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PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil


The Blob

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3 minutes ago, The Ms. Anthrop said:

LOL sorry not sorry. The roads in unincorporated KC are terrible, and honestly, there are some uhh, staffing issues due to a certain illness already plaguing the district for tomorrow. Given what I can see on my end, it’s going to be a hot mess regardless of snow or no snow. Let your cute son spend half the night looking out that window and call him in sick. I have the power to get it excused no matter what school you are at 🤣

I need daycare open!! Lol and they usually follow schools. I go back to work tomorrow and there’s no way mama is gonna keep him around with a 3 week old. Time to call the grandparents 

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

touch up.png

Here's my take on the situation tonight through this crude drawing...

Through sfc obs it's plainly clear that the GFS was far too cold. From the get go it seemed strangely overzealous with those easterlies, hence my suspicions earlier.

What I did not expect, however, was the extremely efficient anafrontal cooling associated with heavy precip rates. Quite honestly this is an overperformance, particularly for Snohomish county, though even down here in N Sea I noticed it fogging up outside while making some food in the kitchen earlier.

At this point in time it is appearing increasingly likely given the somewhat stationary nature of this banding that most areas SeaTac north through Mt Vernon will be at least teasing with a substantial threat for snow.

If you were holding out hope for that GFS solution, then, well... I don't know what to tell you. That solution was pretty obviously bunk right from the get go.

The ECMWF isn't all that different.  Also the GFS shows the most dynamic cooling happening a bit later.  I think it actually did ok with the east wind cold pool.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I need daycare open!! Lol and they usually follow schools. I go back to work tomorrow and there’s no way mama is gonna keep him around with a 3 week old. Time to call the grandparents 

Sounds like my wife. She was disappointed that our district closed for tomorrow.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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The ECMWF gives a pretty legit shot for many places to have freezing low temps for each of the next 4 days.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Precip building just SW of Seattle. This could be the push that mixes a few flakes in. Probably not much accumulation in this round.

image.png.67a78f0ed0e9d28ea80c25cb001769db.png

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Still not getting heavy enough rates to drive the temp down further than 34. Need the main plume to keep moving east a bit. 

Moving down very slowly but I’m right on edge of main plume. Down to 34.5 but it’s taken so long to get there I feel like there’s no way 

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15 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Sounds like my wife. She was disappointed that our district closed for tomorrow.

Seattle School District closed for tomorrow to get all their teachers and staff tested for COVID. For their sake, I hope it's really wet snow and is still easy for everyone to get to their testing site tomorrow.

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Been just dumping a 33 degree nonsticking mix here for hours. Would have snowed 6" already if it were 1-2 degrees cooler but I think it's just barely not gonna work.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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1 minute ago, Geos said:

Mostly snow now. Huge flakes!

Seems to be slightly mixing in N Seattle but still mostly rain

My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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FIJ9ccAUYAISrjX.png

What the Euro says we should be seeing right now... ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

FIJ9ccAUYAISrjX.png

What the Euro says we should be seeing right now... ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

image.png

Yeah that run was invalid from the get-go. That said, many near locations are reporting snow now.

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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