Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: Agreed. But if Miami County, KS gets 6 inches, and I get 1 inch or less, I'm going to lose it. I mean, it would be difficult to be in a worse spot in the entire Midwest for barely missing snow. I'm in the same boat, on that run I would get 1.5 while Henry, County would get over 6. I miss the days when we had better than a 50 mile wide band of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 hrrr AND rap are about 3/4 counties north in the extended range, always Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Good start here...dumping at the moment and radar looks promising 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 The I-70 corridor from Topeka to KC has been a dead zone for years. I never take any model seriously that places this area in the axis of heaviest snow which they rarely do anyway. It always a question of will we get missed to the north or missed to the south. You'd think dumb luck would give us a major snowstorm now and then but it never happens. As I've noted before, the last Topeka snowfall greater than 6" was nearly 8 years ago, Feb 4, 2014. I need a new hobby..lol Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, mlgamer said: The I-70 corridor from Topeka to KC has been a dead zone for years. I never take any model seriously that places this area in the axis of heaviest snow which they rarely do anyway. It always a question of will we get missed to the north or missed to the south. You'd think dumb luck would give us a major snowstorm now and then but it never happens. As I've noted before, the last Topeka snowfall greater than 6" was nearly 8 years ago, Feb 4, 2014. I need a new hobby..lol Chief Tonganoxie needs to reverse the curse. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3z RAP need not wobble 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Had a bit of light snow a while ago. Temp has dropped to 21 with a WC of 3. Getting real windy with some blowing snow as well. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 While not the way I had envisioned this system to set up, Blitz Warnings have been issued again for the Upper MW...I did think this storm would have a chance to track a little farther south but the blocking disappeared just as the storm approached. Bad luck! Good luck to those up north who are in for a treat. Man, the LES machine looks fantastic for SW MI...1st legit set up in prob a few years, right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 06z HRRR a bit more optimistic for KC... @Clinton, is that lil bullseye in MO where you live? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 @Stacsh dream LES set up may be coming into fruition....lolipop 30" totals showing up on the over amped HRRR...the signal is there for some whicked streamers coming off the lake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 06z NAM likes KC region... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 hours ago, Tom said: 06z HRRR a bit more optimistic for KC... @Clinton, is that lil bullseye in MO where you live? I'm right on the western edge of that bullseye but I would gladly take what it's getting me. The NAM would work for me and KC peeps as well. I also noticed the NAM seems to enhance the LES for Stacsh and delivers @Timmy_Supercella good snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 The RAP has been consistent. 4 inches near mby 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Up_north_MI Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Man this little storm moving through northern MI today really has the lake effect kicked into high gear, been a while since I remember seeing something like this. Some areas of the UP could be looking at 2 feet of new snow. Areas in the lower could get over a foot also. The cold air should start getting the ice on many inland lakes safe enough for fishing also by this weekend hopefully. Winter looks to finally be making a appearance in most of MI other then the extreme south east part. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 12z HRRR 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 With a slightly more southerly track of the low and maybe a bit slower as well the start of the potential heaver snow fall and winds have been pushed back. The winds here have just picked up and at this time I am getting a snow/rain mix with a temperature of 32. The temperature fell to 30 then went up to as high as 35 overnight. We will see how this plays out thru the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 12z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Looks like I could be getting some good snow bands from lake Huron tomorrow. All depends on the set-up. We will see how that goes. NOAA: .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Additional chances for lake effect snow will exist Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. Increasing confidence for lake effect snowshowers to impact somewhere between I94 to I96 with accumulations where accumulations around an inch or more will be possible. A second chance for snow showers will develop Thursday evening into Friday morning along the Lake Huron shoreline, where an inch or more of accumulation will be possible. Again too soon to narrow down if and when banding will form and snowfall intensity, but lake-air delta-Ts are certainly supportive of an accumulating snowfall event if lake effect banding remains onshore. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 hours ago, Tom said: @Stacsh dream LES set up may be coming into fruition....lolipop 30" totals showing up on the over amped HRRR...the signal is there for some whicked streamers coming off the lake. Not sure how accurate these totals will be. But someone is going to get slammed. Coming down here good. I’m on day 5 of Covid. Fully vaxxed. So I had a fever for about 18 hours Friday night/sat and I’m about 80 percent today. Woke up at 10. It was 30 degrees. Dropped to 25.9 in the last hour. Moderate snow. 18 mph gust so far. I’m right on the edge of the heaviest. I could see 6” if the bands stay out this far. Further west a few miles might get closer to a foot. So it goes with les snow. I’m happy though! going to start really ripping soon. But you can see to my west they are getting pounded. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 about 4" down here so far...looks like a little break and then see if the lake plays ball or not here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 At this time getting moderate to at times heavy snow falling here. Looking out at the driveway it don't look to have much snow on it at this time. At the airport they had a report of heavy snow at their last report. They reported west winds of 22 MPH with gust up to 30. At this time the criteria here dose not meet that of blizzard conditions. The current temperature here is 26 that last report out of GRR was 24. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Still getting moderate to heavy snow fall here. The snow flake size is rather good it is not as windy as it was. In the yard I have between 6" and a trace of snow depending on location. The temperature here is now at 25. That is between 10 and 15° warmer than on the other side of the lake. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 18z HRRR puts down 4 in mby, I would love to be on the east side of Lake Michigan right now. The RAP is further south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, Clinton said: 18z HRRR puts down 4 in mby, I would love to be on the east side of Lake Michigan right now. The RAP is further south. This is about 1 county too far south for my comfort level. If this can just take a sneeze up north i will feel a tad better:) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: This is about 1 county too far south for my comfort level. If this can just take a sneeze up north i will feel a tad better:) I can tell you, most models gave me 1-6" being on the edge. I'll exceed that. Won't get a good measurment though. I believe WestMJim isn't far from my location. It's definitely pound town in areas this side of Lake Michigan. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: This is about 1 county too far south for my comfort level. If this can just take a sneeze up north i will feel a tad better:) Me too, with such a narrow band of snow we'll just have to watch the radar and see how it lines up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 I will say with the Lake Effect, I am probably 3 miles north of currently the heaviest snow which is aligned right over the city of Grand Rapids. Easily 1" plus rates right now here, I imagine it's close to 2 in GR. Hope the band lasts a few more hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: This is about 1 county too far south for my comfort level. If this can just take a sneeze up north i will feel a tad better:) 18z NAM gives ya a little more wiggle room. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Rooting for you guys down south. Hope you can score a couple inches out of this. It's a nasty day out there with periods of lower visibility and a lot of blowing snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 You guys are gonna be threading the needle down there. Good luck! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 11 minutes ago, tStacsh said: I will say with the Lake Effect, I am probably 3 miles north of currently the heaviest snow which is aligned right over the city of Grand Rapids. Easily 1" plus rates right now here, I imagine it's close to 2 in GR. Hope the band lasts a few more hours. I just took some measurements and here I have between 4 and 11" and there is heavy snow falling at this time. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, westMJim said: I just took some measurements and here I have between 4 and 11" and there is heavy snow falling at this time. Seems about right lookin outside. Dealing with Covid last 5 days I haven't got my snowblower running yet. Gonna be a pain to shovel if I don't get it started. I'll worry about it tomorrow. Wife ordered groceries last night in preparation, schools were closed. Not going anywhere anytime soon. Lucky I can work from home this week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Snow picking up again. 6.5" best I could measure. another 1 or 2 overnight possible, maybe more if I get a nice band that's supposed to be enhanced later tonight. Wife shoveled the driveway. What a trooper! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Grand Rapids has received 7.2" of snow today. A new record for the day. Still snowing moderately at the airport. This storm has amazingly put us above average snowfall to date at 32.7". 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 Flurries just started here in Lawrence. Let’s see what this can do! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 20 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Flurries just started here in Lawrence. Let’s see what this can do! Radar looks good, it's nice to hear precip is making it to the ground already. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 I spent the actual snow part of this event in Eagan, MN. I measured 1.5" there. But BOY, the drive home was rather insane. The roads were mostly fine in the Cities, but once I got out onto more rural parts of I-94 near Monticello, the road turned into straight-up ice. I saw multiple spin-outs and it didn't get better at all until St. Cloud. Between Sauk Centre and about Fergus Falls I actually managed to go normal speed on cruise control, but after Fergus, that's when the ground blizzard conditions hit. Visibility was nothing all the way from Fergus Falls back into Fargo, where the road turned icy again. 3.2" fell in Fargo. Currently -11*F, wind chill -37*F. 2 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 Btw, I'm now 9.7" over the average for this time of year. Pretty sure I was pushed over last year's total a while ago too. 5 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 39 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: I spent the actual snow part of this event in Eagan, MN. I measured 1.5" there. But BOY, the drive home was rather insane. The roads were mostly fine in the Cities, but once I got out onto more rural parts of I-94 near Monticello, the road turned into straight-up ice. I saw multiple spin-outs and it didn't get better at all until St. Cloud. Between Sauk Centre and about Fergus Falls I actually managed to go normal speed on cruise control, but after Fergus, that's when the ground blizzard conditions hit. Visibility was nothing all the way from Fergus Falls back into Fargo, where the road turned icy again. 3.2" fell in Fargo. Currently -11*F, wind chill -37*F. I'll be in Fargo Friday and Saturday! Should be quite the winter wonderland. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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