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PNW January 2022, Unoriginal Thread Title


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37 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Well a wet deck and 34.5 degrees. I must be the new swamp! This wind just continues which is not only killing any snow from reaching the ground but also killing the snow on the ground. I sure hope it’s a different story with the overrunning event tomorrow. 

Windy here too... that kills snow accumulation in my area as well. Even when the upper levels are cold enough.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I remember a few years back... the Snoqualmie Valley School District started out closing any time the temperature was below 35 in the morning or there was a chance of a snowflake over the next week.     Then they used up all their days and I remember driving my kids to school in an actual blizzard one morning and parents were outraged that schools would be open in that weather.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I remember a few years back... the Snoqualmie Valley School District started out closing any time the temperature was below 35 in the morning or there was a chance of a snowflake over the next week.     Then they used up all their days and I remember driving my kids to school in an actual blizzard one morning and parents were outraged that schools would be open in that weather.  

Back when I was young (long time ago) we were in the Tahoma School District.  The drivers would chain up the buses and have at it.  Kids would have to walk out of their neighborhoods to the main roads to catch the bus.  Sometimes that would be a long walk but we didn't think twice about it.  Different times back then.  People are softer now for sure.

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6 minutes ago, Ray said:

Back when I was young (long time ago) we were in the Tahoma School District.  The drivers would chain up the buses and have at it.  Kids would have to walk out of their neighborhoods to the main roads to catch the bus.  Sometimes that would be a long walk but we didn't think twice about it.  Different times back then.  People are softer now for sure.

Its 37 degrees in North Bend this morning and schools are closed.     Can't keep that up.    That is the normal low in the winter.   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
415 AM PST Tue Jan 4 2022

WAZ001-503-050015-
/O.NEW.KSEW.WS.A.0001.220106T0200Z-220106T1200Z/
San Juan County-Western Whatcom County-
including Friday Harbor, Eastsound, Bellingham, Blaine,
Point Roberts, Ferndale, Lynden, Sumas, and Sudden Valley
415 AM PST Tue Jan 4 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8
  inches possible.

* WHERE...San Juan County and Lowlands of western Whatcom County,
  including Bellingham and Sumas.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* IMPACTS...Plan on difficult travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
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Of course after my rant earlier I come back out into the living room and it had snowed a little! 32.9 and cloudy currently. 

99721D4E-336D-4907-BA72-67AC48DF247B.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Of course after my rant earlier I come back out into the living room and it had snowed a little! 32.9 and cloudy currently. 

99721D4E-336D-4907-BA72-67AC48DF247B.jpeg

That’s about what I got as a result of multiple overnight snow showers.

Bonus was that the first snow shower was a snow thundershower. Only the second time in my life that I’ve observed thundersnow.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Of course after my rant earlier I come back out into the living room and it had snowed a little! 32.9 and cloudy currently. 

99721D4E-336D-4907-BA72-67AC48DF247B.jpeg

We got about the same amount this morning... still windy too.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Its 37 degrees in North Bend this morning and schools are closed.     Can't keep that up.    That is the normal low in the winter.   😀

Do you have the 06Z euro snow maps?

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I took a few days off measuring snow. With the depth we have and the winds that were in the forecast a few days I took it inside. We're due to have a few inches tonight and also some going into Thursday am.

I also noticed that NWS Spokane added a new weather station near Clarkston that I haven't seen before. Good for that lower half of my zone area.

 

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13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

10pm tonight.  This is kinda new or just a bit stronger. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_3.png

How does the GFS snow map look? 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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34 and raining here this morning, as modeled and expected the warmer air aloft is slowly working north. This round is over, and it will be at earliest the end of the month before we see more snow, which is fine. 

Kind of humorous given the discussion about school here, that our local school was closed today, and it is just raining. Yesterday they were open, and ended up closing early once the snow accumulated. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 31.1                         2021-22: 40.64" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

34 and raining here this morning, as modeled and expected the warmer air aloft is slowly working north. This round is over, and it will be at earliest the end of the month before we see more snow, which is fine. 

Kind of humorous given the discussion about school here, that our local school was closed today, and it is just raining. Yesterday they were open, and ended up closing early once the snow accumulated. 

Just absurd that we're getting another gross January.  Probably last week of the month will get better but the next 2 weeks look frightening .

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Just absurd that we're getting another gross January.  Probably last week of the month will get better but the next 2 weeks look frightening .

Yeah, it makes me feel a little silly for thinking it wouldn't happen. At least we have had some goodies, and maybe at the surface we can pull off some "fake cold." But pattern wise it's as if the atmosphere knows what month it is. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 31.1                         2021-22: 40.64" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Going to depend how much offshore cooling we get before the main precip arrives. Looking like a solid event. To bad it will pour 2 inches of rain afterwards.  It's like winning the lottery the day before you die.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Gotta love online school. I have no idea what the teacher just asked me to do, so I just won't do it.

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

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1 minute ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Snow? Wind?

Good chance the entire area has snow for a minimum of 4 hrs. These events are very tricky. How long we keep offshore flow and even when that is reduced there could be a period of slack winds that will keep snow going. These events never play out like forecasted and usually remain snow longer, especially in favored areas.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-1600000.png

The times I’ve checked the temperatures, minor outflow is going to drop them to the freezing mark here. Much of that pepto over Vancouver seems likely to verify! Also, just playing the odds, marginal wet slop that falls during transition/overrunning events tends to be our heaviest snowfalls, so it’s actually keeping in character with climo if it verifies.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said:

A WSW has already been posted for the EPSL for tomorrow evening and night. 4-8 inches. Blurb from this morning's AFD below. Sure hope we can escape the freezing rain part.

image.png

 

Is that realistic for the foothill communities outside of North Bend?
 

Sure hope so. 

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