winters, though some places are far more favored than others. 

Yeah... not saying anything about next winter.   Its probably pretty irrelevant to our chances.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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jakerepp Mentor

jakerepp

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, gusky said:

Anyone got recommendations for good intro to meteorology online courses?

I took one a Bellevue College many years ago. The class was good, and the professor was 😍

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Geos Proficient

Geos

Posted
Posted

That house on the Magnolia bluff has collapsed. Weight of the land push it over and pancaked it.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

I took one a Bellevue College many years ago. The class was good, and the professor was 😍

Looked it up, I'm not really to the point of seeking an actual degree, mostly just looking for informal introductions. Thanks for the tip though!

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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