PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

23 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Woah, you have a TRX?

Yes, I'm addicted to fast cars and trucks. I've owned some crazy vehicles but this truck is absolutely amazing. Tows great,  does awesome at the sand dunes, is incredible off road and rides down the highway like a Cadillac.  Driving easy it gets 16mpg on highway. 

[gusky]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Yes, I'm addicted to fast cars and trucks. I've owned some crazy vehicles but this truck is absolutely amazing. Tows great,  does awesome at the sand dunes, is incredible off road and rides down the highway like a Cadillac.  Driving easy it gets 16mpg on highway. 

That's better MPG than my Suburban... (well, before it was stolen)

[LowerGarfield]

https://mobile.twitter.com/WSDOT_East/status/1478771589881552898/photo/1

This is hilarious..tweet from WSDOT East regarding the forecast.

 

[gusky]

37.8/36.8 now. Just shot up a degree. Guess too warm for snow at the moment

[BLI snowman]

13 minutes ago, snow drift said:

The storm last night way overachieved. The NWS Spokane didn't issue an advisory until 3:45 am.

Should be a pretty impressive snowpack up there in time for the inversion, even with the rain and south wind on Friday morning.

[jakerepp]

Temp keeps dropping, 35.6.

[T-Town]

Just back from a walk and although my thermometer says rain it definitely feels like snow out there. 

[jakerepp]

Wow, moderate snow falling now! The juiciest portion of this cell appears right over me now.

[TT-SEA]

37 in North Bend with some drizzle.   The starting point out here near the source of the outflow today is quite a bit different than it was on Sunday.

[gusky]

Is this a natural feature, or something weird with the radar?

[jakerepp]

No chance of stickage but nice to see so soon!

[gusky]

49 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When we got to our gate it's a 1 mile drive to the top of property to the dozer, I hadn't been there to plow at all so the road had 16 inches on it.  I dropped the air in my tires to 15, locked the rear diff locker and punched it. My ram TRX made it to the top! Parts of the drive are a 14% grade lol. STEEP. This truck has 700hp so it has massive wheels speed to just claw your way up, it was fun.

Maybe the only thing cooler (I think I still prefer the TRX though)

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

2 minutes ago, gusky said:

Is this a natural feature, or something weird with the radar?

I think the latter.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

47F with some moderate rain. Just had a couple big seizures so that was fun...

[Brennan]

24* with 1.5” of fresh snow cover. Brisk NE breeze.

[TacomaWaWx]

9 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Just back from a walk and although my thermometer says rain it definitely feels like snow out there. 

It’s pretty close to snow right now. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

16 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Should be a pretty impressive snowpack up there in time for the inversion, even with the rain and south wind on Friday morning.

Was hoping to see the Euro trend a little weaker with the Tues/Weds system next week. At face value that would put us back to square one for low level cold, at least on the west side.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Down to 39 with rain here hopefully the warming south winds can hold off until after midnight at least 

[gusky]

More precip coming

[Meatyorologist]

4 minutes ago, gusky said:

Is this a natural feature, or something weird with the radar?

Both! Radar beams hit the terrain around NW Seattle/SW Shoreline, which stands just above 500' high above the Puget Sound (not including our tall evergreens!)

Radar beams are blocked and subsequently create holes and streaks in the radar where there shouldn't be. Closer by to the radar and higher up than this area is the Snohomish county plateau at over 600'. This terrain feature creates some "false positive" returns, where echoes off of terrain reaching back to the radar dome are interpreted as heavy precipitation. All this can be avoided by switching to a higher tilt, which scans at a higher angle. The only caveat to higher tilts is that it loses utility faster with distance from the radar, as it scans higher above the ground faster. Tilt 1 is useful beyond Centralia; tilt 4 is sketchy near Seattle and near useless beyond Tacoma, depending on the meteorology.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Side streets were a total icy mess last morning, because it cleared off overnight so yesterday afternoon's wet slop froze solid.

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Was hoping to see the Euro trend a little weaker with the Tues/Weds system next week. At face value that would put us back to square one for low level cold, at least on the west side.

Yeah, both it and the Canadian continue to be uglier and more aggressive with the Pacific energy.

Unfortunately would have to lean towards them given the tendency this year (and really the last several).

[gusky]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Both! Radar beams hit the terrain around NW Seattle/SW Shoreline, which stands just above 500' high above the Puget Sound (not including our tall evergreens!)

Radar beams are blocked and subsequently create holes and streaks in the radar where there shouldn't be. Closer by to the radar and higher up than this area is the Snohomish county plateau at over 600'. This terrain feature creates some "false positive" returns, where echoes off of terrain reaching back to the radar dome are interpreted as heavy precipitation. All this can be avoided by switching to a higher tilt, which scans at a higher angle. The only caveat to higher tilts is that it loses utility faster with distance from the radar, as it scans higher above the ground faster. Tilt 1 is useful beyond Centralia; tilt 4 is sketchy near Seattle and near useless beyond Tacoma, depending on the meteorology.

Awesome, thanks! Yeah, I've seen the spotty reflectivity around foothills (especially around NE Olympics and W Cascade foothills), always figured it was something wrong with the radar.

[Kayla]

12z EPS mean still looks good for the retrogression beginning around the 17th.

Control run shows a similar retrogression signal with some backdoor Arctic air by the 20th. It's coming®.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

19 minutes ago, gusky said:

Maybe the only thing cooler (I think I still prefer the TRX though).

I didn't add this info but mine isn't stock. Has a tune and pulley swap.  Makes about 800 hp. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, both it and the Canadian continue to be uglier and more aggressive with the Pacific energy.

Unfortunately would have to lean towards them given the tendency this year (and really the last several).

Unfortunately I agree. The models are pretty sad looking for the next 2-3 weeks right now. As Dewey might point out it is only January 5th, but we are pretty close to being able to write this January off as another epic fail. 

[GHweatherChris]

Noon 925s

[TacomaWaWx]

Hoping we can stay below 40 today. Going to be a close call here on the southerlies punching through before midnight or not. Think at the very least we will still see some flakes in the air…especially considering how close we are to snow right now. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

12z EPS mean still looks good for the retrogression beginning around the 17th.

Control run shows a similar retrogression signal with some backdoor Arctic air by the 20th. It's coming®.

I should have read this before I posted what I just posted... lol

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Noon 925s

Surprised to see so many stations reporting rain with those temps.

[KingstonWX]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Surprised to see so many stations reporting rain with those temps.

Seems like places with heavier precip are switching over, but where ever it's light it's just rain/drizzle. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Seems like places with heavier precip are switching over, but where ever it's light it's just rain/drizzle. 

Yea light drizzle rn. 37 degrees currently 

[jakerepp]

More rain than snow now and up to 35.6. It's over.

[GHweatherChris]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Surprised to see so many stations reporting rain with those temps.

Been mostly light drizzle or light snizzle here, precip rates are $hitty right now.

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

Been mostly light drizzle or light snizzle here, precip rates are $hitty right now.

Go outside and turn them up, plz. We are all counting on you.

[GHweatherChris]

2 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Go outside and turn them up, plz. We are all counting on you.

I have been trying, doing the snow dance and everything, the radar is finally looking a bit more promising.

[TacomaWaWx]

6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea light drizzle rn. 37 degrees currently 

It is extremely close here now. We’re getting heavier precip rates. The rain is about as icy and as close to snow as you can get. 

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Mid-morning update doesn't sound promising. WAA stronger than modeled. Fork it.

It’s over. We had a good run. 

[GHweatherChris]

Definitely a noticeable east wind here.

[RentonHill]