PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Since SLE had a low of 30 at 1am, if they don't go above 50 they will still manage a -1 departure on the new pathetic 30 year averages. lol

[MossMan]

Temp bouncing between 36.6 and 37.8. DP 36. Light rain falling from the sky, heavy rain falling from the edges of the roof from the rapid snowmelt and frozen gutters. 

[The Swamp]

44 here with rain and windy conditions

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, iFred said:

No

It's very mobile friendly already, imo.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Here's another really sad stat... I believe yesterday was the biggest negative January departure at SLE since 2017. 

[gusky]

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

No

Fair enough, the mobile sight is pretty D**n good.

[luvssnow_spokane]

49 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pierce County warm nose is showing up. Just getting killed rn from Bonney Lake to Yelm. I am seeing reports of 44 even 45 degrees

Very common occurance for that area. That is one thing I do not miss at all. Thus the swamp is in true form.  I am basking in 21 degrees over here is Spokane. YES!!! 

[snow_wizard]

The CFS still shows the same progression as it had been just a little bit delayed, but still happens this month.  7 day average 500mb anom.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18z gfs still showing snow tonight and tomorrow morning. 

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Here's another really sad stat... I believe yesterday was the biggest negative January departure at SLE since 2017. 

True here as well.  I had a -14 yesterday.  At least it's something!

[Fircrest]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

It's very mobile friendly already, imo.

It is.  Though my only complaint is you can't see locations when viewing on phone compared to desktop, laptop or tablet.

[SeanNyberg]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

18z gfs still showing snow tonight and tomorrow morning. 

Backs off a touch. But yes.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The CFS still shows the same progression as it had been just a little bit delayed, but still happens this month.  7 day average 500mb anom.

Good! I ordered a fancy two person side by side sled since the kids small plastic one broke last week. Hopefully they will get to use it this season! 

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

18z gfs still showing snow tonight and tomorrow morning. 

Still looks promising.  No backing off on the cold outflow from the passes.  The temps has only managed to rise to 34.7 here so far.  That cold just to the east is very powerful right now.

[Hawksfan2008]

Down to 31 degrees. I knew I would get more exciting weather when I bought my house in North Bend last year but didn’t realize how different it could be than just 20 miles west. Going to be a wild evening with those precip rates coming in. 

[Prairiedog]

Pretty good pop for my two home steelhead rivers.  This would put the Clackamas just about 2' below flood stage.  The Clack has a long drainage well up into the Cascades.  The Sandy is a lot shorter drainage.  Wind has picked up and temps have popped from 28f this am to 47f. 

http://www.steelheadstalkers.com/river_levels_sandy-river_oregon.htm

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=esto3&wfo=pqr

[SouthHillFrosty]

Definitely starting to cut back in the home stretch 

[snow_wizard]

North Bend sitting at 31 right now.  D**n impressive.  The cold in the Kittitas Valley right now is really quite something, and some of it is bleeding over here.

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Definitely starting to cut back in the home stretch 

The important thing is the temp profile hasn't changed much from earlier runs.  Also nice that 2" line hasn't changed location.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

24 hours after being near tornado watches, it tastes like snow when I was out shopping. 

This changes a lot faster than the northwest, no matter how much someone says Oregon is bipolar. lol

Wait until March/April. We get some real weather whiplash in the spring.

Some years it’ll go from severe storms at 4pm to accumulating snow by midnight. Especially on your side of the mountains.

[Hawksfan2008]

6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Definitely starting to cut back in the home stretch 

Not nearly the cutback we’ve seen from previous busts 

[snow_wizard]

12 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Down to 31 degrees. I knew I would get more exciting weather when I bought my house in North Bend last year but didn’t realize how different it could be than just 20 miles west. Going to be a wild evening with those precip rates coming in. 

You could get crushed with this.

[gusky]

9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Definitely starting to cut back in the home stretch 

Interesting that the snow ratio is greater than 10:1 though, not something you would expect with a marginal event like this.

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Definitely starting to cut back in the home stretch 

About the same for my location, I will gladly take 3”! 

[jakerepp]

Down to 36.5. Very interesting...

.14" in the rain gauge.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z cut back on snow totals here too. 22" on the 10:1 map, 13" on Kuchera. For the 24 hour period ending 12z Tuesday. 

Currently 40.5 and pretty breezy. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

28 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The CFS still shows the same progression as it had been just a little bit delayed, but still happens this month.  7 day average 500mb anom.

Ch Ch Ch Chilly

[Bryant]

2 hours ago, The Swamp said:

It will be back this winter.  I have a feeling we are going to get a true arctic blast from the Frasier River Valley before this is all over.

I crave it.

This was a true arctic blast, but from the Fraser River Valley, not the Frasier

[snow_wizard]

I think Jaya's call is going to be dead on.  Little doubt some places will have snow with this.

[Timmy Supercell]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

Wait until March/April. We get some real weather whiplash in the spring.

Some years it’ll go from severe storms at 4pm to accumulating snow by midnight. Especially on your side of the mountains.

Oklahoma City in February is notorious for having sirens one hour and then blizzards 2 hours later? 

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, gusky said:

Interesting that the snow ratio is greater than 10:1 though, not something you would expect with a marginal event like this.

The 10:1 map is a bit snowier.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Should I begin preparations for an ark?

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Bryant said:

This was a true arctic blast, but from the Fraser River Valley, not the Frasier

This was really good from the Seattle area northward.  The cold was low end top tier for your area.  Good chance we see more later too.

[gusky]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The 10:1 map is a bit snowier.

For some reason I thought that post had a 10:1 map vs. Kuchera map

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Playing catch up to the EURO. 

[snow_wizard]

It was cold enough that a gallon jug of water I had in my car froze solid during the cold wave.  That includes driving it short distances on most days too.

[Bryant]

1 hour ago, GHweatherChris said:

38° with heavy drizzle my nizzle.

Meh, nextizzle 

[bainbridgekid]

35 in Everett at 2 PM really stands out to me. That’s significantly cooler than I expected and the South winds have been much weaker than anticipated. 

I like the chances for heavy wet slushy accumulations (2-5”) above about 300-400 feet North of Seattle and East of 405 tonight after about 8 PM. It’ll take some luck to get closer to sea level or Seattle South.

One of those situations where 2 degrees cooler doubles those totally and 2 degrees warmer makes all rain below 1,000 feet and in the foothills. Crazy boom and bust potential.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, Bryant said:

Meh, nextizzle 

Oohh, another new tshirt idea!!

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Oklahoma City in February is notorious for having sirens one hour and then blizzards 2 hours later? 

I could do without the severe stuff.  It's all about cold and snow for me.